Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.12
0.32%
4
89.96
6.39%
36.31
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.22
79.03%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
56.35
-14.10%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.71
-0.21%
4
92.24
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.10
44.64%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.15
12.85%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.80
36.92%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.33
117.59%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.70
37.81%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.16
50.65%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
48.99
12.68%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
30.68
-2.32%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
233.31
16.49%
5
78.00
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
14.08
3.76%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
68.27
54.91%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.15
27.28%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.09
26.88%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.61
85.14%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.44
-10.29%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.06
14.82%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
33.75
14.27%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.02
-11.26%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.89
25.17%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
82.09
59.24%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
12.53
54.79%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.72
100.85%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.97
38.79%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.48
56.76%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.65
14.34%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.31
64.21%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1531-1560 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TPCS NASDAQ · TechPrecision Corporation Common stock
4.14
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.57 · ROC 0.01% · RS 10.89
25 Jul 2025
Entry
TTEC NASDAQ · TTEC Holdings Inc
5.26
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 47.43 · ROC 0.68% · RS 0.91
25 Jul 2025
Entry
VC NASDAQ · Visteon Corp
111.96
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.88 · ROC 3.00% · RS 11.42
25 Jul 2025
Exit
WDH NYSE · Waterdrop Inc ADR
1.97
Reversal Risk Warning
54.76%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.27
25 Jul 2025
Entry
WDS NYSE · Woodside Energy Group Ltd
16.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 38.70 · ROC 1.48% · RS 3.01
18 Jul 2025
Entry
AGCO NYSE · AGCO Corporation
105.95
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 46.16 · ROC 1.53% · RS 2.19
18 Jul 2025
Entry
ANIX NASDAQ · Anixa Biosciences Inc
3.44
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 54.02 · ROC 1.19% · RS 1.41
18 Jul 2025
Entry
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
2.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.21 · ROC 5.53% · RS 42.21
18 Jul 2025
Exit
ATYR NASDAQ · aTyr Pharma, Inc.
5.99
Reversal Risk Warning
168.61%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 2.23
18 Jul 2025
Entry
DINO NYSE · HF Sinclair Corp
42.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.09 · ROC 2.69% · RS 5.31
18 Jul 2025
Exit
FNGR NASDAQ · FingerMotion Inc
1.63
20% entry drawdown
-33.20%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 2.44
18 Jul 2025
Exit
IH NYSE · Ihuman Inc
2.99
Reversal Risk Warning
69.48%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 1.77
18 Jul 2025
Entry
IMCC NASDAQ · Im Cannabis Corp
3.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 39.65 · ROC 1.02% · RS 27.81
18 Jul 2025
Entry
IMCR NASDAQ · Immunocore Holdings Ltd
36.31
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 19.45 · ROC 1.53% · RS 0.28
18 Jul 2025
Exit
JOBY NYSE · Joby Aviation
17.78
Reversal Risk Warning
231.72%
Entry 26 May 2023 5.36
18 Jul 2025
Entry
LGCL NASDAQ · Lucas GC Limited Ordinary Shares
42.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 22.52 · ROC 12.67% · RS 6.26
18 Jul 2025
Exit
MPT NYSE · Medical Properties Trust, Inc.
3.80
20% entry drawdown
-20.73%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 4.79
18 Jul 2025
Entry
MTW NYSE · Manitowoc Company Inc
12.31
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 86.13 · ROC 3.84% · RS 12.50
18 Jul 2025
Exit
NCPL NASDAQ · Netcapital Inc
3.24
20% entry drawdown
-21.55%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 4.13
18 Jul 2025
Entry
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
3.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 45.45 · ROC 2.13% · RS 0.85
18 Jul 2025
Exit
RCL NYSE · Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd
344.14
Reversal Risk Warning
457.60%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 61.72
18 Jul 2025
Exit
SMR NYSE · Nuscale Power Corp
50.25
Reversal Risk Warning
729.21%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 6.06
18 Jul 2025
Exit
SRAD NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG
30.26
Reversal Risk Warning
160.82%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 11.60
18 Jul 2025
Exit
SY NASDAQ · So-Young International Inc
5.87
Reversal Risk Warning
512.03%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 0.96
18 Jul 2025
Entry
TAOX NASDAQ · TAO Synergies Inc.
10.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.96 · ROC 26.02% · RS 165.40
18 Jul 2025
Entry
TNXP NASDAQ · Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp
46.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 40.58 · ROC 4.82% · RS 63.05
18 Jul 2025
Exit
TRMB NASDAQ · Trimble Inc
82.04
Reversal Risk Warning
32.17%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 62.07
18 Jul 2025
Exit
VIVO NASDAQ · VivoPower PLC
6.87
Reversal Risk Warning
170.47%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 2.54
11 Jul 2025
Entry
ARRY NASDAQ · Array Technologies Inc
7.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 46.30 · ROC 2.49% · RS 0.55
11 Jul 2025
Exit
AZ NASDAQ · A2Z Smart Technologies Corp
11.42
Reversal Risk Warning
146.65%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 4.63