MEC NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mayville Engineering Co Inc · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 25.67 USD
-15.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -15.3%, after a -23.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 52 out of 100
Latest Close 25.67 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -15.3% latest completed week
4W Return -23.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 35-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -15.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -23.5%. Indicator stack 86/49 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.25% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 46/100 conviction; expected move 24.8%. News sentiment 54/100 39 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -15.3%, after a -23.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.83

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -23.5% over four weeks, -5.6% over 12 weeks, and 56.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 35 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-15.3%
4W-23.5%
12W-5.6%
26W31.0%
52W56.5%
Active trend streak35 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-81.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-73.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value23/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Quality5/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth25/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
35.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
8.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-3.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
7.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-6.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-0.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-59.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MEC shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 24.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction46/100
Expected move24.8%
Put/call volume0.32
Pressure59
Speculation1
Volatility85
Trend agreement48
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

12 positive · 24 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move24.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+23.8%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-15.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-15.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses7
Recent vol11.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape62/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis85/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.95; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.25%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.25% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors32/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 36; Small Cap Core rank 84 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options48/100

MEC shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 24.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 24.8% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

Mayville Engineering Company (MEC) Stock Gets Fair Value Boost As Analysts Rework Targets Insiders8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202625.67 USD-15.3%24.54 USD16.96 USD0.3215.163.4MOn
24 Jul 202630.29 USD-2.0%24.32 USD16.88 USD0.7238.052.5MOn
17 Jul 202630.92 USD-8.3%23.94 USD16.76 USD1.1441.512.8MOn
10 Jul 202633.72 USD0.5%23.49 USD16.64 USD1.4453.651.8MOn
3 Jul 202633.55 USD-9.3%22.99 USD16.49 USD1.7356.882.6MOn
26 Jun 202637.00 USD3.7%22.42 USD16.35 USD1.9478.903.0MOn
19 Jun 202635.68 USD0.6%21.75 USD16.19 USD1.7771.222.4MOn
12 Jun 202635.48 USD6.7%21.08 USD16.05 USD1.6574.313.8MOn
5 Jun 202633.25 USD23.8%20.44 USD15.91 USD1.4366.995.0MOn
29 May 202626.85 USD5.5%19.88 USD15.79 USD1.3033.351.6MOn
22 May 202625.45 USD0.6%19.58 USD15.70 USD1.1129.024.1MOn
15 May 202625.29 USD-7.0%19.28 USD15.62 USD0.7830.062.1MOn
8 May 202627.20 USD22.3%18.86 USD15.54 USD0.4640.971.5MOn
1 May 202622.24 USD1.3%18.38 USD15.43 USD-0.0118.89743.6KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.