- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
ONDS
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ondas Holdings Inc. · Technology · Communication Equipment
Latest close
7.49 USD
-4.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.0%, after a 1.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 10d.
Setup score
27
out of 100
Latest Close
7.49 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-4.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-17.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
86.5%
45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.90% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.1%.
Indicator stack
48/38
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.90%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Mixed
35/100 conviction; expected move 10.9%.
News sentiment
53/100
59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
10d
Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.0%, after a 1.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2512-week average 0.40
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.25Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.1% over four weeks, -17.3% over 12 weeks, and 240.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change9.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.60Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change3.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 90%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength55/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Value20/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality67/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth91/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework71/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 18.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 46.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 44.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 254.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -84.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 436.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 793.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -40.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -40.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -3.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
ONDS shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.84, expected move of 10.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction35/100
Expected move10.9%
Put/call volume0.84
Insider activity5 / 15
5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.
19 positive · 33 neutral · 7 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings10dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-51.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility17.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+45.9%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-21.1%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-4.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses10
Recent vol17.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol16.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew17.2% / -8.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.3%
Trend breadth56.0%
Trend56.0%active weekly trend signals
MD46.0%positive activity pressure
RS54.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Communication Equipment
4-week rank10 / 40
Group average-8.7%
Trend breadth42.5%
Trend42.5%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS47.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape27/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 27/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis29/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.25; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.90%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.90% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors59/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 95; Small Cap Core rank 89 SVQF71/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 214.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options43/100ONDS shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.84, expected move of 10.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 10.9% Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.
Ondas (NASDAQ:ONDS) Shares Down 1.2% - Here's What Happened Insiders5 / 155 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings10dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 7.49 USD | -4.0% | 9.71 USD | 3.63 USD | -0.70 | -20.60 | 302.7M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 7.80 USD | 19.5% | 9.83 USD | 3.59 USD | -0.66 | -16.04 | 834.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6.53 USD | -10.1% | 9.85 USD | 3.55 USD | -0.80 | -30.13 | 671.5M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 7.26 USD | -2.0% | 9.94 USD | 3.52 USD | -0.85 | -24.92 | 345.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 7.41 USD | -5.4% | 9.99 USD | 3.48 USD | -0.77 | -21.28 | 315.5M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 7.83 USD | -15.5% | 10.04 USD | 3.44 USD | -0.54 | -15.23 | 349.7M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 9.27 USD | -0.6% | 10.05 USD | 3.40 USD | -0.09 | -3.05 | 222.9M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 9.33 USD | -10.5% | 9.96 USD | 3.35 USD | -0.14 | 1.63 | 251.1M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10.43 USD | -21.1% | 9.89 USD | 3.29 USD | 0.10 | 17.92 | 402.5M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 13.22 USD | 45.9% | 9.74 USD | 3.23 USD | -0.20 | 45.31 | 567.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 9.06 USD | -14.7% | 9.51 USD | 3.15 USD | -0.66 | 5.01 | 293.5M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 10.62 USD | 17.2% | 9.46 USD | 3.10 USD | -0.63 | 26.78 | 517.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 9.06 USD | -12.2% | 9.36 USD | 3.04 USD | -0.99 | 10.17 | 238.4M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 10.32 USD | -2.2% | 9.36 USD | 2.99 USD | -0.99 | 34.90 | 238.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.