Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1801-1830 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
4 Apr 2025
Exit
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
2.53
20% entry drawdown
-22.39%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 3.26
4 Apr 2025
Exit
FENC NASDAQ · Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc
5.25
20% entry drawdown
-23.69%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 6.88
4 Apr 2025
Entry
GHRS NASDAQ · GH Research PLC
10.09
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 30.25 · ROC 1.63% · RS 11.67
4 Apr 2025
Exit
GOSS NASDAQ · Gossamer Bio Inc
0.80
20% entry drawdown
-33.88%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 1.21
4 Apr 2025
Exit
GROV NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
1.31
20% entry drawdown
-20.61%
Entry 28 Feb 2025 1.65
4 Apr 2025
Exit
GTIM NASDAQ · Good Times Restaurants Inc
2.05
20% entry drawdown
-30.98%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 2.97
4 Apr 2025
Exit
GV NASDAQ · Visionary Education Technology Holdings Group Inc.
2.49
20% entry drawdown
-22.19%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 3.20
4 Apr 2025
Exit
HRMY NASDAQ · Harmony Biosciences Holdings
29.26
20% entry drawdown
-21.87%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 37.45
4 Apr 2025
Entry
HRTX NASDAQ · Heron Therapeuti
2.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 75.54 · ROC 2.74% · RS 5.27
4 Apr 2025
Exit
HUT NASDAQ · Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
11.39
20% entry drawdown
-21.29%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 14.47
4 Apr 2025
Entry
HYMC NASDAQ · Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation
2.57
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 63.96 · ROC 4.22% · RS 10.96
4 Apr 2025
Entry
IH NYSE · Ihuman Inc
1.77
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 74.61 · ROC 6.84% · RS 19.15
4 Apr 2025
Exit
INVX NYSE · Innovex International, Inc
14.49
20% entry drawdown
-22.39%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 18.67
4 Apr 2025
Exit
KMT NYSE · Kennametal Inc
18.43
20% entry drawdown
-25.06%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 24.59
4 Apr 2025
Exit
KYMR NASDAQ · Kymera Therapeutics Inc
22.07
20% entry drawdown
-33.06%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 32.97
4 Apr 2025
Exit
LAES NASDAQ · SEALSQ Corp
2.35
20% entry drawdown
-26.10%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 3.18
4 Apr 2025
Exit
LCII NYSE · LCI Industries
77.82
20% entry drawdown
-23.04%
Entry 5 May 2023 101.12
4 Apr 2025
Exit
LIND NASDAQ · Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc
8.01
20% entry drawdown
-21.93%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 10.26
4 Apr 2025
Exit
MGNI NASDAQ · Magnite Inc
9.08
20% entry drawdown
-29.78%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 12.93
4 Apr 2025
Entry
MPT NYSE · Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
4.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.73 · ROC 3.71% · RS 24.06
4 Apr 2025
Exit
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
9.27
20% entry drawdown
-27.27%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 12.75
4 Apr 2025
Exit
NGVT NYSE · Ingevity Corp
31.43
20% entry drawdown
-34.05%
Entry 28 Feb 2025 47.66
4 Apr 2025
Entry
NIU NASDAQ · Niu Technologies
3.20
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 95.36 · ROC 11.23% · RS 67.24
4 Apr 2025
Entry
NVCT NASDAQ · Nuvectis Pharma Inc
8.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.05 · ROC 5.85% · RS 39.13
4 Apr 2025
Exit
OKYO NASDAQ · OKYO Pharma Ltd ADR
1.14
20% entry drawdown
-24.44%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 1.51
4 Apr 2025
Exit
PAX NASDAQ · Patria Investments Ltd
9.60
20% entry drawdown
-22.30%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 12.35
4 Apr 2025
Exit
PETZ NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1.06
20% entry drawdown
-20.30%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 1.33
4 Apr 2025
Entry
PGEN NASDAQ · Precigen Inc
1.24
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 40.57 · ROC 6.39% · RS 10.47
4 Apr 2025
Entry
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 20.22 · ROC 2.56% · RS 30.00
4 Apr 2025
Exit
PRPO NASDAQ · Precipio Inc
5.27
20% entry drawdown
-27.03%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 7.22