Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
119.81
0.27%
4
96.82
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.15
-9.75%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
19 Jun 202615.67
14.22
-9.29%
6
12.58
4.59%
0.14
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
16.30
-4.34%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
25.91
22.33%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.17
-11.32%
4
79.82
6.86%
15.74
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.20
20.65%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.29
-2.14%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
26 Sep 202527.98
28.00
0.07%
7
90.18
3.37%
17.03
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
20.68
-17.22%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
44.92
10.93%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.75
-7.70%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
4.30
18.98%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.52
100.00%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.96
12.64%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.10
-4.41%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
12 Sep 202526.86
53.18
97.96%
4
58.30
0.22%
1.30
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
7 Nov 20259.40
9.40
0.00%
4
62.62
2.28%
7.68
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
67.40
17.60%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
9.80
-8.84%
4
39.07
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
52.28
-2.90%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
27 Mar 202649.37
72.07
45.97%
5
49.87
0.73%
9.69
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.48
35.52%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
46.87
0.49%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
9.39
33.97%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
13.55
16.01%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
79.37
-10.71%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.67
-0.23%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.17
21.93%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2521-2550 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
11 Oct 2024
Exit
INSG NASDAQ · Inseego Corp
19.54
Reversal Risk Warning
160.53%
Entry 24 May 2024 7.50
11 Oct 2024
Exit
LIEN NASDAQ · Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.
10.60
Reversal Risk Warning
57.63%
Entry 27 Oct 2023 6.72
11 Oct 2024
Exit
MODD NASDAQ · Modular Medical Inc
64.20
Reversal Danger Warning
-6.96%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 69.00
11 Oct 2024
Entry
PSNYW NASDAQ · Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW)
7.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.84 · ROC 7.10% · RS 7.64
11 Oct 2024
Exit
SBGI NASDAQ · Sinclair Broadcast Group Inc
15.71
Reversal Risk Warning
15.86%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 13.56
11 Oct 2024
Entry
VHC NASDAQ · VirnetX Holding Corp Common Stock
7.14
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 22.90 · ROC 2.38% · RS 0.13
11 Oct 2024
Entry
VSCO NYSE · Victoria's Secret & Co
26.05
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 45.19 · ROC 1.25% · RS 2.49
4 Oct 2024
Exit
AIOS NASDAQ · AIOS Tech Inc.
400.00
Reversal Risk Warning
73.76%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 230.20
4 Oct 2024
Exit
BPYPP NASDAQ · Brookfield Property Partners LP
15.00
Reversal Risk Warning
20.59%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 12.44
4 Oct 2024
Exit
CTSO NASDAQ · Cytosorbents Crp
1.19
20% entry drawdown
-23.23%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 1.55
4 Oct 2024
Entry
FHTX NASDAQ · Foghorn Therapeutics Inc
7.83
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 98.63 · ROC 5.26% · RS 20.05
4 Oct 2024
Entry
FOA NYSE · Finance of America Companies Inc
10.21
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.83 · ROC 3.84% · RS 7.68
4 Oct 2024
Entry
GDYN NASDAQ · Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc
14.33
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 28.98 · ROC 0.39% · RS 4.20
4 Oct 2024
Exit
GNSS NASDAQ · Genasys Inc
3.75
Reversal Risk Warning
46.29%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 2.56
4 Oct 2024
Exit
KREF NYSE · KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc
9.95
Reversal Danger Warning
-1.87%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 10.14
4 Oct 2024
Entry
KRNT NASDAQ · Kornit Digital Ltd
26.31
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.28 · ROC 5.18% · RS 34.55
4 Oct 2024
Entry
LCFY NASDAQ · Locafy Ltd
6.78
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.48 · ROC 1.12% · RS 5.76
4 Oct 2024
Exit
LU NYSE · Lufax Holding Ltd
4.03
Reversal Risk Warning
75.98%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 2.29
4 Oct 2024
Exit
MKTX NASDAQ · MarketAxess Holdings Inc
265.88
Reversal Risk Warning
6.42%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 249.83
4 Oct 2024
Entry
MODD NASDAQ · Modular Medical Inc
69.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.28 · ROC 3.70% · RS 23.98
4 Oct 2024
Entry
NUTX NASDAQ · Nutex Health Inc
21.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.96 · ROC 7.11% · RS 3.58
4 Oct 2024
Entry
SHC NASDAQ · Sotera Health Co
15.80
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 94.86 · ROC 1.08% · RS 1.39
4 Oct 2024
Exit
SOHU NASDAQ · Sohu.Com Inc
17.05
Reversal Risk Warning
42.56%
Entry 3 May 2024 11.96
4 Oct 2024
Exit
TIL NASDAQ · Instil Bio Inc.
48.48
20% entry drawdown
-26.12%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 65.62
4 Oct 2024
Entry
UNFI NYSE · United Natural Foods Inc
19.76
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 75.09 · ROC 2.33% · RS 23.34
4 Oct 2024
Exit
VSTD NASDAQ · Vestand Inc.
1.44
20% entry drawdown
-24.27%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 1.90
4 Oct 2024
Exit
WLY NYSE · John Wiley & Sons
47.31
Reversal Risk Warning
35.17%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 35.00
4 Oct 2024
Entry
ZLAB NASDAQ · Zai Lab Ltd
26.36
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 85.60 · ROC 2.18% · RS 10.08
27 Sep 2024
Entry
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
28.97
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 17.00 · ROC 0.63% · RS 1.09
27 Sep 2024
Entry
BFLY NYSE · Butterfly Network Inc
1.58
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.47 · ROC 8.64% · RS 30.84