CVLT NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

CommVault Systems Inc · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 117.8 USD
-17.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 36.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -17.2%, after a -21.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 117.8 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -17.2% latest completed week
4W Return -21.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -17.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -21.5%. Indicator stack 34/71 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.77% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 45/100 conviction; expected move 9.5%. News sentiment 58/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 36.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -17.2%, after a -21.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7412-week average 0.44

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.74Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -21.5% over four weeks, 12.1% over 12 weeks, and -34.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-17.2%
4W-21.5%
12W12.1%
26W37.5%
52W-34.5%
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.24Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-15.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.40Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1299.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength13/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Value4/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum19/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
83.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
55.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
80.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
21.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
294.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
18.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-7.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
19.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
9.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

CVLT shows bullish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.69, expected move of 9.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction45/100
Expected move9.5%
Put/call volume0.69
Pressure23
Speculation41
Volatility73
Trend agreement73
Open options detail
Insider activity7 / 13

7 acquisitions and 13 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

30 positive · 22 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-40.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.2%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-17.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-17.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -5.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape42/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis57/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.74; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.77%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.77% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors32/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 6; Small Cap Core rank 95 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options65/100

CVLT shows bullish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.69, expected move of 9.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 9.5% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership Sells 56,515 Shares of CommVault Systems, Inc. $CVLT Insiders7 / 13

7 acquisitions and 13 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026117.8 USD-17.2%108.1 USD127.3 USD1.24-16.405.9MOn
24 Jul 2026142.3 USD-3.7%108.3 USD127.0 USD1.460.102.3MOn
17 Jul 2026147.8 USD-1.8%107.9 USD126.5 USD1.581.533.1MOn
10 Jul 2026150.6 USD0.4%107.1 USD126.1 USD1.54-1.743.6MOn
3 Jul 2026150.0 USD7.1%106.2 USD125.6 USD1.48-1.173.1MOn
26 Jun 2026140.0 USD7.7%105.2 USD125.1 USD1.35-7.805.4MOff
19 Jun 2026130.0 USD1.8%104.6 USD124.7 USD1.21-19.124.5MOff
12 Jun 2026127.8 USD7.7%104.3 USD124.3 USD1.08-19.474.7MOff
5 Jun 2026118.7 USD-0.1%104.3 USD123.9 USD0.98-24.613.1MOff
29 May 2026118.8 USD10.7%104.6 USD123.6 USD0.96-29.122.9MOff
22 May 2026107.2 USD3.2%105.3 USD123.3 USD0.95-35.193.1MOff
15 May 2026103.9 USD-1.1%107.3 USD123.1 USD0.88-37.473.7MOff
8 May 2026105.1 USD5.5%109.6 USD122.8 USD0.82-37.953.5MOff
1 May 202699.57 USD6.0%111.8 USD122.6 USD0.67-38.985.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.