Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.62
30.39%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.12
-9.40%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
21.99
-11.98%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
45.87
13.27%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.63
-11.73%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
3.87
7.20%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.44
93.65%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.97
13.22%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.84
0.61%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
73.20
27.72%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
10.82
0.65%
4
48.73
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
50.80
-5.65%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.26
23.50%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
45.11
-3.28%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
10.02
42.96%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
12.73
8.99%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
78.15
-12.08%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.73
3.36%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.34
26.90%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.37
48.34%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.63
4.63%
5
99.38
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
34.66
2.00%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.94
35.00%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
676.69
-10.24%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
41.80
27.59%
4
93.57
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.14
31.79%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.23
40.34%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.46
20.13%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
17.21
-16.25%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4111-4140 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
7 Jul 2023
Exit
CRMD NASDAQ · CorMedix Inc
3.86
20% entry drawdown
-21.86%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 4.94
7 Jul 2023
Exit
CRNC NASDAQ · Cerence Inc
29.48
Reversal Risk Warning
5.63%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 27.91
7 Jul 2023
Exit
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
17.37
Reversal Risk Warning
-4.82%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 18.25
7 Jul 2023
Exit
CTXR NASDAQ · Citius Pharmaceuticals Inc
30.00
Reversal Risk Warning
5.26%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 28.50
7 Jul 2023
Entry
DTST NASDAQ · Data Storage Corp
2.60
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 66.73 · ROC 3.12% · RS 7.77
7 Jul 2023
Exit
EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc
116.80
Reversal Risk Warning
6.01%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 110.18
7 Jul 2023
Entry
ELTX NASDAQ · Elicio Therapeutics Inc.
10.99
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 36.49 · ROC 3.08% · RS 1.26
7 Jul 2023
Exit
ENOV NYSE · Enovis Corp
64.28
Reversal Risk Warning
3.08%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 62.36
7 Jul 2023
Entry
FCAP NASDAQ · First Capital Inc
30.55
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 90.51 · ROC 3.96% · RS 7.05
7 Jul 2023
Exit
GNTA NASDAQ · Genenta Science SpA ADR
6.01
Reversal Risk Warning
-9.62%
Entry 17 Mar 2023 6.65
7 Jul 2023
Entry
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
4.56
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.91 · ROC 6.18% · RS 35.25
7 Jul 2023
Exit
HBIO NASDAQ · Harvard Bioscience Inc
56.90
Reversal Risk Warning
33.57%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 42.60
7 Jul 2023
Exit
HIHO NASDAQ · Highway Holdings Limited
2.21
Reversal Risk Warning
7.76%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 2.06
7 Jul 2023
Exit
HUIZ NASDAQ · Huize Holding Ltd
6.40
Reversal Risk Warning
9.87%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 5.83
7 Jul 2023
Exit
HYPD NASDAQ · Hyperion DeFi, Inc.
198.40
Reversal Risk Warning
-13.89%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 230.40
7 Jul 2023
Exit
ICUI NASDAQ · ICU Medical Inc
170.93
Reversal Risk Warning
-3.44%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 177.02
7 Jul 2023
Exit
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
9.75
Reversal Risk Warning
11.30%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 8.76
7 Jul 2023
Exit
IMA NASDAQ · ImageneBio, Inc.
76.44
Reversal Risk Warning
16.24%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 65.76
7 Jul 2023
Exit
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
9.89
Reversal Risk Warning
-3.79%
Entry 23 Jun 2023 10.28
7 Jul 2023
Exit
IPHA NASDAQ · Innate Pharma
3.12
Reversal Risk Warning
-6.02%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 3.32
7 Jul 2023
Exit
IVDA NASDAQ · Iveda Solutions Inc
8.64
Reversal Risk Warning
-14.96%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 10.16
7 Jul 2023
Exit
JOUT NASDAQ · Johnson Outdoors Inc
52.58
Reversal Risk Warning
-10.61%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 58.81
7 Jul 2023
Exit
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
3.88
Reversal Risk Warning
4.02%
Entry 2 Jun 2023 3.73
7 Jul 2023
Entry
KODK NYSE · Eastman Kodak Co
5.82
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 64.87 · ROC 2.73% · RS 18.83
7 Jul 2023
Exit
LITB NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
8.37
Reversal Risk Warning
6.50%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 7.86
7 Jul 2023
Exit
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
5.82
Reversal Risk Warning
-4.90%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 6.12
7 Jul 2023
Exit
MHLA NYSE · Maiden Holdings, Ltd. 6.625 NT 2046
13.87
Reversal Risk Warning
12.88%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 12.29
7 Jul 2023
Exit
MTN NYSE · Vail Resorts Inc
211.69
Reversal Risk Warning
-0.09%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 211.88
7 Jul 2023
Exit
MVIS NASDAQ · Microvision Inc
4.08
Reversal Risk Warning
-10.92%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 4.58
7 Jul 2023
Exit
NNOX NASDAQ · Nano X Imaging Ltd
14.08
20% entry drawdown
-26.78%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 19.23