View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.12
0.32%
4
89.96
6.39%
36.31
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.22
79.03%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
56.35
-14.10%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.71
-0.21%
4
92.24
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.10
44.64%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.15
12.85%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.80
36.92%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.33
117.59%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.70
37.81%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.16
50.65%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
48.99
12.68%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
30.68
-2.32%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
233.31
16.49%
5
78.00
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
14.08
3.76%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
68.27
54.91%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.15
27.28%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.09
26.88%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.61
85.14%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.44
-10.29%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.06
14.82%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
33.75
14.27%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.02
-11.26%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.89
25.17%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
82.09
59.24%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
12.53
54.79%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.72
100.85%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.97
38.79%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.48
56.76%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.65
14.34%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.31
64.21%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2401-2430 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
8 Nov 2024
Exit
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
77.40
20% entry drawdown
-21.82%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 99.00
8 Nov 2024
Exit
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
84.84
Reversal Risk Warning
24.58%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 68.10
8 Nov 2024
Exit
LBRDK NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs C
85.56
Reversal Risk Warning
25.17%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 68.36
8 Nov 2024
Exit
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
72.86
Reversal Risk Warning
182.23%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 25.81
8 Nov 2024
Exit
NCNO NASDAQ · nCino Inc
42.53
Reversal Risk Warning
21.24%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 35.08
8 Nov 2024
Entry
NCTY NASDAQ · The9 Ltd ADR
8.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.55 · ROC 4.30% · RS 3.53
8 Nov 2024
Entry
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
12.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.66 · ROC 2.95% · RS 0.06
8 Nov 2024
Exit
NGNE NASDAQ · Neurogene Inc
68.21
Reversal Risk Warning
115.17%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 31.70
8 Nov 2024
Exit
OCFC NASDAQ · OceanFirst Financial Corp.
18.85
Reversal Risk Warning
19.29%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 15.80
8 Nov 2024
Exit
OLPX NASDAQ · Olaplex Holdings Inc
1.71
20% entry drawdown
-24.00%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 2.25
8 Nov 2024
Entry
PRA NYSE · ProAssurance Corporation
16.99
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 78.58 · ROC 2.94% · RS 10.09
8 Nov 2024
Entry
QURE NASDAQ · Uniqure NV
7.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 36.38 · ROC 3.69% · RS 13.94
8 Nov 2024
Exit
RVNC NASDAQ · Revance Therapeutics, Inc.
3.70
20% entry drawdown
-36.21%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 5.80
8 Nov 2024
Exit
SFBS NYSE · ServisFirst Bancshares Inc
93.43
Reversal Risk Warning
50.27%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 62.18
8 Nov 2024
Exit
TASK NASDAQ · Taskus Inc
9.06
Reversal Risk Warning
32.35%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 6.84
8 Nov 2024
Exit
TISI NYSE · Team Inc
22.52
Reversal Risk Warning
153.60%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 8.88
8 Nov 2024
Entry
UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
8.76
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 44.13 · ROC 3.02% · RS 2.67
8 Nov 2024
Exit
UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
9.68
Reversal Risk Warning
3.42%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 9.36
8 Nov 2024
Exit
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
6.00
20% entry drawdown
-22.08%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 7.70
8 Nov 2024
Exit
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
8.07
Reversal Risk Warning
17.13%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 6.89
8 Nov 2024
Exit
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
81.00
Reversal Risk Warning
112.99%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 38.03
8 Nov 2024
Entry
UXIN NASDAQ · Uxin Ltd
4.71
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 43.76 · ROC 15.10% · RS 11.96
8 Nov 2024
Exit
VHI NYSE · Valhi Inc
39.87
Reversal Risk Warning
142.08%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 16.47
8 Nov 2024
Entry
ZVIA NYSE · Zevia Pbc
1.53
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 68.35 · ROC 2.06% · RS 3.12
1 Nov 2024
Entry
ATRC NASDAQ · AtriCure Inc
33.51
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 60.74 · ROC 0.11% · RS 4.82
1 Nov 2024
Entry
AUBN NASDAQ · Auburn National Bancorporation Inc
20.12
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 50.26 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.94
1 Nov 2024
Entry
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
10.15
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 97.77 · ROC 4.68% · RS 10.90
1 Nov 2024
Exit
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.54
20% entry drawdown
-21.83%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 1.97
1 Nov 2024
Entry
BIO NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
368.42
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 51.75 · ROC 0.19% · RS 5.48
1 Nov 2024
Entry
BMY NYSE · Bristol-Myers Squibb Company
50.60
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 91.82 · ROC 0.66% · RS 3.44