- The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
OXY
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Occidental Petroleum Corporation · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Latest close
57.07 USD
-0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a 16.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 51/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.
Setup score
53
out of 100
Latest Close
57.07 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
16.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
8.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.22% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 16.7%.
Indicator stack
34/42
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.22%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
51/100 conviction; expected move 5.4%.
News sentiment
54/100
48 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
4d
Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a 16.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4512-week average 0.68
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 16.7% over four weeks, 8.1% over 12 weeks, and 34.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.60Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change40.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership7.31Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change199.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength84/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality32/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Momentum74/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Growth30/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 12.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 20.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 26.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 16.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 68.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -16.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 52.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -14.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -1.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
OXY shows bullish options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.21, expected move of 5.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction51/100
Expected move5.4%
Put/call volume0.21
Insider activity12 / 8
12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.
16 positive · 26 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.5%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-9.7%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-0.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Energy
4-week rank31 / 100
Group average9.9%
Trend breadth66.0%
Trend66.0%active weekly trend signals
MD21.0%positive activity pressure
RS77.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Oil & Gas E&P
4-week rank16 / 61
Group average8.9%
Trend breadth42.6%
Trend42.6%active weekly trend signals
MD6.6%positive activity pressure
RS54.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape47/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis50/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.45; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.22%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.22% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors67/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 78 SVQF26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 749.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options54/100OXY shows bullish options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.21, expected move of 5.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.4% Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.
Empyrean Capital Partners LP Buys 51,000 Shares of Occidental Petroleum Corporation $OXY Insiders12 / 812 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 57.07 USD | -0.4% | 53.60 USD | 51.56 USD | -0.60 | 7.31 | 39.1M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 57.30 USD | 4.4% | 53.10 USD | 51.58 USD | -0.82 | 9.14 | 40.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 54.86 USD | 3.7% | 52.50 USD | 51.59 USD | -1.00 | 4.10 | 47.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 52.89 USD | 8.1% | 51.98 USD | 51.61 USD | -1.08 | -1.05 | 54.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 48.91 USD | -2.2% | 51.57 USD | 51.63 USD | -1.01 | -7.34 | 36.9M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 49.99 USD | -3.5% | 51.34 USD | 51.67 USD | -0.85 | -3.34 | 47.2M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 51.82 USD | -8.3% | 51.05 USD | 51.71 USD | -0.71 | -2.18 | 42.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 56.54 USD | -0.2% | 50.68 USD | 51.72 USD | -0.51 | 7.52 | 51.4M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 56.67 USD | 0.5% | 50.20 USD | 51.71 USD | -0.39 | 8.36 | 47.4M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 56.37 USD | -3.7% | 49.67 USD | 51.71 USD | -0.30 | 5.29 | 47.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 58.54 USD | -1.4% | 49.14 USD | 51.71 USD | -0.09 | 11.12 | 59.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 59.35 USD | 12.4% | 48.59 USD | 51.69 USD | 0.02 | 13.90 | 56.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 52.79 USD | -9.7% | 47.95 USD | 51.67 USD | 0.12 | 1.77 | 71.7M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 58.44 USD | 2.8% | 47.58 USD | 51.68 USD | 0.41 | 15.25 | 60.9M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.