ABTC NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

American Bitcoin Corp · Financial Services · Capital Markets

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 5.52 USD
-3.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -63.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.5%, after a -34.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 18 out of 100
Latest Close 5.52 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.5% latest completed week
4W Return -34.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -69.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 48 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -34.5%. Indicator stack 0/32 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 27.51% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 49/100 conviction; expected move 18.6%. News sentiment 50/100 40 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -63.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.5%, after a -34.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0312-week average 0.06

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -34.5% over four weeks, -69.1% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.5%
4W-34.5%
12W-69.1%
26W-75.6%
52W-
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-149.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 73% Model confidence 70%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength73/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Value61/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Quality60/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Momentum61/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Growth62/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-19.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-73.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-57.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-12.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
356.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ABTC shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.68, expected move of 18.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction49/100
Expected move18.6%
Put/call volume1.68
Pressure-29
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend agreement71
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

5 positive · 30 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move18.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-97.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher7 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+36.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-27.2%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-3.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains2
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses13
Recent vol10.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split13/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.3% / -11.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape21/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis26/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 27.51%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 27.51% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors63/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 47 SVQF11/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 647.0 of 725 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options55/100

ABTC shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.68, expected move of 18.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 18.6% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

ABTC|American Bitcoin Ord Shs Class A|Price:5.900|Chg%:+0.710 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20265.52 USD-3.5%15.21 USD36.07 USD-0.32-7.1MOff
24 Jul 20265.72 USD5.1%15.92 USD36.72 USD-0.07-6.7MOff
17 Jul 20265.44 USD-11.3%16.68 USD37.39 USD0.13-7.7MOff
10 Jul 20266.13 USD-27.2%17.38 USD38.10 USD0.54-12.7MOff
3 Jul 20268.43 USD-21.8%18.07 USD38.83 USD0.64-141.4MOff
26 Jun 202610.77 USD-15.6%18.90 USD39.54 USD0.64-57.1MOff
19 Jun 202612.76 USD-0.8%20.66 USD40.22 USD0.70-73.6MOff
12 Jun 202612.86 USD-0.7%22.45 USD40.89 USD0.70-52.8MOff
5 Jun 202612.95 USD-23.6%24.46 USD41.59 USD0.77-64.7MOff
29 May 202616.95 USD1.8%26.34 USD42.33 USD0.77-36.5MOff
22 May 202616.65 USD0.0%28.32 USD42.99 USD0.78-56.3MOff
15 May 202616.65 USD-6.7%30.58 USD43.71 USD0.81-69.7MOff
8 May 202617.85 USD-1.7%32.39 USD44.46 USD0.81-68.8MOff
1 May 202618.15 USD-2.4%34.77 USD45.22 USD0.61-74.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.