Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.23
44.48%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.02
-1.38%
5
99.41
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
32.93
-3.10%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.88
33.64%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
664.52
-11.86%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
32.40
-1.10%
4
93.84
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.20
33.33%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 20267.88
7.18
-8.88%
4
93.99
14.06%
50.24
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.39
41.91%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.48
20.30%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
18.77
-8.66%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
20 Mar 20268.87
15.73
77.34%
4
89.82
12.32%
91.55
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12 Jun 20269.20
10.58
15.00%
4
59.42
2.39%
2.76
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15 May 202618.69
26.25
40.45%
4
94.71
3.17%
6.91
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
10 Jul 202617.88
17.88
New Entry week
6
36.82
1.09%
1.09
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3 Jul 20262.09
1.85
-11.48%
7
77.09
2.51%
3.07
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
15 May 202611.74
12.50
6.47%
4
87.09
2.75%
18.60
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
10 Apr 202641.76
55.18
32.14%
4
79.21
6.04%
28.78
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
12 Jun 20269.07
8.36
-7.83%
4
84.35
5.50%
0.56
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
10 Apr 202615.14
12.71
-16.05%
4
83.28
1.61%
10.56
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
22 Aug 20256.48
10.02
54.63%
7
35.11
0.28%
19.31
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
24 Apr 202626.34
30.42
15.47%
4
70.31
1.35%
7.17
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
19 Jun 20264.63
4.73
2.16%
4
66.06
3.42%
1.46
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
26 Jun 202610.14
9.09
-10.36%
5
47.25
1.89%
45.84
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
17 Apr 202625.79
27.81
7.81%
4
58.09
1.97%
0.36
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
26 Sep 20256.91
7.80
12.88%
5
63.72
0.75%
0.35
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
7 Nov 20254.53
5.54
22.30%
6
49.76
3.02%
0.17
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
7 Nov 20252.72
2.40
-11.76%
4
74.88
3.73%
9.56
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
12 Jun 20267.67
7.16
-6.65%
5
52.80
1.85%
0.32
SSBI NASDAQ · Summit State Bank
11 Apr 20258.15
13.44
64.85%
4
87.18
0.70%
3.04

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1861-1890 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
28 Mar 2025
Exit
NMTC NASDAQ · Neuroone Medical Technologies Corp
5.16
20% entry drawdown
-25.22%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 6.90
28 Mar 2025
Exit
NUVB NYSE · Nuvation Bio Inc
1.82
20% entry drawdown
-20.18%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 2.28
28 Mar 2025
Entry
OCSL NASDAQ · Oaktree Specialty Lending Corp
13.27
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 15.93 · ROC 0.29% · RS 0.54
28 Mar 2025
Exit
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
3.58
20% entry drawdown
-20.27%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 4.49
28 Mar 2025
Entry
PUK NYSE · Prudential PLC ADR
21.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.54 · ROC 2.75% · RS 23.61
28 Mar 2025
Entry
REBN NASDAQ · Reborn Coffee Inc
3.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 50.54 · ROC 3.73% · RS 18.00
28 Mar 2025
Exit
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3.06
20% entry drawdown
-21.34%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 3.89
28 Mar 2025
Entry
TAP-A NYSE · Molson Coors Beverage Company
56.54
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 79.35 · ROC 1.47% · RS 1.12
28 Mar 2025
Exit
ULCC NASDAQ · Frontier Group Holdings Inc
4.80
20% entry drawdown
-28.89%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 6.75
28 Mar 2025
Exit
ZH NYSE · Zhihu Inc ADR
4.31
20% entry drawdown
-24.39%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 5.70
21 Mar 2025
Entry
ALBT NASDAQ · Avalon GloboCare Corp.
6.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.73 · ROC 6.89% · RS 38.27
21 Mar 2025
Exit
ATXG NASDAQ · Addentax Group Corp
11.82
20% entry drawdown
-27.37%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 16.28
21 Mar 2025
Exit
BNTC NASDAQ · Benitec Biopharma Ltd ADR
16.11
Reversal Risk Warning
225.45%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 4.95
21 Mar 2025
Entry
CHTR NASDAQ · Charter Communications Inc
363.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 11.72 · ROC 0.18% · RS 10.20
21 Mar 2025
Exit
EVER NASDAQ · EverQuote Inc Class A
28.71
Reversal Risk Warning
128.58%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 12.56
21 Mar 2025
Entry
EYE NASDAQ · National Vision Holdings Inc
13.02
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 43.69 · ROC 1.34% · RS 1.09
21 Mar 2025
Entry
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
2.16
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 37.69 · ROC 1.40% · RS 4.07
21 Mar 2025
Entry
INKT NASDAQ · Mink Therapeutics Inc
9.10
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 24.48 · ROC 0.77% · RS 5.93
21 Mar 2025
Exit
RXT NASDAQ · Rackspace Technology Inc
1.87
20% entry drawdown
-25.79%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 2.52
21 Mar 2025
Entry
SSTI NASDAQ · Shotspotter Inc
17.88
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.41 · ROC 1.80% · RS 31.62
21 Mar 2025
Entry
SY NASDAQ · So-Young International Inc
0.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 8.89 · ROC 1.23% · RS 5.91
21 Mar 2025
Entry
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
17.05
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 4.83 · ROC 0.98% · RS 0.97
21 Mar 2025
Exit
TRVG NASDAQ · Trivago NV
5.40
Reversal Risk Warning
84.30%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 2.93
21 Mar 2025
Entry
TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc
8.72
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 13.60 · ROC 1.22% · RS 3.44
21 Mar 2025
Entry
VRM NASDAQ · Vroom, Inc. Common Stock
26.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 57.22 · ROC 22.80% · RS 101.31
14 Mar 2025
Exit
ACR NYSE · Acres Commercial Realty Corp
22.90
Reversal Risk Warning
126.28%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 10.12
14 Mar 2025
Exit
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
1.56
20% entry drawdown
-23.90%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 2.05
14 Mar 2025
Exit
AEO NYSE · American Eagle Outfitters Inc
10.58
20% entry drawdown
-23.40%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 13.81
14 Mar 2025
Entry
APPS NASDAQ · Digital Turbine Inc
3.35
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 36.66 · ROC 3.54% · RS 35.16
14 Mar 2025
Exit
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
23.06
20% entry drawdown
-20.40%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 28.97