Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.23
44.48%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.02
-1.38%
5
99.41
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
32.93
-3.10%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.88
33.64%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
664.52
-11.86%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
32.40
-1.10%
4
93.84
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.20
33.33%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 20267.88
7.18
-8.88%
4
93.99
14.06%
50.24
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.39
41.91%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.48
20.30%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
18.77
-8.66%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
20 Mar 20268.87
15.73
77.34%
4
89.82
12.32%
91.55
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12 Jun 20269.20
10.58
15.00%
4
59.42
2.39%
2.76
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15 May 202618.69
26.25
40.45%
4
94.71
3.17%
6.91
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
10 Jul 202617.88
17.88
New Entry week
6
36.82
1.09%
1.09
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3 Jul 20262.09
1.85
-11.48%
7
77.09
2.51%
3.07
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
15 May 202611.74
12.50
6.47%
4
87.09
2.75%
18.60
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
10 Apr 202641.76
55.18
32.14%
4
79.21
6.04%
28.78
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
12 Jun 20269.07
8.36
-7.83%
4
84.35
5.50%
0.56
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
10 Apr 202615.14
12.71
-16.05%
4
83.28
1.61%
10.56
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
22 Aug 20256.48
10.02
54.63%
7
35.11
0.28%
19.31
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
24 Apr 202626.34
30.42
15.47%
4
70.31
1.35%
7.17
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
19 Jun 20264.63
4.73
2.16%
4
66.06
3.42%
1.46
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
26 Jun 202610.14
9.09
-10.36%
5
47.25
1.89%
45.84
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
17 Apr 202625.79
27.81
7.81%
4
58.09
1.97%
0.36
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
26 Sep 20256.91
7.80
12.88%
5
63.72
0.75%
0.35
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
7 Nov 20254.53
5.54
22.30%
6
49.76
3.02%
0.17
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
7 Nov 20252.72
2.40
-11.76%
4
74.88
3.73%
9.56
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
12 Jun 20267.67
7.16
-6.65%
5
52.80
1.85%
0.32
SSBI NASDAQ · Summit State Bank
11 Apr 20258.15
13.44
64.85%
4
87.18
0.70%
3.04

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1591-1620 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
4 Jul 2025
Entry
QXO NYSE · QXO, Inc.
21.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.65 · ROC 4.45% · RS 11.83
4 Jul 2025
Exit
SNT NASDAQ · Senstar Technologies Ltd
5.04
Reversal Risk Warning
250.00%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 1.44
4 Jul 2025
Entry
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
2.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.27 · ROC 2.34% · RS 9.39
4 Jul 2025
Entry
TYGO NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
1.28
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.50 · ROC 4.16% · RS 3.04
4 Jul 2025
Exit
UBER NYSE · Uber Technologies Inc
93.63
Reversal Risk Warning
172.97%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 34.30
4 Jul 2025
Entry
VSAT NASDAQ · ViaSat Inc
16.28
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.24 · ROC 7.64% · RS 25.12
27 Jun 2025
Entry
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
15.71
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.06 · ROC 3.72% · RS 23.38
27 Jun 2025
Exit
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
8.59
20% entry drawdown
-20.46%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 10.80
27 Jun 2025
Entry
AVNW NASDAQ · Aviat Networks Inc
23.94
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 67.56 · ROC 5.55% · RS 1.20
27 Jun 2025
Exit
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
5.51
20% entry drawdown
-22.83%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 7.14
27 Jun 2025
Entry
DOUG NYSE · Douglas Elliman Inc
2.37
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 82.14 · ROC 2.52% · RS 15.62
27 Jun 2025
Entry
INDV NASDAQ · Indivior PLC Ordinary Shares
13.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.31 · ROC 4.27% · RS 13.66
27 Jun 2025
Exit
ITRI NASDAQ · Itron Inc
132.46
Reversal Risk Warning
126.93%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 58.37
27 Jun 2025
Entry
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
2.57
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.42 · ROC 21.21% · RS 98.62
27 Jun 2025
Exit
NWGL NASDAQ · Nature Wood Group Limited American Depositary Shares
1.03
20% entry drawdown
-39.41%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 1.70
27 Jun 2025
Exit
OLLI NASDAQ · Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg
132.80
Reversal Risk Warning
103.52%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 65.25
27 Jun 2025
Exit
RDWR NASDAQ · Radware Ltd
29.17
Reversal Risk Warning
43.77%
Entry 31 May 2024 20.29
27 Jun 2025
Exit
SPOT NYSE · Spotify Technology SA
772.60
Reversal Risk Warning
502.18%
Entry 24 Mar 2023 128.30
27 Jun 2025
Exit
SPRY NASDAQ · ARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc
18.20
Reversal Risk Warning
98.69%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 9.16
27 Jun 2025
Exit
SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc
13.18
20% entry drawdown
-26.29%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 17.88
27 Jun 2025
Entry
STKS NASDAQ · One Group Hospitality Inc
4.14
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 11.97 · ROC 1.46% · RS 7.05
27 Jun 2025
Entry
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
4.86
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.05 · ROC 3.08% · RS 5.46
27 Jun 2025
Exit
UPXI NASDAQ · Upexi Inc.
2.60
20% entry drawdown
-75.66%
Entry 23 May 2025 10.68
27 Jun 2025
Exit
WDI NYSE · Western Asset Diversified Income Fund
13.19
Reversal Risk Warning
42.02%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 9.29
27 Jun 2025
Entry
YQ NASDAQ · 17 Education Technology Group Inc
2.31
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 28.76 · ROC 1.42% · RS 4.90
27 Jun 2025
Exit
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
10.36
Reversal Risk Warning
142.62%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 4.27
20 Jun 2025
Exit
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
1.03
20% entry drawdown
-21.97%
Entry 9 May 2025 1.32
20 Jun 2025
Exit
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
4.08
20% entry drawdown
-30.26%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 5.85
20 Jun 2025
Entry
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
67.05
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 53.28 · ROC 2.66% · RS 0.22
20 Jun 2025
Entry
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
10.80
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 56.21 · ROC 1.21% · RS 30.30