Ticker Options Intelligence

SFNC options intelligence

Simmons First National Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 57 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 29 Jul 2026 21:15 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

SFNC currently carries volatility options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.93.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 6.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.93

Current volume is elevated versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.03

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +1.0%

RS 7.7

Expected move 6.5%
Put-call volume 0.03
Volume / OI 0.93
Reference IV 0.79
Max pain 22.50
Underlying 23.18
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 25

Options Intent Radar

Volatility expansion bet

87/100
Primary intent Volatility expansion bet

The strongest message is movement risk: expected move and implied volatility are carrying more signal than direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Volatility expansion bet matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $661064 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+96
1W price+1.0%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.93 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · ITM
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 324 contracts traded, $655169 estimated gross traded notional, and 99% of visible notional.
$655169
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $1660 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$1660
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 12 contracts traded, $1475 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$1475
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 8 contracts traded, $1320 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$1320
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $1290 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$1290

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Speculative chase

Participation is active enough to treat follow-through risk carefully.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

100

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Volume rank100th
Volume/OI rank100th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close23.18
1W+1.0%
RS7.7
Fair value+24.9%
Options pressure96
Speculation38
Volatility81
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.5% elevated
30d avg 3.4% · 1 read 100th
90d avg 3.4% · 1 read 100th
180d avg 3.4% · 1 read 100th
IV 0.79 elevated
30d avg 0.14 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.14 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.14 · 1 read 100th
Put-call 0.03 normal building
30d avg - · 0 reads -
90d avg - · 0 reads -
180d avg - · 0 reads -
Volume/OI 0.93 elevated
30d avg 0.00 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.00 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.00 · 1 read 100th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:53 Mixed
Pressure 2
Move 3.4%
29 Jul 20:15 Volatility
Pressure 96
Move 6.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike20.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike22.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 31
Puts · V 1 · OI 4
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 9
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts5
Avg IV0.79
Put-call0.20
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts11
Avg IV0.67
Put-call0.00
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts7
Avg IV0.73
Put-call0.57
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts2
Avg IV0.45
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.62
Put IV0.67
Skew0.06
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.55
Skew0.11
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.45
Put IV0.80
Skew0.36
19 Mar 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV0.30
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractSFNC260918P00010000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI148
IV3.23
ContractSFNC260821C00025000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI9
IV0.62
ContractSFNC261218P00017500
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI3
IV0.62
ContractSFNC261218P00020000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.73
ContractSFNC261218C00020000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.53
ContractSFNC261218P00015000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI1
IV1.23
ContractSFNC260821P00020000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI1
IV1.25
ContractSFNC260918C00010000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI-
IV0.00