View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.62
30.39%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.12
-9.40%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
21.99
-11.98%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
45.87
13.27%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.63
-11.73%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
3.87
7.20%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.44
93.65%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.97
13.22%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.84
0.61%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
73.20
27.72%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
10.82
0.65%
4
48.73
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
50.80
-5.65%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.26
23.50%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
45.11
-3.28%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
10.02
42.96%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
12.73
8.99%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
78.15
-12.08%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.73
3.36%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.34
26.90%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.37
48.34%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.63
4.63%
5
99.38
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
34.66
2.00%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.94
35.00%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
676.69
-10.24%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
41.80
27.59%
4
93.57
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.14
31.79%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.23
40.34%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.46
20.13%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
17.21
-16.25%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4051-4080 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
21 Jul 2023
Exit
DV NYSE · DoubleVerify Holdings Inc
41.19
Reversal Risk Warning
45.81%
Entry 12 May 2023 28.25
21 Jul 2023
Entry
HOOD NASDAQ · Robinhood Markets Inc
12.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 50.39 · ROC 3.59% · RS 5.68
21 Jul 2023
Entry
LMND NYSE · Lemonade Inc
23.37
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 33.60 · ROC 1.65% · RS 13.27
21 Jul 2023
Exit
MASI NASDAQ · Masimo Corporation
114.30
20% entry drawdown
-33.31%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 171.39
21 Jul 2023
Entry
NEOG NASDAQ · Neogen Corporation
22.56
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 94.69 · ROC 5.05% · RS 3.84
21 Jul 2023
Exit
NGNE NASDAQ · Neurogene Inc
13.90
20% entry drawdown
-22.69%
Entry 5 May 2023 17.98
21 Jul 2023
Exit
OTEX NASDAQ · Open Text Corp
37.73
Reversal Risk Warning
9.06%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 34.60
21 Jul 2023
Entry
REAL NASDAQ · TheRealReal Inc
2.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.23 · ROC 9.24% · RS 33.64
21 Jul 2023
Entry
REKR NASDAQ · Rekor Systems Inc
3.07
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.70 · ROC 15.20% · RS 78.44
21 Jul 2023
Entry
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
15.28
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.44 · ROC 5.58% · RS 8.46
21 Jul 2023
Exit
SWKS NASDAQ · Skyworks Solutions Inc
101.93
Reversal Risk Warning
2.12%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 99.81
21 Jul 2023
Exit
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
6.43
20% entry drawdown
-22.88%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 8.33
21 Jul 2023
Exit
TXG NASDAQ · 10X Genomics Inc
59.96
Reversal Risk Warning
16.18%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 51.61
21 Jul 2023
Entry
U NYSE · Unity Software Inc
44.49
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.46 · ROC 4.33% · RS 14.68
21 Jul 2023
Exit
USNA NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc
63.07
Reversal Risk Warning
-4.97%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 66.37
21 Jul 2023
Exit
WKSP NASDAQ · Worksport Ltd
36.10
Reversal Risk Warning
36.23%
Entry 2 Jun 2023 26.50
21 Jul 2023
Exit
XP NASDAQ · Xp Inc
23.15
Reversal Risk Warning
11.16%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 20.82
21 Jul 2023
Entry
XPEV NYSE · Xpeng Inc
14.56
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.89 · ROC 4.58% · RS 12.28
14 Jul 2023
Exit
ACAD NASDAQ · ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc
32.18
Reversal Risk Warning
62.28%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 19.83
14 Jul 2023
Exit
AGNT NASDAQ · eXp World Holdings, Inc.
22.62
Reversal Risk Warning
16.54%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 19.41
14 Jul 2023
Entry
AIP NASDAQ · Arteris Inc
7.52
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 54.49 · ROC 6.40% · RS 3.79
14 Jul 2023
Exit
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
366.88
Reversal Risk Warning
17.29%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 312.79
14 Jul 2023
Entry
AMRX NASDAQ · Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Class A Common Stock
3.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.58 · ROC 4.53% · RS 7.06
14 Jul 2023
Exit
AQST NASDAQ · Aquestive Therapeutics Inc
1.56
20% entry drawdown
-20.81%
Entry 12 May 2023 1.97
14 Jul 2023
Exit
ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc
23.02
Reversal Risk Warning
3.69%
Entry 2 Jun 2023 22.20
14 Jul 2023
Exit
BAOS NASDAQ · Baosheng Media Group Holdings Ltd
10.30
Reversal Risk Warning
35.88%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 7.58
14 Jul 2023
Entry
CGEN NASDAQ · Compugen
1.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.94 · ROC 2.10% · RS 5.94
14 Jul 2023
Exit
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
133.50
Reversal Risk Warning
20.27%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 111.00
14 Jul 2023
Exit
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
32.73
Reversal Risk Warning
36.26%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 24.02
14 Jul 2023
Entry
FROG NASDAQ · Jfrog Ltd
29.19
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 80.26 · ROC 3.02% · RS 2.88