SFNC NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Simmons First National Corporation · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 23.18 USD
1.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 90.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 1.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 27/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 78d.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 23.18 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.0% latest completed week
4W Return 1.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 10.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 55.8% 29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 1.1%. Indicator stack 76/77 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 27/100 conviction; expected move 3.4%. News sentiment 55/100 59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 78d Next report is scheduled for 15 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 90.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 1.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9212-week average 0.72

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.92Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.1% over four weeks, 10.3% over 12 weeks, and 22.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.0%
4W1.1%
12W10.3%
26W17.9%
52W22.9%
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.52Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-3.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership7.73Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change180.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 91%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength68/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Momentum71/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Growth11/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
13.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-85.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
87.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-8.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-59.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-9.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-6.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

SFNC shows mixed options pressure with a 27/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 3.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction27/100
Expected move3.4%
Put/call volume
Pressure2
Speculation0
Volatility23
Trend agreement92
Open options detail
Insider activity16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

19 positive · 37 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings78dNext report is scheduled for 15 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+1.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape70/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 70/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis73/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.92; 2 reversal markers Factors54/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 86; Small Cap Core rank 69 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options55/100

SFNC shows mixed options pressure with a 27/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 3.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 3.4% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

Simmons First National (SFNC) Could Be 6% Undervalued As Earnings And Buybacks Land Insiders16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings78d

Next report is scheduled for 15 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

0 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202623.18 USD1.0%20.68 USD18.56 USD1.527.738.7MOn
17 Jul 202622.95 USD0.4%20.53 USD18.52 USD1.584.9810.9MOn
10 Jul 202622.86 USD0.1%20.40 USD18.48 USD1.520.145.1MOn
3 Jul 202622.84 USD-0.4%20.27 USD18.43 USD1.641.675.4MOn
26 Jun 202622.93 USD4.7%20.11 USD18.38 USD1.572.7510.4MOn
19 Jun 202621.90 USD-1.8%19.94 USD18.33 USD1.19-6.326.5MOn
12 Jun 202622.29 USD4.3%19.80 USD18.29 USD0.85-2.329.6MOn
5 Jun 202621.37 USD0.6%19.64 USD18.25 USD0.30-4.345.5MOn
29 May 202621.24 USD0.5%19.50 USD18.22 USD0.01-9.404.7MOn
22 May 202621.13 USD4.0%19.35 USD18.18 USD-0.03-7.574.4MOn
15 May 202620.31 USD-3.6%19.23 USD18.14 USD0.04-10.394.5MOn
8 May 202621.06 USD0.2%19.14 USD18.10 USD0.28-7.804.2MOn
1 May 202621.02 USD1.0%19.03 USD18.05 USD0.32-3.385.5MOn
24 Apr 202620.82 USD-2.3%18.96 USD18.00 USD0.21-3.227.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.