MCS SET Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

M.C.S. Steel Public Company Limited · Basic Materials · Steel

Latest close 8.00 THB
-0.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 43.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a 4.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 8.00 THB 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.6% latest completed week
4W Return 4.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -1.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 61.5% 32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.08% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 43.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a 4.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1512-week average 0.41

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.6% over four weeks, -1.2% over 12 weeks, and 6.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.6%
4W4.6%
12W-1.2%
26W2.9%
52W6.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change56.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-15.10Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

4 positive · 16 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.3%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-7.9%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-0.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains12
Flat weeks5
Modest losses6
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.8% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20268.00 THB-0.6%8.10 THB6.55 THB-0.53-15.102.3MOff
17 Jul 20268.05 THB2.5%8.08 THB6.53 THB-0.75-14.702.8MOff
10 Jul 20267.85 THB1.3%8.07 THB6.52 THB-0.98-16.293.9MOff
3 Jul 20267.75 THB1.3%8.05 THB6.50 THB-1.11-17.312.2MOff
26 Jun 20267.65 THB0.0%8.05 THB6.48 THB-1.22-15.241.8MOff
19 Jun 20267.65 THB0.7%8.05 THB6.46 THB-1.29-17.32255.6KOff
12 Jun 20267.60 THB1.3%8.04 THB6.45 THB-1.24-19.29569.7KOff
5 Jun 20267.50 THB0.0%8.04 THB6.43 THB-1.12-20.30287.4KOff
29 May 20267.50 THB1.4%8.04 THB6.42 THB-1.01-20.163.3MOff
22 May 20267.40 THB-2.6%8.04 THB6.41 THB-0.78-20.217.6MOff
15 May 20267.60 THB-7.9%8.05 THB6.40 THB-0.51-17.4412.5MOff
8 May 20268.25 THB1.9%8.05 THB6.38 THB-0.15-9.802.2MOn
1 May 20268.10 THB-3.0%8.03 THB6.38 THB0.33-11.356.3MOn
24 Apr 20268.35 THB-4.0%8.02 THB6.37 THB0.76-6.446.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.