View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.12
0.32%
4
89.96
6.39%
36.31
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.22
79.03%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
56.35
-14.10%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.71
-0.21%
4
92.24
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.10
44.64%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.15
12.85%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.80
36.92%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.33
117.59%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.70
37.81%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.16
50.65%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
48.99
12.68%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
30.68
-2.32%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
233.31
16.49%
5
78.00
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
14.08
3.76%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
68.27
54.91%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.15
27.28%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.09
26.88%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.61
85.14%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.44
-10.29%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.06
14.82%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
33.75
14.27%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.02
-11.26%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.89
25.17%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
82.09
59.24%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
12.53
54.79%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.72
100.85%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.97
38.79%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.48
56.76%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.65
14.34%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.31
64.21%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3151-3180 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
29 Mar 2024
Entry
ARQT NASDAQ · Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc
9.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.37 · ROC 5.16% · RS 11.24
29 Mar 2024
Exit
ATOS NASDAQ · Atossa Genetics Inc
27.00
Reversal Risk Warning
39.53%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 19.35
29 Mar 2024
Exit
BALL NYSE · Ball Corporation
65.27
Reversal Risk Warning
8.83%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 59.98
29 Mar 2024
Exit
BBWI NYSE · Bath & Body Works Inc.
46.71
Reversal Risk Warning
18.37%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 39.46
29 Mar 2024
Entry
BCAB NASDAQ · Bioatla Inc
172.00
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 51.58 · ROC 1.28% · RS 13.04
29 Mar 2024
Exit
BHC NYSE · Bausch Health Companies Inc
10.61
Reversal Risk Warning
10.98%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 9.56
29 Mar 2024
Entry
BLIN NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
1.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.83 · ROC 2.22% · RS 4.87
29 Mar 2024
Entry
BPYPP NASDAQ · Brookfield Property Partners LP
12.44
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.86 · ROC 1.06% · RS 0.97
29 Mar 2024
Exit
BYSI NASDAQ · BeyondSpring Inc
3.57
Reversal Risk Warning
138.00%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 1.50
29 Mar 2024
Entry
CDNA NASDAQ · CareDx Inc
10.59
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 41.30 · ROC 2.40% · RS 1.23
29 Mar 2024
Entry
CMCM NYSE · Cheetah Mobile Inc
3.01
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 89.28 · ROC 2.51% · RS 17.32
29 Mar 2024
Entry
CNTX NASDAQ · Context Therapeutics Inc
1.38
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 24.21 · ROC 1.89% · RS 11.06
29 Mar 2024
Exit
CPIX NASDAQ · Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.24
29 Mar 2024
Exit
DLO NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
13.80
20% entry drawdown
-22.10%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 17.72
29 Mar 2024
Exit
FEMY NASDAQ · Femasys Inc
31.00
20% entry drawdown
-24.02%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 40.80
29 Mar 2024
Exit
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
40.19
Reversal Risk Warning
142.11%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 16.60
29 Mar 2024
Entry
GLUE NASDAQ · Monte Rosa Therapeutics Inc
7.05
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.95 · ROC 1.49% · RS 4.82
29 Mar 2024
Entry
IMRN NASDAQ · Immuron Ltd ADR
2.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.45 · ROC 7.55% · RS 11.73
29 Mar 2024
Exit
INO NASDAQ · Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc
13.88
Reversal Risk Warning
45.34%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 9.55
29 Mar 2024
Entry
JBLU NASDAQ · JetBlue Airways Corp
7.42
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 97.96 · ROC 2.46% · RS 1.16
29 Mar 2024
Entry
JVA NASDAQ · Coffee Holding Co Inc
1.54
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 89.42 · ROC 1.27% · RS 6.85
29 Mar 2024
Exit
KSS NYSE · Kohl's Corporation
25.30
Reversal Risk Warning
12.41%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 22.51
29 Mar 2024
Entry
LPCN NASDAQ · Lipocine Inc
5.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.02 · ROC 0.32% · RS 13.92
29 Mar 2024
Entry
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
13.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 87.78 · ROC 1.66% · RS 0.03
29 Mar 2024
Entry
NKTR NASDAQ · Nektar Therapeutics
14.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.38 · ROC 4.09% · RS 23.78
29 Mar 2024
Entry
NVNO NASDAQ · enVVeno Medical Corp
190.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.72 · ROC 2.94% · RS 1.91
29 Mar 2024
Entry
NYXH NASDAQ · Nyxoah
13.49
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 76.40 · ROC 13.09% · RS 39.83
29 Mar 2024
Entry
PRM NYSE · Perimeter Solutions SA
7.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.25 · ROC 2.37% · RS 17.80
29 Mar 2024
Entry
REAL NASDAQ · TheRealReal Inc
3.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.73 · ROC 6.50% · RS 63.86
29 Mar 2024
Exit
RNTX NASDAQ · Rein Therapeutics Inc
6.63
Reversal Risk Warning
117.48%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 3.05