MCHP NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Microchip Technology Inc · Technology · Semiconductors

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 74.29 USD
-5.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 46.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.8%, after a -12.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 74.29 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.8% latest completed week
4W Return -12.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -24.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -5.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -12.2%. Indicator stack 39/21 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 50/100 conviction; expected move 5.0%. News sentiment 56/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 46.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.8%, after a -12.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6712-week average 0.74

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.67Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -12.2% over four weeks, -24.7% over 12 weeks, and 14.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.8%
4W-12.2%
12W-24.7%
26W-1.1%
52W14.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.77Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-190.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-246.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength24/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Value3/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality76/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Momentum71/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
211.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
9.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
34.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
57.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
22.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
2.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

MCHP shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.24, expected move of 5.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move5.0%
Put/call volume0.24
Pressure65
Speculation43
Volatility58
Trend agreement28
Open options detail
Insider activity13 / 7

13 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

24 positive · 31 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-29.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.6%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-13.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-5.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape35/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis73/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.67; 2 reversal markers Factors42/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 72 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options54/100

MCHP shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.24, expected move of 5.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.0% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

Microchip Technology stock may move 12% on earnings release By Investing.com Insiders13 / 7

13 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202674.29 USD-5.8%80.27 USD71.34 USD-0.77-5.2565.9MOff
24 Jul 202678.86 USD-2.6%79.93 USD71.36 USD-0.520.9846.6MOn
17 Jul 202680.96 USD-8.6%79.45 USD71.41 USD-0.021.9453.2MOn
10 Jul 202688.59 USD4.7%78.89 USD71.42 USD0.446.6646.0MOn
3 Jul 202684.64 USD-3.7%78.15 USD71.39 USD0.843.5957.8MOn
26 Jun 202687.93 USD-11.9%77.50 USD71.36 USD1.078.3680.2MOn
19 Jun 202699.77 USD4.8%76.33 USD71.33 USD1.0717.4049.7MOn
12 Jun 202695.24 USD7.8%74.67 USD71.18 USD1.0115.1963.6MOn
5 Jun 202688.34 USD-6.7%73.25 USD71.08 USD0.989.5064.5MOn
29 May 202694.65 USD1.3%72.14 USD70.99 USD1.0512.1344.9MOn
22 May 202693.43 USD0.0%71.03 USD70.84 USD1.1014.2545.3MOn
15 May 202693.40 USD-5.3%69.98 USD70.71 USD1.1216.0361.8MOn
8 May 202698.61 USD5.5%68.99 USD70.57 USD0.7922.4867.9MOn
1 May 202693.49 USD5.0%67.68 USD70.38 USD0.3823.1253.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.