0386 HKG Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Latest close 4.43 HKD
3.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.7%, after a 8.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 41 out of 100
Latest Close 4.43 HKD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.7% latest completed week
4W Return 8.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.7%, after a 8.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0212-week average 0.10

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.8% over four weeks, -0.9% over 12 weeks, and 4.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.7%
4W8.8%
12W-0.9%
26W-17.7%
52W4.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change102.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.74Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3670.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

1 positive · 10 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.9%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+3.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains9
Flat weeks2
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20264.43 HKD3.7%4.61 HKD4.16 HKD0.03-1.74599.7MOff
24 Jul 20264.27 HKD0.2%4.62 HKD4.15 HKD-0.37-1.81604.7MOff
17 Jul 20264.26 HKD4.9%4.63 HKD4.15 HKD-0.75-0.511.1BOff
10 Jul 20264.06 HKD-0.2%4.64 HKD4.15 HKD-1.10-3.641.0BOff
3 Jul 20264.07 HKD0.0%4.65 HKD4.15 HKD-1.31-0.05482.7MOff
26 Jun 20264.07 HKD-1.7%4.66 HKD4.15 HKD-1.412.98136.9MOff
19 Jun 20264.14 HKD-1.9%4.67 HKD4.14 HKD-1.38-0.58668.6MOff
12 Jun 20264.22 HKD1.4%4.68 HKD4.14 HKD-1.39-1.86150.8MOff
5 Jun 20264.16 HKD-0.7%4.69 HKD4.14 HKD-1.30-4.20167.2MOff
29 May 20264.19 HKD-2.5%4.69 HKD4.14 HKD-1.21-4.40573.2MOff
22 May 20264.30 HKD-1.3%4.69 HKD4.14 HKD-1.16-3.64361.5MOff
15 May 20264.36 HKD-2.6%4.69 HKD4.14 HKD-1.12-3.67593.4MOff
8 May 20264.47 HKD0.0%4.68 HKD4.14 HKD-1.12-2.66620.2MOff
1 May 20264.47 HKD0.4%4.67 HKD4.13 HKD-1.14-0.27679.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.