Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1471-1500 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
8 Aug 2025
Exit
SANA NASDAQ · Sana Biotechnology Inc
3.00
20% entry drawdown
-23.27%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 3.91
8 Aug 2025
Entry
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
7.80
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 84.20 · ROC 4.13% · RS 1.21
8 Aug 2025
Exit
TLSI NASDAQ · TriSalus Life Sciences Inc.
3.95
20% entry drawdown
-24.33%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 5.22
8 Aug 2025
Exit
TWST NASDAQ · Twist Bioscience Corp
25.64
20% entry drawdown
-25.92%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 34.61
8 Aug 2025
Exit
VEON NASDAQ · VEON Ltd
56.20
Reversal Risk Warning
330.57%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 13.05
8 Aug 2025
Exit
VIOT NASDAQ · Viomi Technology ADR
3.41
Reversal Risk Warning
255.31%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 0.96
8 Aug 2025
Exit
YALA NYSE · Yalla Group Ltd
9.08
Reversal Risk Warning
109.70%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 4.33
1 Aug 2025
Entry
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
21.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.40 · ROC 3.89% · RS 9.73
1 Aug 2025
Exit
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
1.75
20% entry drawdown
-22.57%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 2.26
1 Aug 2025
Entry
AREC NASDAQ · American Resources Corp Class A
1.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.22 · ROC 4.14% · RS 30.69
1 Aug 2025
Entry
ARTL NASDAQ · Artelo Biosciences Inc
30.60
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 60.23 · ROC 19.31% · RS 26.78
1 Aug 2025
Exit
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
9.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.81%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 12.15
1 Aug 2025
Entry
DK NYSE · Delek US Energy Inc
20.16
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 76.70 · ROC 5.38% · RS 8.09
1 Aug 2025
Entry
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
11.27
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 98.00 · ROC 4.60% · RS 1.27
1 Aug 2025
Entry
HSY NYSE · Hershey Co
183.49
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 77.93 · ROC 0.61% · RS 2.33
1 Aug 2025
Exit
IMCC NASDAQ · Im Cannabis Corp
2.53
20% entry drawdown
-26.02%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 3.42
1 Aug 2025
Exit
JD NASDAQ · JD.com Inc Adr
29.86
20% entry drawdown
-20.34%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 37.48
1 Aug 2025
Entry
MANU NYSE · Manchester United Ltd
17.57
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 63.79 · ROC 0.41% · RS 2.39
1 Aug 2025
Entry
MDXH NASDAQ · MDxHealth SA ADR
2.43
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.27 · ROC 0.37% · RS 5.59
1 Aug 2025
Exit
META NASDAQ · Meta Platforms Inc.
747.60
Reversal Risk Warning
266.04%
Entry 24 Mar 2023 204.24
1 Aug 2025
Entry
MIRA NASDAQ · MIRA Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock
1.54
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 71.60 · ROC 4.98% · RS 7.34
1 Aug 2025
Exit
NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.59
20% entry drawdown
-24.71%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 3.44
1 Aug 2025
Exit
OM NASDAQ · Outset Medical Inc
15.04
20% entry drawdown
-28.04%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 20.90
1 Aug 2025
Exit
OPK NASDAQ · Opko Health Inc
1.19
20% entry drawdown
-20.67%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 1.50
1 Aug 2025
Entry
ORIO NASDAQ · Orion Digital Corp.
1.55
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 97.33 · ROC 5.44% · RS 12.88
1 Aug 2025
Entry
SANA NASDAQ · Sana Biotechnology Inc
3.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.54 · ROC 15.04% · RS 13.16
1 Aug 2025
Exit
STKS NASDAQ · One Group Hospitality Inc
2.96
20% entry drawdown
-28.50%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 4.14
1 Aug 2025
Exit
STM NYSE · STMicroelectronics NV ADR
24.83
20% entry drawdown
-22.34%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 31.97
1 Aug 2025
Entry
SVV NYSE · Savers Value Village, Inc.
11.47
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 40.53 · ROC 0.57% · RS 9.68
1 Aug 2025
Exit
TAOX NASDAQ · TAO Synergies Inc.
5.99
20% entry drawdown
-40.75%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 10.11