View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
119.81
0.27%
4
96.82
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.15
-9.75%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
19 Jun 202615.67
14.22
-9.29%
6
12.58
4.59%
0.14
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
16.30
-4.34%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
25.91
22.33%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.17
-11.32%
4
79.82
6.86%
15.74
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.20
20.65%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.29
-2.14%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
26 Sep 202527.98
28.00
0.07%
7
90.18
3.37%
17.03
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
20.68
-17.22%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
44.92
10.93%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.75
-7.70%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
4.30
18.98%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.52
100.00%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.96
12.64%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.10
-4.41%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
12 Sep 202526.86
53.18
97.96%
4
58.30
0.22%
1.30
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
7 Nov 20259.40
9.40
0.00%
4
62.62
2.28%
7.68
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
67.40
17.60%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
9.80
-8.84%
4
39.07
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
52.28
-2.90%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWI NASDAQ · Power Integrations Inc
27 Mar 202649.37
72.07
45.97%
5
49.87
0.73%
9.69
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.48
35.52%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
46.87
0.49%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
9.39
33.97%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
13.55
16.01%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
79.37
-10.71%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.67
-0.23%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.17
21.93%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2581-2610 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
20 Sep 2024
Entry
MRBK NASDAQ · Meridian Bank
11.77
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 62.47 · ROC 2.59% · RS 3.62
20 Sep 2024
Entry
OLPX NASDAQ · Olaplex Holdings Inc
2.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 75.43 · ROC 0.65% · RS 4.03
20 Sep 2024
Exit
SWK NYSE · Stanley Black & Decker Inc
99.04
Reversal Risk Warning
16.00%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 85.38
20 Sep 2024
Entry
TSAT NASDAQ · Telesat Corp
11.96
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.38 · ROC 3.20% · RS 7.90
20 Sep 2024
Exit
TYL NYSE · Tyler Technologies Inc
577.80
Reversal Risk Warning
48.25%
Entry 5 May 2023 389.74
20 Sep 2024
Entry
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
7.70
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 87.68 · ROC 2.30% · RS 7.56
20 Sep 2024
Exit
VNDA NASDAQ · Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc
4.61
20% entry drawdown
-24.67%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 6.12
20 Sep 2024
Exit
WD NYSE · Walker & Dunlop Inc
103.54
Reversal Risk Warning
19.51%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 86.63
20 Sep 2024
Entry
WILC NASDAQ · G Willi-Food International Ltd
10.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.92 · ROC 1.52% · RS 0.27
13 Sep 2024
Entry
AGNT NASDAQ · eXp World Holdings, Inc.
13.69
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 6.08 · ROC 0.53% · RS 1.62
13 Sep 2024
Exit
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
7.20
Reversal Risk Warning
20.60%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 5.97
13 Sep 2024
Exit
BCYC NASDAQ · Bicycle Therapeutics Ltd
27.02
Reversal Risk Warning
15.22%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 23.45
13 Sep 2024
Entry
CNDT NASDAQ · Conduent Inc
3.92
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 22.90 · ROC 0.59% · RS 3.22
13 Sep 2024
Exit
COSM NASDAQ · Cosmos Health Inc.
0.96
20% entry drawdown
-21.16%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 1.22
13 Sep 2024
Entry
CZFS NASDAQ · Citizens Financial Services Inc. Common Stock
52.94
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.72 · ROC 0.80% · RS 2.25
13 Sep 2024
Exit
DNLI NASDAQ · Denali Therapeutics Inc
30.77
Reversal Risk Warning
27.68%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 24.10
13 Sep 2024
Entry
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
4.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 57.36 · ROC 1.29% · RS 31.13
13 Sep 2024
Entry
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
2.52
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 67.57 · ROC 5.21% · RS 6.38
13 Sep 2024
Exit
FULC NASDAQ · Fulcrum Therapeutics Inc
3.18
20% entry drawdown
-52.89%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 6.75
13 Sep 2024
Entry
G NYSE · Genpact Limited
38.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.36 · ROC 1.36% · RS 1.62
13 Sep 2024
Entry
GRFS NASDAQ · Grifols SA ADR
9.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 87.92 · ROC 1.25% · RS 1.57
13 Sep 2024
Entry
GTIM NASDAQ · Good Times Restaurants Inc
2.97
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 65.31 · ROC 3.01% · RS 0.95
13 Sep 2024
Exit
HRMY NASDAQ · Harmony Biosciences Holdings
38.91
Reversal Risk Warning
9.33%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 35.59
13 Sep 2024
Entry
IMUX NASDAQ · Immunic Inc
15.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 33.48 · ROC 2.57% · RS 5.44
13 Sep 2024
Entry
JBGS NYSE · JBG SMITH Properties
16.94
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.66 · ROC 1.39% · RS 5.51
13 Sep 2024
Entry
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
99.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.83 · ROC 2.26% · RS 7.40
13 Sep 2024
Entry
KREF NYSE · KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc
10.14
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 99.18 · ROC 2.16% · RS 3.24
13 Sep 2024
Entry
LBTYA NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC
10.32
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 50.98 · ROC 0.23% · RS 2.15
13 Sep 2024
Entry
LITE NASDAQ · Lumentum Holdings Inc
55.78
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 29.91 · ROC 0.89% · RS 4.32
13 Sep 2024
Exit
MKC NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
79.98
Reversal Risk Warning
7.90%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 74.13