View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
7.35
31.25%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.98
16.73%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
14.99
29.90%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.49
125.63%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.16
31.45%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.11
50.28%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.64
14.18%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.20
-0.67%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
225.37
12.53%
5
77.74
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.52
-0.37%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
61.82
40.28%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.65
30.99%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
7.24
50.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.64
86.35%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.51
-7.72%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.38
16.75%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
36.83
24.70%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.74
15.23%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
83.89
62.74%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
11.11
37.25%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.27
81.70%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.60
21.50%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.18
43.24%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.78
15.03%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.73
73.65%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
115.33
-3.49%
4
96.74
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.09
-10.41%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
15.92
-6.57%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
26.74
26.25%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.23
-10.29%
4
82.25
6.86%
15.74

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3931-3960 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
25 Aug 2023
Entry
VYX NYSE · NCR Voyix Corporation
18.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.25 · ROC 1.89% · RS 12.33
25 Aug 2023
Exit
WHG NYSE · Westwood Holdings Group Inc
8.83
20% entry drawdown
-20.70%
Entry 26 May 2023 11.14
25 Aug 2023
Exit
YOU NYSE · Clear Secure Inc
19.49
20% entry drawdown
-20.42%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 24.49
18 Aug 2023
Entry
ALTO NASDAQ · Alto Ingredients Inc
3.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.72 · ROC 4.88% · RS 2.65
18 Aug 2023
Exit
AMTX NASDAQ · Aemetis Inc
5.24
20% entry drawdown
-29.48%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 7.43
18 Aug 2023
Exit
ATOS NASDAQ · Atossa Genetics Inc
13.35
20% entry drawdown
-29.37%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 18.90
18 Aug 2023
Entry
AUID NASDAQ · authID Inc.
9.75
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 99.03 · ROC 12.06% · RS 2.02
18 Aug 2023
Exit
BB NYSE · BlackBerry Ltd
4.37
20% entry drawdown
-20.98%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 5.53
18 Aug 2023
Exit
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
4.73
20% entry drawdown
-23.59%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 6.19
18 Aug 2023
Entry
BV NYSE · BrightView Holdings
8.35
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.99 · ROC 1.64% · RS 5.04
18 Aug 2023
Entry
BWAY NASDAQ · Brainsway Ltd
1.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.80 · ROC 2.94% · RS 11.54
18 Aug 2023
Exit
CD NASDAQ · Chaince Digital Holdings Inc.
1.13
20% entry drawdown
-23.13%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 1.47
18 Aug 2023
Exit
COHR NYSE · Coherent Inc
34.45
20% entry drawdown
-25.12%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 46.01
18 Aug 2023
Exit
CTEV NYSE · Claritev Corporation
63.60
20% entry drawdown
-21.29%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 80.80
18 Aug 2023
Exit
DOCN NYSE · DigitalOcean Holdings Inc
32.72
20% entry drawdown
-21.04%
Entry 2 Jun 2023 41.44
18 Aug 2023
Entry
FEDU NYSE · Four Seasons Education Cayman
9.69
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 59.16 · ROC 4.10% · RS 7.37
18 Aug 2023
Exit
FSM NYSE · Fortuna Silver Mines Inc
2.86
20% entry drawdown
-21.43%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 3.64
18 Aug 2023
Exit
GBTG NYSE · Global Business Travel Group Inc
6.23
20% entry drawdown
-20.84%
Entry 23 Jun 2023 7.87
18 Aug 2023
Entry
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
6.72
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 67.34 · ROC 6.22% · RS 3.33
18 Aug 2023
Exit
GHRS NASDAQ · GH Research PLC
10.90
20% entry drawdown
-22.53%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 14.07
18 Aug 2023
Exit
HCSG NASDAQ · Healthcare Services Group Inc
12.40
20% entry drawdown
-20.56%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 15.61
18 Aug 2023
Entry
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
9.15
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 76.42 · ROC 7.29% · RS 6.37
18 Aug 2023
Exit
MVST NASDAQ · Microvast Holdings Inc
1.81
20% entry drawdown
-27.02%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 2.48
18 Aug 2023
Entry
NN NASDAQ · Nextnav Acquisition Corp
4.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.16 · ROC 4.22% · RS 20.23
18 Aug 2023
Exit
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
2.05
20% entry drawdown
-32.57%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 3.04
18 Aug 2023
Exit
OPEN NASDAQ · Opendoor Technologies Inc
3.06
20% entry drawdown
-21.39%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 3.89
18 Aug 2023
Entry
ORN NYSE · Orion Group Holdings Inc
3.32
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.06 · ROC 4.45% · RS 14.16
18 Aug 2023
Exit
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
3.88
Reversal Risk Warning
58.37%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 2.45
18 Aug 2023
Exit
RERE NYSE · ATRenew Inc DRC
2.34
20% entry drawdown
-20.86%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 2.95
18 Aug 2023
Exit
USAU NASDAQ · US Gold Corp
3.75
20% entry drawdown
-20.38%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 4.71