Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.28
118.47%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
64.44
15.93%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
5.11
25.86%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
7 Nov 202523.35
39.71
70.06%
5
64.71
3.59%
6.32
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
5 Jun 20265.85
5.01
-14.36%
7
65.96
8.77%
8.65
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.94
2.25
15.98%
4
75.08
16.21%
170.56
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
27 Mar 202627.87
50.06
79.63%
4
97.10
0.93%
24.59
IRWD NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
14 Nov 20253.14
4.47
42.36%
8
98.96
14.26%
56.91
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
6 Mar 202620.09
22.73
13.13%
5
74.12
2.33%
2.04
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
25 Oct 20241.74
2.01
15.21%
4
48.67
2.74%
0.12
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
3 Jul 202610.84
11.16
2.95%
4
85.82
12.88%
8.46
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
26 Jun 202612.73
13.55
6.44%
6
97.98
4.92%
3.10
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
12 Sep 20253.40
5.00
47.06%
4
60.29
0.53%
2.25
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
22 May 202641.20
54.63
32.60%
4
93.52
6.61%
12.63
KLXE NASDAQ · KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20262.54
2.46
-3.15%
4
79.97
4.26%
4.10
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
26 Jun 202652.76
53.49
1.38%
4
86.72
5.19%
3.83
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202635.02
47.56
35.80%
5
94.22
3.29%
15.17
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20268.77
10.34
17.90%
4
54.99
4.56%
23.02
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
17 Apr 20266.27
5.89
-6.12%
4
74.90
1.06%
0.35
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
5 Jun 20263.73
4.09
9.65%
5
74.39
0.76%
7.72
KW NYSE · Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc
7 Nov 20259.08
10.92
20.22%
8
24.09
1.07%
4.38
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
15 May 202613.16
13.56
3.04%
4
94.60
10.82%
35.61
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
27 Feb 202612.72
11.65
-8.41%
4
93.64
5.72%
5.87
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
6 Mar 20269.68
8.11
-16.22%
4
96.98
9.40%
46.54
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
26 Dec 202510.95
10.94
-0.05%
4
93.26
3.13%
6.68
LINE NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202643.45
43.12
-0.75%
8
90.19
3.36%
0.23
LITB NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
26 Sep 20251.91
3.05
60.10%
4
85.81
9.47%
10.70
LKFT NASDAQ · Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV
11 Jul 202530.30
30.27
-0.10%
6
54.25
0.76%
0.66
LNTH NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202676.43
105.64
38.22%
8
65.14
3.51%
3.69
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.71
-3.13%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2251-2280 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Dec 2024
Exit
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
10.06
Reversal Risk Warning
26.17%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 7.97
13 Dec 2024
Entry
ONDS NASDAQ · Ondas Holdings Inc.
1.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 40.49 · ROC 3.85% · RS 23.29
13 Dec 2024
Entry
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
2.68
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 54.24 · ROC 2.80% · RS 2.52
13 Dec 2024
Entry
PETS NASDAQ · PetMed Express Inc
5.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.69 · ROC 3.34% · RS 1.47
13 Dec 2024
Entry
PLBY NASDAQ · Plby Group Inc
1.41
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.31 · ROC 6.73% · RS 29.55
13 Dec 2024
Entry
RYM NASDAQ · RYTHM, Inc.
40.00
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 72.10 · ROC 112.72% · RS 270.25
13 Dec 2024
Entry
SCKT NASDAQ · Socket Mobile Inc
1.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.27 · ROC 3.29% · RS 10.02
13 Dec 2024
Exit
SGMT NASDAQ · Sagimet Biosciences Inc. Series A Common Stock
4.39
20% entry drawdown
-22.85%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 5.69
13 Dec 2024
Entry
VVOS NASDAQ · Vivos Therapeutics Inc
4.61
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 71.40 · ROC 7.65% · RS 1.80
13 Dec 2024
Exit
WIT NYSE · Wipro Limited ADR
3.44
Reversal Risk Warning
27.26%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 2.71
13 Dec 2024
Entry
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
4.77
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.97 · ROC 0.98% · RS 20.71
13 Dec 2024
Exit
ZSTK NASDAQ · ZeroStack Corp.
50.70
20% entry drawdown
-22.16%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 65.13
6 Dec 2024
Exit
AOSL NASDAQ · Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
48.43
Reversal Risk Warning
49.06%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 32.49
6 Dec 2024
Exit
API NASDAQ · Agora Inc
6.16
Reversal Risk Warning
40.32%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 4.39
6 Dec 2024
Entry
APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp
40.65
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 78.18 · ROC 1.77% · RS 3.09
6 Dec 2024
Entry
ARQT NASDAQ · Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc
12.40
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 57.82 · ROC 4.08% · RS 24.00
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BCYC NASDAQ · Bicycle Therapeutics Ltd
19.95
20% entry drawdown
-20.07%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 24.96
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
26.40
20% entry drawdown
-25.42%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 35.40
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
4.88
Reversal Risk Warning
148.98%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 1.96
6 Dec 2024
Entry
BTCT NASDAQ · BTC Digital Ltd.
10.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 11.70 · ROC 91.46% · RS 151.16
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
5.36
Reversal Risk Warning
165.35%
Entry 10 May 2024 2.02
6 Dec 2024
Exit
CAN NASDAQ · Canaan Inc
3.04
Reversal Risk Warning
54.31%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 1.97
6 Dec 2024
Exit
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
357.26
Reversal Risk Warning
82.01%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 196.29
6 Dec 2024
Exit
DOCU NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
106.99
Reversal Risk Warning
55.08%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 68.99
6 Dec 2024
Entry
EAF NYSE · GrafTech International Ltd
20.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.31 · ROC 4.25% · RS 22.26
6 Dec 2024
Exit
FVRR NYSE · Fiverr International Ltd
35.35
Reversal Risk Warning
10.09%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 32.11
6 Dec 2024
Exit
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
2.09
20% entry drawdown
-20.53%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 2.63
6 Dec 2024
Exit
IKT NASDAQ · Inhibikase Therapeutics Inc
3.28
Reversal Risk Warning
41.99%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 2.31
6 Dec 2024
Exit
MIRA NASDAQ · MIRA Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock
1.19
20% entry drawdown
-22.73%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 1.54
6 Dec 2024
Entry
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
11.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.44 · ROC 1.70% · RS 17.93