Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.12
0.32%
4
89.96
6.39%
36.31
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.22
79.03%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
56.35
-14.10%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.71
-0.21%
4
92.24
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.10
44.64%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.15
12.85%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.80
36.92%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.33
117.59%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.70
37.81%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.16
50.65%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
48.99
12.68%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
30.68
-2.32%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
233.31
16.49%
5
78.00
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
14.08
3.76%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
68.27
54.91%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.15
27.28%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.09
26.88%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.61
85.14%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.44
-10.29%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.06
14.82%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
33.75
14.27%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.02
-11.26%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.89
25.17%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
82.09
59.24%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
12.53
54.79%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.72
100.85%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.97
38.79%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.48
56.76%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.65
14.34%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.31
64.21%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2041-2070 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
14 Feb 2025
Entry
PRPO NASDAQ · Precipio Inc
7.22
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 50.87 · ROC 4.06% · RS 5.66
14 Feb 2025
Entry
PRT NYSE · PermRock Royalty Trust
3.96
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.14 · ROC 1.96% · RS 4.60
14 Feb 2025
Exit
PSQH NYSE · PSQ Holdings Inc.
3.64
20% entry drawdown
-21.55%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 4.64
14 Feb 2025
Entry
RMNI NASDAQ · Rimini Street Inc
3.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.20 · ROC 0.39% · RS 21.16
14 Feb 2025
Exit
RNXT NASDAQ · RenovoRx Inc
1.04
20% entry drawdown
-24.64%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 1.38
14 Feb 2025
Exit
SLQT NYSE · Selectquote Inc
6.00
Reversal Risk Warning
200.00%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 2.00
14 Feb 2025
Exit
TBRG NASDAQ · TruBridge Inc.
28.17
Reversal Risk Warning
124.11%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 12.57
14 Feb 2025
Entry
VATE NYSE · Innovate Corp
12.78
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.04 · ROC 14.54% · RS 84.92
14 Feb 2025
Exit
VNCE NASDAQ · Vince Holding Corp. Common Stock
3.04
20% entry drawdown
-25.12%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 4.06
14 Feb 2025
Entry
WDH NYSE · Waterdrop Inc ADR
1.27
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 30.83 · ROC 1.36% · RS 4.17
14 Feb 2025
Entry
ZTEK NASDAQ · ZEN Graphene Solutions Ltd
1.17
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 32.79 · ROC 1.65% · RS 0.13
7 Feb 2025
Entry
AISP NASDAQ · Airship AI Holdings Inc
5.79
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 55.04 · ROC 4.80% · RS 22.15
7 Feb 2025
Entry
ATAI NASDAQ · ATAI Life Sciences BV
2.18
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 56.34 · ROC 3.17% · RS 25.95
7 Feb 2025
Entry
ATEC NASDAQ · Alphatec Holdings Inc
11.36
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 87.86 · ROC 1.50% · RS 2.80
7 Feb 2025
Exit
BBAI NYSE · BigBearai Holdings Inc
8.59
Reversal Risk Warning
250.61%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 2.45
7 Feb 2025
Exit
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
62.13
20% entry drawdown
-31.14%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 90.22
7 Feb 2025
Exit
DCTH NASDAQ · Delcath Systems Inc
16.25
Reversal Risk Warning
206.60%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 5.30
7 Feb 2025
Entry
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
4.27
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 43.82 · ROC 1.13% · RS 12.00
7 Feb 2025
Exit
FBRX NASDAQ · Forte Biosciences Inc
11.91
20% entry drawdown
-33.01%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 17.78
7 Feb 2025
Exit
FISV NASDAQ · Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock
230.06
Reversal Risk Warning
125.15%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 102.18
7 Feb 2025
Entry
FNUC NASDAQ · Frontier Nuclear and Minerals Inc.
10.22
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 27.70 · ROC 4.47% · RS 7.27
7 Feb 2025
Exit
FRSX NASDAQ · Foresight Autonomous Holdings Ltd ADR
21.00
20% entry drawdown
-22.48%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 27.09
7 Feb 2025
Exit
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
53.55
Reversal Risk Warning
40.33%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 38.16
7 Feb 2025
Exit
GAMB NASDAQ · Gambling.com Group Ltd
16.18
Reversal Risk Warning
78.00%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 9.09
7 Feb 2025
Exit
GDYN NASDAQ · Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc
24.05
Reversal Risk Warning
67.83%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 14.33
7 Feb 2025
Entry
HRMY NASDAQ · Harmony Biosciences Holdings
37.45
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.67 · ROC 2.66% · RS 1.51
7 Feb 2025
Entry
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
3.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.72 · ROC 1.34% · RS 8.33
7 Feb 2025
Exit
ILAG NASDAQ · Intelligent Living Application Group Inc
7.64
20% entry drawdown
-23.60%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 10.00
7 Feb 2025
Exit
ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc
111.06
20% entry drawdown
-23.97%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 146.07
7 Feb 2025
Exit
KD NYSE · Kyndryl Holdings Inc
41.80
Reversal Risk Warning
232.54%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 12.57