Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 271-283 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
WAFU NASDAQ · Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
17 Oct 20251.88
1.56
-17.02%
4
77.42
0.81%
1.04
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
20 Mar 202618.04
17.99
-0.28%
4
97.98
7.58%
104.56
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
5 Jun 20267.54
7.43
-1.46%
8
89.01
10.08%
20.93
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
5 Jun 202626.21
26.24
0.11%
5
85.43
2.98%
0.21
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3 Jul 20264.51
4.17
-7.54%
4
83.26
5.14%
9.36
XFOR NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20264.10
4.41
7.56%
4
42.28
2.04%
12.07
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
12.15
3.58%
8
34.34
0.51%
6.37
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
28 Nov 202546.48
44.49
-4.28%
4
54.51
5.76%
11.23
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
29 May 20267.95
7.79
-2.01%
4
96.62
2.84%
7.56
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
17 Oct 202512.44
15.46
24.28%
6
59.92
2.10%
1.09
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
17 Apr 202647.55
52.18
9.74%
4
91.45
2.32%
20.55
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
19 Sep 20259.50
13.44
41.47%
4
41.96
0.31%
3.15
ZNTL NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
30 Jan 20262.43
4.88
100.82%
4
93.40
15.91%
32.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1981-2010 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
28 Feb 2025
Exit
QSI NASDAQ · QuantumSi Inc
1.38
20% entry drawdown
-30.30%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 1.98
28 Feb 2025
Exit
SHC NASDAQ · Sotera Health Co
12.47
20% entry drawdown
-21.08%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 15.80
28 Feb 2025
Exit
SNTI NASDAQ · Senti Biosciences Inc
3.01
20% entry drawdown
-30.00%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 4.30
28 Feb 2025
Exit
TBLA NASDAQ · Taboola
2.73
20% entry drawdown
-27.97%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 3.79
28 Feb 2025
Exit
VATE NYSE · Innovate Corp
9.12
20% entry drawdown
-28.64%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 12.78
28 Feb 2025
Exit
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
6.48
20% entry drawdown
-20.20%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 8.12
28 Feb 2025
Exit
WKSP NASDAQ · Worksport Ltd
6.67
20% entry drawdown
-30.80%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 9.64
28 Feb 2025
Exit
ZTEK NASDAQ · ZEN Graphene Solutions Ltd
0.91
20% entry drawdown
-22.21%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.17
21 Feb 2025
Exit
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
2.46
20% entry drawdown
-26.02%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 3.33
21 Feb 2025
Entry
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
11.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 40.18 · ROC 5.91% · RS 5.50
21 Feb 2025
Entry
ATXG NASDAQ · Addentax Group Corp
16.28
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.77 · ROC 4.74% · RS 25.26
21 Feb 2025
Exit
BEEP NASDAQ · Mobile Infrastructure Corporation
3.07
20% entry drawdown
-26.56%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 4.18
21 Feb 2025
Entry
BNR NASDAQ · Burning Rock Biotech Ltd
7.15
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 22.04 · ROC 1.25% · RS 3.58
21 Feb 2025
Exit
BRTX NASDAQ · BioRestorative Therapies Inc
1.80
20% entry drawdown
-21.40%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 2.29
21 Feb 2025
Entry
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
11.82
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.76 · ROC 2.52% · RS 18.00
21 Feb 2025
Entry
CTEV NYSE · Claritev Corporation
29.28
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.05 · ROC 11.26% · RS 51.67
21 Feb 2025
Entry
DHX NYSE · DHI Group Inc
2.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.28 · ROC 4.44% · RS 12.66
21 Feb 2025
Exit
FWDI NASDAQ · Forward Industries, Inc.
5.05
20% entry drawdown
-22.81%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 6.54
21 Feb 2025
Exit
GDS NASDAQ · GDS Holdings Ltd
44.76
Reversal Risk Warning
288.20%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 11.53
21 Feb 2025
Exit
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
1.55
20% entry drawdown
-25.84%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 2.09
21 Feb 2025
Entry
LUCD NASDAQ · Lucid Diagnostics Inc
1.46
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.68 · ROC 6.26% · RS 47.36
21 Feb 2025
Exit
MBOT NASDAQ · Microbot Medical Inc
1.59
20% entry drawdown
-21.67%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 2.03
21 Feb 2025
Exit
RNG NYSE · Ringcentral Inc
28.85
20% entry drawdown
-29.44%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 40.89
21 Feb 2025
Exit
SAP NYSE · SAP SE ADR
275.84
Reversal Risk Warning
166.97%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 103.32
21 Feb 2025
Entry
SYPR NASDAQ · Sypris Solutions Inc
1.93
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 30.73 · ROC 2.02% · RS 2.69
21 Feb 2025
Entry
TOI NASDAQ · Oncology Institute Inc
0.89
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.66 · ROC 15.44% · RS 24.00
21 Feb 2025
Exit
VNET NASDAQ · VNET Group Inc DRC
14.59
Reversal Risk Warning
424.82%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 2.78
21 Feb 2025
Exit
VVOS NASDAQ · Vivos Therapeutics Inc
3.12
20% entry drawdown
-32.32%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 4.61
14 Feb 2025
Entry
AGPU NASDAQ · Axe Compute Inc.
24.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.46 · ROC 6.58% · RS 6.95
14 Feb 2025
Exit
APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp
31.65
20% entry drawdown
-22.14%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 40.65