FPE MIL Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Fope S.p.A. · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

Latest close 59.50 EUR
-0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -8.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 59.50 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.8% latest completed week
4W Return -8.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 51.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -8.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7912-week average 0.49

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.79Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.5% over four weeks, 51.0% over 12 weeks, and 39.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.8%
4W-8.5%
12W51.0%
26W45.8%
52W39.8%
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.15Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-23.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership23.33Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-35.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+23.9%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-19.5%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week-0.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks4
Modest losses6
Sharp losses3
Recent vol9.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryIT Luxury Goods
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202659.50 EUR-0.8%45.95 EUR32.22 EUR1.1523.339.2KOn
24 Jul 202660.00 EUR-19.5%45.24 EUR32.04 EUR1.3925.4512.5KOn
17 Jul 202674.50 EUR13.7%44.51 EUR31.85 EUR1.5056.198.8KOn
10 Jul 202665.50 EUR0.8%43.30 EUR31.57 EUR1.4936.786.5KOn
3 Jul 202665.00 EUR1.6%42.31 EUR31.35 EUR1.5036.117.5KOn
26 Jun 202664.00 EUR-0.8%41.36 EUR31.13 EUR1.4338.980On
19 Jun 202664.50 EUR11.2%40.42 EUR30.90 EUR1.2736.902.5KOn
12 Jun 202658.00 EUR23.9%39.50 EUR30.68 EUR1.1527.061.5KOn
5 Jun 202646.80 EUR11.4%38.80 EUR30.50 EUR0.946.172.2KOn
29 May 202642.00 EUR0.0%38.55 EUR30.39 EUR0.57-5.034.8KOn
22 May 202642.00 EUR0.0%38.44 EUR30.31 EUR0.15-4.2728.2KOn
15 May 202642.00 EUR6.6%38.35 EUR30.25 EUR-0.36-3.484.8KOff
8 May 202639.40 EUR4.0%38.18 EUR30.18 EUR-0.83-9.593.8KOff
1 May 202637.90 EUR0.0%38.16 EUR30.13 EUR-1.02-11.10500Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.