Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
439.22
Total Return
339.22%
CAGR
52.49% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+30.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.80
Current Holdings
277
Transactions
4975 Avg 1418.5/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2349 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.4% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.55 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.60 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 86.04 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 1.25 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.44 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.08 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.14 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.25%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 93.76%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 79.63%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.07%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 286.94%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 277 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
32.40
-1.10%
4
93.57
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.20
33.33%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.39
41.91%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.48
20.30%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
18.77
-8.66%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
20 Mar 20268.87
15.73
77.34%
4
89.82
12.32%
91.55
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12 Jun 20269.20
10.58
15.00%
4
59.46
2.39%
2.76
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15 May 202618.69
26.25
40.45%
4
94.71
3.17%
6.91
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
10 Jul 202617.88
17.88
New Entry week
6
36.44
1.09%
1.09
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3 Jul 20262.09
1.85
-11.48%
7
77.04
2.51%
3.07
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
15 May 202611.74
12.50
6.47%
4
87.09
2.75%
18.60
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
10 Apr 202641.76
55.18
32.14%
4
79.21
6.04%
28.78
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
12 Jun 20269.07
8.36
-7.83%
4
84.35
5.50%
0.56
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
10 Apr 202615.14
12.71
-16.05%
4
83.28
1.61%
10.56
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
22 Aug 20256.48
10.02
54.63%
7
35.11
0.28%
19.31
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
24 Apr 202626.34
30.42
15.47%
4
70.31
1.35%
7.17
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
19 Jun 20264.63
4.73
2.16%
4
65.32
3.42%
1.46
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
26 Jun 202610.14
9.09
-10.36%
5
46.57
1.89%
45.84
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
17 Apr 202625.79
27.81
7.81%
4
58.09
1.97%
0.36
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
26 Sep 20256.91
7.80
12.88%
5
63.72
0.75%
0.35
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
7 Nov 20254.53
5.54
22.30%
6
49.76
3.02%
0.17
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
7 Nov 20252.72
2.40
-11.76%
4
74.88
3.73%
9.56
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
12 Jun 20267.67
7.16
-6.65%
5
52.80
1.85%
0.32
SSBI NASDAQ · Summit State Bank
11 Apr 20258.15
13.44
64.85%
4
87.18
0.70%
3.04
STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company
12 Jun 202628.37
27.76
-2.15%
4
74.63
2.28%
1.70
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
10 Jul 202618.29
18.29
New Entry week
8
81.08
18.63%
12.34
STHO NASDAQ · Star Holdings
6 Mar 20268.36
9.06
8.37%
4
46.86
1.71%
1.13
STRA NASDAQ · Strategic Education Inc
3 Apr 202683.05
84.18
1.37%
4
14.96
0.39%
0.94
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
10 Oct 20251.84
6.64
260.87%
4
96.18
11.77%
39.24
STZ NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
10 Apr 2026165.02
134.06
-18.76%
7
33.93
0.23%
0.63

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3661-3690 of 4975
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
1 Dec 2023
Exit
PATH NYSE · Uipath Inc
25.04
Reversal Risk Warning
45.84%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 17.17
1 Dec 2023
Exit
PSIX NASDAQ · Power Solutions International, Inc. Common Stock
2.56
20% entry drawdown
-21.23%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 3.25
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RSI NYSE · Rush Street Interactive Inc
4.41
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 29.88 · ROC 4.77% · RS 7.53
1 Dec 2023
Entry
STC NYSE · Stewart Information Services Corp
44.12
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 35.32 · ROC 1.64% · RS 1.63
1 Dec 2023
Exit
TISI NYSE · Team Inc
6.62
20% entry drawdown
-23.16%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 8.62
1 Dec 2023
Entry
TLS NASDAQ · Telos Corp
4.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.23 · ROC 11.39% · RS 12.96
1 Dec 2023
Entry
WIX NASDAQ · Wix.Com Ltd
105.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 46.88 · ROC 1.69% · RS 4.26
24 Nov 2023
Exit
COUR NYSE · Coursera Inc
19.61
Reversal Risk Warning
16.10%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 16.89
24 Nov 2023
Entry
DASH NASDAQ · DoorDash, Inc. Class A Common Stock
93.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.88 · ROC 5.59% · RS 17.06
24 Nov 2023
Entry
GALT NASDAQ · Galectin Therapeutics Inc
2.12
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 23.57 · ROC 0.82% · RS 8.78
24 Nov 2023
Exit
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
2.41
20% entry drawdown
-22.76%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 3.12
24 Nov 2023
Entry
MCY NYSE · Mercury General Corporation
34.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.51 · ROC 2.72% · RS 7.58
24 Nov 2023
Entry
PBI NYSE · Pitney Bowes Inc
3.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 57.96 · ROC 1.76% · RS 0.34
24 Nov 2023
Entry
PINS NYSE · Pinterest Inc
31.67
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 57.01 · ROC 2.30% · RS 10.68
24 Nov 2023
Entry
PRSU NYSE · Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality, Inc.
31.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.15 · ROC 6.29% · RS 14.34
24 Nov 2023
Entry
ROKU NASDAQ · Roku Inc
94.93
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.48 · ROC 5.58% · RS 24.89
24 Nov 2023
Entry
SRRK NASDAQ · Scholar Rock Holding Corp
11.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.18 · ROC 7.50% · RS 17.49
24 Nov 2023
Entry
TPST NASDAQ · Tempest Therapeutics Inc
50.96
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.93 · ROC 9.69% · RS 92.34
24 Nov 2023
Entry
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
14.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 38.03 · ROC 3.95% · RS 6.90
17 Nov 2023
Entry
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
10.64
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 45.86 · ROC 5.16% · RS 14.50
17 Nov 2023
Entry
AWI NYSE · Armstrong World Industries Inc
81.37
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.44 · ROC 1.84% · RS 6.15
17 Nov 2023
Exit
FEMY NASDAQ · Femasys Inc
19.30
20% entry drawdown
-30.58%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 27.80
17 Nov 2023
Exit
IREN NASDAQ · IREN Ltd
2.83
20% entry drawdown
-23.31%
Entry 12 May 2023 3.69
17 Nov 2023
Exit
VRA NASDAQ · Vera Bradley Inc
8.12
Reversal Risk Warning
42.46%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 5.70
17 Nov 2023
Entry
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
3.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.02 · ROC 10.10% · RS 40.59
10 Nov 2023
Exit
AIRS NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
5.58
20% entry drawdown
-25.90%
Entry 26 May 2023 7.53
10 Nov 2023
Exit
ALTO NASDAQ · Alto Ingredients Inc
2.09
20% entry drawdown
-42.42%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 3.63
10 Nov 2023
Exit
CPNG NYSE · Coupang LLC
15.32
20% entry drawdown
-20.66%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 19.31
10 Nov 2023
Entry
CRVO NASDAQ · CervoMed Inc.
9.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.34 · ROC 8.13% · RS 16.60
10 Nov 2023
Exit
GPGI NYSE · GPGI, Inc.
4.08
20% entry drawdown
-26.88%
Entry 17 Mar 2023 5.58