View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.62
30.39%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.12
-9.40%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
21.99
-11.98%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
45.87
13.27%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.63
-11.73%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
3.87
7.20%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.44
93.65%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.97
13.22%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.84
0.61%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
73.20
27.72%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
10.82
0.65%
4
48.73
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
50.80
-5.65%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.26
23.50%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
45.11
-3.28%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
10.02
42.96%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
12.73
8.99%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
78.15
-12.08%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.73
3.36%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.34
26.90%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.37
48.34%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.63
4.63%
5
99.38
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
34.66
2.00%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.94
35.00%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
676.69
-10.24%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
41.80
27.59%
4
93.57
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.14
31.79%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.23
40.34%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.46
20.13%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
17.21
-16.25%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4261-4290 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 May 2023
Exit
EXK NYSE · Endeavour Silver Corp.
3.12
20% entry drawdown
-22.19%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 4.01
26 May 2023
Exit
GALT NASDAQ · Galectin Therapeutics Inc
1.60
20% entry drawdown
-20.40%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 2.01
26 May 2023
Exit
GNL NYSE · Global Net Lease, Inc.
6.51
20% entry drawdown
-24.58%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 8.63
26 May 2023
Exit
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
38.45
20% entry drawdown
-33.97%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 58.23
26 May 2023
Entry
JOBY NYSE · Joby Aviation
5.36
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 56.49 · ROC 2.15% · RS 9.04
26 May 2023
Exit
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
17.00
20% entry drawdown
-20.78%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 21.46
26 May 2023
Exit
NXPL NASDAQ · Nextplat Corp
21.80
20% entry drawdown
-23.24%
Entry 12 May 2023 28.40
26 May 2023
Exit
PAAS NYSE · Pan American Silver Corp.
14.09
20% entry drawdown
-22.79%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 18.25
26 May 2023
Entry
QTRX NASDAQ · Quanterix Corp
20.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 87.09 · ROC 9.39% · RS 32.68
26 May 2023
Exit
SE NYSE · Sea Ltd
60.12
20% entry drawdown
-30.54%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 86.55
26 May 2023
Entry
STNE NASDAQ · StoneCo Ltd
10.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.06 · ROC 3.55% · RS 2.78
26 May 2023
Exit
TDUP NASDAQ · ThredUp Inc
2.20
20% entry drawdown
-21.99%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 2.82
26 May 2023
Entry
TRU NYSE · TransUnion
71.21
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 63.60 · ROC 2.54% · RS 0.02
26 May 2023
Entry
WHG NYSE · Westwood Holdings Group Inc
11.14
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 46.68 · ROC 3.15% · RS 1.92
26 May 2023
Entry
WULF NASDAQ · Terawulf Inc
1.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.69 · ROC 5.75% · RS 3.79
19 May 2023
Exit
BEKE NYSE · Ke Holdings Inc
13.79
20% entry drawdown
-22.85%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 17.87
19 May 2023
Entry
BOLT NASDAQ · Bolt Biotherapeutics
38.60
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 25.07 · ROC 2.71% · RS 2.25
19 May 2023
Exit
CRCT NASDAQ · Cricut Inc
4.91
20% entry drawdown
-21.53%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 6.25
19 May 2023
Entry
DMRA NASDAQ · Damora Therapeutics, Inc.
60.75
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 21.77 · ROC 1.72% · RS 10.11
19 May 2023
Entry
DUOT NASDAQ · Duos Technologies Group Inc
4.54
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 32.56 · ROC 0.72% · RS 8.75
19 May 2023
Entry
KALV NASDAQ · Kalvista Pharmaceuticals Inc
10.53
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 91.43 · ROC 4.92% · RS 3.03
19 May 2023
Entry
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
10.99
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 45.70 · ROC 2.41% · RS 0.26
19 May 2023
Entry
QNCX NASDAQ · Quince Therapeutics, Inc.
330.00
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 56.66 · ROC 6.12% · RS 0.68
19 May 2023
Entry
SCYX NASDAQ · Scynexis Inc
22.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.79 · ROC 2.54% · RS 10.36
19 May 2023
Exit
SKE NYSE · Skeena Resources Ltd
5.40
20% entry drawdown
-20.94%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 6.83
19 May 2023
Exit
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
10.24
20% entry drawdown
-21.05%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 12.97
19 May 2023
Entry
TLSA NASDAQ · Tiziana Life Sciences Ltd
0.84
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 20.79 · ROC 0.77% · RS 1.18
19 May 2023
Entry
TRAW NASDAQ · Traws Pharma Inc
29.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 10.54 · ROC 7.76% · RS 4.64
19 May 2023
Entry
TSQ NYSE · Townsquare Media Inc
6.75
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 72.79 · ROC 3.63% · RS 3.66
19 May 2023
Entry
TTWO NASDAQ · Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
137.43
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 68.05 · ROC 1.15% · RS 2.18