ASMLN MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ASML Holding N.V. · Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Latest close 28,617 MXN
-6.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.5%, after a -7.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 66 out of 100
Latest Close 28,617 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -6.5% latest completed week
4W Return -7.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 88.5% 46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 46-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.5%, after a -7.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.91

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.9% over four weeks, 3.7% over 12 weeks, and 118.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 46 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-6.5%
4W-7.9%
12W3.7%
26W15.0%
52W118.2%
Active trend streak46 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.51Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-55.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership22.95Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-42.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.4%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week-6.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202628,617 MXN-6.5%26,802 MXN17,357 MXN0.5122.95981On
24 Jul 202630,611 MXN-1.4%26,538 MXN17,249 MXN0.7334.0896On
17 Jul 202631,060 MXN-3.2%26,182 MXN17,132 MXN0.9137.29160On
10 Jul 202632,089 MXN3.3%25,785 MXN17,013 MXN1.1343.90733On
3 Jul 202631,060 MXN-1.2%25,382 MXN16,890 MXN1.1439.83253On
26 Jun 202631,430 MXN-5.4%25,034 MXN16,769 MXN1.1842.9382On
19 Jun 202633,215 MXN6.1%24,627 MXN16,646 MXN1.0451.790On
12 Jun 202631,301 MXN9.4%24,111 MXN16,515 MXN0.8944.500On
5 Jun 202628,601 MXN1.4%23,682 MXN16,395 MXN0.5337.371.5KOn
29 May 202628,200 MXN-1.0%23,352 MXN16,291 MXN0.3432.07297On
22 May 202628,496 MXN7.0%23,069 MXN16,191 MXN0.0635.291.6KOn
15 May 202626,633 MXN-3.5%22,762 MXN16,091 MXN-0.3828.39292On
8 May 202627,600 MXN9.1%22,501 MXN15,992 MXN-0.4530.57765On
1 May 202625,300 MXN3.7%22,179 MXN15,888 MXN-0.6224.40108On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.