NFLX NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Netflix Inc · Communication Services · Entertainment

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Latest close 71.71 USD
2.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.3%, after a -7.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 78d.

Setup score 20 out of 100
Latest Close 71.71 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.3% latest completed week
4W Return -7.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -18.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -7.6%. Indicator stack 12/32 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 36.56% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 35/100 conviction; expected move 3.6%. News sentiment 50/100 50 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 78d Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.3%, after a -7.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest -0.0012-week average 0.13

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure-0.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.6% over four weeks, -18.0% over 12 weeks, and -38.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.3%
4W-7.6%
12W-18.0%
26W-14.1%
52W-38.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.90Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-23.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.94Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change2.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength16/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Value20/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality77/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Momentum15/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Growth96/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
21.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
49.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
35.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
26.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
40.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
16.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
33.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
31.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

NFLX shows bullish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.53, expected move of 3.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction35/100
Expected move3.6%
Put/call volume0.53
Pressure34
Speculation42
Volatility41
Trend agreement28
Open options detail
Insider activity17 / 3

17 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

13 positive · 28 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings78dNext report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-43.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-6.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+2.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses8
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape20/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 20/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis21/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure -0.00; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 36.56%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.56% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors32/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 17 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options47/100

NFLX shows bullish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.53, expected move of 3.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 3.6% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

With Paramount's Acquisition of Warner Bros. on Hold and Netflix Down 38%, Is Netflix Stock Finally a Buy? Insiders17 / 3

17 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings78d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow3 items

0 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202671.71 USD2.3%85.62 USD81.68 USD-0.90-32.94220.1MOff
24 Jul 202670.09 USD1.7%86.27 USD81.50 USD-0.86-34.94244.8MOff
17 Jul 202668.95 USD-6.0%87.08 USD81.32 USD-0.79-37.83320.8MOff
10 Jul 202673.37 USD-5.5%87.93 USD81.15 USD-0.74-37.48195.7MOff
3 Jul 202677.65 USD5.2%88.65 USD80.96 USD-0.73-33.62191.1MOff
26 Jun 202673.81 USD-4.6%89.41 USD80.75 USD-0.73-37.28300.6MOff
19 Jun 202677.38 USD-3.7%90.53 USD80.56 USD-0.65-38.18243.7MOff
12 Jun 202680.34 USD-2.2%91.43 USD80.33 USD-0.48-35.07172.9MOff
5 Jun 202682.18 USD-4.5%92.46 USD80.09 USD-0.23-32.94195.2MOff
29 May 202686.02 USD-2.9%93.40 USD79.84 USD-0.01-33.84125.2MOff
22 May 202688.60 USD1.8%94.26 USD79.54 USD0.14-30.77146.1MOff
15 May 202687.02 USD-0.5%94.96 USD79.22 USD0.25-31.98176.7MOff
8 May 202687.49 USD-5.0%96.05 USD78.89 USD0.46-32.60186.7MOff
1 May 202692.06 USD-0.4%97.21 USD78.55 USD0.61-26.05160.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.