Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 271-283 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
WAFU NASDAQ · Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
17 Oct 20251.88
1.56
-17.02%
4
77.42
0.81%
1.04
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
20 Mar 202618.04
17.99
-0.28%
4
97.98
7.58%
104.56
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
5 Jun 20267.54
7.43
-1.46%
8
89.01
10.08%
20.93
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
5 Jun 202626.21
26.24
0.11%
5
85.43
2.98%
0.21
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3 Jul 20264.51
4.17
-7.54%
4
83.26
5.14%
9.36
XFOR NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20264.10
4.41
7.56%
4
42.28
2.04%
12.07
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
12.15
3.58%
8
34.34
0.51%
6.37
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
28 Nov 202546.48
44.49
-4.28%
4
54.51
5.76%
11.23
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
29 May 20267.95
7.79
-2.01%
4
96.62
2.84%
7.56
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
17 Oct 202512.44
15.46
24.28%
6
59.92
2.10%
1.09
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
17 Apr 202647.55
52.18
9.74%
4
91.45
2.32%
20.55
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
19 Sep 20259.50
13.44
41.47%
4
41.96
0.31%
3.15
ZNTL NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
30 Jan 20262.43
4.88
100.82%
4
93.40
15.91%
32.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1411-1440 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 Aug 2025
Exit
AWI NYSE · Armstrong World Industries Inc
192.99
Reversal Risk Warning
137.18%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 81.37
15 Aug 2025
Entry
BRNS NASDAQ · Barinthus Biotherapeutics plc
1.24
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 56.59 · ROC 5.02% · RS 0.71
15 Aug 2025
Exit
BSBK NASDAQ · Bogota Financial Corp
9.09
Reversal Risk Warning
9.26%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 8.32
15 Aug 2025
Entry
CALY NYSE · Callaway Golf Company
9.86
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 61.33 · ROC 1.30% · RS 8.05
15 Aug 2025
Exit
CLFD NASDAQ · Clearfield Inc
31.38
20% entry drawdown
-21.57%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 40.01
15 Aug 2025
Entry
CRBU NASDAQ · Caribou Biosciences Inc
1.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.66 · ROC 3.76% · RS 11.37
15 Aug 2025
Exit
DHX NYSE · DHI Group Inc
2.19
20% entry drawdown
-21.22%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 2.78
15 Aug 2025
Entry
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
4.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.48 · ROC 4.75% · RS 20.76
15 Aug 2025
Entry
ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
10.21
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.75 · ROC 2.44% · RS 4.33
15 Aug 2025
Entry
EVC NYSE · Entravision Communications
2.32
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 19.11 · ROC 0.25% · RS 6.23
15 Aug 2025
Exit
EVEX NYSE · Eve Holding Inc
4.62
20% entry drawdown
-21.16%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 5.86
15 Aug 2025
Exit
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.77
20% entry drawdown
-21.56%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 0.98
15 Aug 2025
Exit
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
12.91
Reversal Risk Warning
128.09%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 5.66
15 Aug 2025
Exit
HTT NYSE · High Templar Tech Limited Sponsored ADR Class A
4.67
Reversal Risk Warning
285.95%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 1.21
15 Aug 2025
Entry
LIDR NASDAQ · Aeye Inc
2.54
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.15 · ROC 20.10% · RS 95.47
15 Aug 2025
Entry
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.24
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 86.78 · ROC 7.03% · RS 12.15
15 Aug 2025
Entry
MGA NYSE · Magna International Inc
43.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 59.44 · ROC 1.10% · RS 4.52
15 Aug 2025
Exit
MRM NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc
2.12
20% entry drawdown
-23.19%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 2.76
15 Aug 2025
Exit
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
9.14
20% entry drawdown
-25.75%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 12.31
15 Aug 2025
Exit
NIU NASDAQ · Niu Technologies
4.99
Reversal Risk Warning
55.94%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 3.20
15 Aug 2025
Entry
NUE NYSE · Nucor Corp
143.85
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 42.91 · ROC 2.66% · RS 0.18
15 Aug 2025
Entry
ONCY NASDAQ · Oncolytics Biotech Inc
1.08
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.37 · ROC 1.74% · RS 14.38
15 Aug 2025
Exit
PHIO NASDAQ · Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp
2.18
20% entry drawdown
-20.44%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 2.74
15 Aug 2025
Entry
PROK NASDAQ · ProKidney Corp.
2.36
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.92 · ROC 11.00% · RS 28.02
15 Aug 2025
Entry
QTEX NASDAQ · QTREX Quantum Ltd.
1.27
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.44 · ROC 3.48% · RS 11.33
15 Aug 2025
Entry
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
33.98
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 99.19 · ROC 2.66% · RS 3.12
15 Aug 2025
Entry
RRGB NASDAQ · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
6.72
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 48.30 · ROC 1.77% · RS 21.31
15 Aug 2025
Entry
RUN NASDAQ · Sunrun Inc
13.92
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.86 · ROC 2.52% · RS 11.78
15 Aug 2025
Entry
SCHL NASDAQ · Scholastic Corporation
25.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.14 · ROC 3.90% · RS 1.56
15 Aug 2025
Entry
SOGP NASDAQ · Sound Group Inc.
3.74
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 46.90 · ROC 15.58% · RS 58.50