Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2911-2940 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
31 May 2024
Exit
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
8.67
20% entry drawdown
-23.41%
Entry 17 May 2024 11.32
31 May 2024
Entry
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
22.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.65 · ROC 6.17% · RS 0.91
31 May 2024
Entry
NEON NASDAQ · Neonode Inc
3.19
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 76.59 · ROC 10.89% · RS 11.22
31 May 2024
Exit
PRCH NASDAQ · Porch Group Inc
2.10
20% entry drawdown
-23.91%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.76
31 May 2024
Entry
RDWR NASDAQ · Radware Ltd
20.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.31 · ROC 3.50% · RS 1.67
31 May 2024
Exit
SGC NASDAQ · Superior Uniform Group Inc
18.63
Reversal Risk Warning
55.88%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 11.95
31 May 2024
Exit
SNOW NYSE · Snowflake Inc.
136.18
20% entry drawdown
-20.20%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 170.65
31 May 2024
Exit
SRRK NASDAQ · Scholar Rock Holding Corp
9.39
20% entry drawdown
-20.02%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 11.74
31 May 2024
Exit
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
4.29
20% entry drawdown
-21.43%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 5.46
31 May 2024
Exit
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
10.10
20% entry drawdown
-23.48%
Entry 17 May 2024 13.20
31 May 2024
Exit
VTGN NASDAQ · VistaGen Therapeutics Inc
3.86
20% entry drawdown
-23.41%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 5.04
31 May 2024
Entry
WRBY NYSE · Warby Parker Inc
17.71
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.69 · ROC 3.11% · RS 20.04
31 May 2024
Exit
XYZ NYSE · Block, Inc
64.08
20% entry drawdown
-20.63%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 80.74
24 May 2024
Entry
ADT NYSE · ADT Inc
6.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 55.18 · ROC 1.94% · RS 0.23
24 May 2024
Exit
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
29.67
Reversal Risk Warning
178.85%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 10.64
24 May 2024
Entry
DOGZ NASDAQ · Dogness International Corp Class A
10.97
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 47.35 · ROC 0.08% · RS 7.97
24 May 2024
Entry
EBS NYSE · Emergent Biosolutions Inc
4.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.58 · ROC 13.06% · RS 7.10
24 May 2024
Entry
INSG NASDAQ · Inseego Corp
7.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.81 · ROC 10.40% · RS 44.38
24 May 2024
Entry
KPLT NASDAQ · Katapult Holdings Inc
18.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.57 · ROC 7.29% · RS 20.03
24 May 2024
Entry
LXFR NYSE · Luxfer Holdings PLC
11.19
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 90.79 · ROC 3.37% · RS 0.81
24 May 2024
Exit
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
166.61
Reversal Risk Warning
33.29%
Entry 3 May 2024 125.00
24 May 2024
Entry
RERE NYSE · ATRenew Inc DRC
2.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.73 · ROC 6.82% · RS 0.00
24 May 2024
Exit
RSKD NYSE · Riskified Ltd
6.26
Reversal Risk Warning
15.71%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 5.41
24 May 2024
Entry
SATS NASDAQ · EchoStar Corporation
18.49
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 77.49 · ROC 3.07% · RS 1.93
24 May 2024
Exit
TNDM NASDAQ · Tandem Diabetes Care Inc
51.73
Reversal Risk Warning
46.09%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 35.41
24 May 2024
Entry
WAVE NASDAQ · Eco Wave Power Global AB ADR
3.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.82 · ROC 3.72% · RS 24.53
24 May 2024
Entry
WHLRP NASDAQ · Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust Inc Pref
1.74
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 50.92 · ROC 2.65% · RS 17.09
17 May 2024
Entry
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
7.38
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.08 · ROC 4.47% · RS 23.58
17 May 2024
Exit
AES NYSE · The AES Corporation
19.17
Reversal Risk Warning
6.72%
Entry 10 May 2024 17.96
17 May 2024
Exit
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
1.15
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 1.45