View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
13 Feb 2026114.68
139.60
21.73%
4
83.37
1.55%
9.48
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
21 Mar 202517.05
19.14
12.29%
7
4.83
0.98%
0.97
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
3 Jul 202611.87
10.46
-11.88%
8
48.45
1.56%
4.35
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
24 Apr 20263.99
3.96
-0.75%
6
98.77
19.53%
92.90
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
17 Jul 20264.30
4.30
New Entry week
5
93.79
8.69%
0.15
TRSG NASDAQ · Tungray Technologies Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20261.63
1.55
-5.07%
5
29.47
3.05%
2.84
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
17 Apr 20262.71
2.80
3.32%
4
42.35
1.69%
2.67
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
4 Jul 20252.34
2.71
15.81%
4
89.27
2.34%
9.39
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
12 Dec 20251.75
2.06
17.71%
4
94.59
3.91%
28.71
TYGO NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
4 Jul 20251.28
1.70
32.81%
4
65.50
4.16%
3.04
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
26 Jun 20264.80
6.32
31.67%
7
62.80
2.94%
9.03
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
26 Jun 20263.59
3.64
1.39%
5
82.65
5.63%
3.17
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
12 Jun 2026406.23
426.09
4.89%
4
95.40
2.57%
15.61
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
17 Jul 202622.16
22.16
New Entry week
4
57.32
2.83%
2.64
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
23 Jan 2026104.67
117.72
12.47%
5
87.14
1.44%
0.87
UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
6 Mar 202664.50
69.80
8.21%
4
97.07
2.31%
5.55
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
1 May 202672.06
99.98
38.74%
4
72.44
0.24%
0.69
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
7.66
9.43%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71
WAFU NASDAQ · Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
17 Oct 20251.88
1.57
-16.49%
4
77.42
0.81%
1.04
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
20 Mar 202618.04
15.10
-16.30%
4
97.98
7.58%
104.56
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
5 Jun 20267.54
7.68
1.86%
8
89.01
10.08%
20.93
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
5 Jun 202626.21
27.23
3.87%
5
85.43
2.98%
0.21
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3 Jul 20264.51
3.80
-15.74%
4
82.90
5.14%
9.36
XFOR NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20264.10
3.82
-6.83%
4
42.28
2.04%
12.07
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
12.02
2.47%
8
34.34
0.51%
6.37
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
28 Nov 202546.48
43.25
-6.95%
4
54.51
5.76%
11.23
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
29 May 20267.95
7.30
-8.18%
4
96.62
2.84%
7.56
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
17 Oct 202512.44
16.48
32.48%
6
59.92
2.10%
1.09
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
17 Apr 202647.55
53.98
13.52%
4
91.45
2.32%
20.55
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
19 Sep 20259.50
13.90
46.32%
4
41.96
0.31%
3.15

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4171-4200 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
30 Jun 2023
Entry
FOA NYSE · Finance of America Companies Inc
19.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.15 · ROC 3.41% · RS 9.85
30 Jun 2023
Entry
FTHM NASDAQ · Fathom Holdings Inc
7.14
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 84.49 · ROC 5.03% · RS 5.22
30 Jun 2023
Entry
KOPN NASDAQ · Kopin Corporation
2.15
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.06 · ROC 6.32% · RS 30.41
30 Jun 2023
Exit
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.29
20% entry drawdown
-20.21%
Entry 12 May 2023 2.87
30 Jun 2023
Entry
MFA NYSE · MFA Financial Inc
7.72
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 78.70 · ROC 1.31% · RS 3.28
30 Jun 2023
Entry
MGNI NASDAQ · Magnite Inc
13.65
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.56 · ROC 2.89% · RS 13.76
30 Jun 2023
Entry
MVIS NASDAQ · Microvision Inc
4.58
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 82.39 · ROC 8.75% · RS 8.81
30 Jun 2023
Entry
OPEN NASDAQ · Opendoor Technologies Inc
3.89
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 95.67 · ROC 9.20% · RS 24.14
30 Jun 2023
Entry
OPK NASDAQ · Opko Health Inc
2.17
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 58.62 · ROC 1.59% · RS 4.35
30 Jun 2023
Exit
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
2.56
20% entry drawdown
-22.66%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 3.31
30 Jun 2023
Entry
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.95 · ROC 4.13% · RS 9.55
30 Jun 2023
Exit
SJ NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
2.74
20% entry drawdown
-33.02%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 4.09
30 Jun 2023
Exit
TIGO NASDAQ · Millicom International Cellular SA
12.89
20% entry drawdown
-20.42%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 16.20
30 Jun 2023
Entry
TOST NYSE · Toast Inc
22.57
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.70 · ROC 2.12% · RS 6.98
30 Jun 2023
Exit
UCL NASDAQ · Ucloudlink Group Inc
2.54
20% entry drawdown
-30.22%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 3.64
30 Jun 2023
Exit
VSTM NASDAQ · Verastem Inc
7.44
20% entry drawdown
-27.63%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 10.28
23 Jun 2023
Entry
ACHR NYSE · Archer Aviation Inc
3.38
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.32 · ROC 4.10% · RS 8.21
23 Jun 2023
Entry
AMSC NASDAQ · American Superconductor Corporation
5.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.59 · ROC 6.66% · RS 3.34
23 Jun 2023
Entry
AZ NASDAQ · A2Z Smart Technologies Corp
6.65
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.30 · ROC 12.58% · RS 13.04
23 Jun 2023
Exit
BOLT NASDAQ · Bolt Biotherapeutics
27.80
20% entry drawdown
-27.98%
Entry 19 May 2023 38.60
23 Jun 2023
Entry
CYD NYSE · China Yuchai International Limited
9.19
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.88 · ROC 4.15% · RS 12.56
23 Jun 2023
Exit
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
11.78
Reversal Risk Warning
-5.76%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 12.50
23 Jun 2023
Exit
DHC NASDAQ · Diversified Healthcare Trust
1.90
20% entry drawdown
-22.96%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 2.47
23 Jun 2023
Exit
EDTK NASDAQ · Skillful Craftsman Education Tech
1.36
20% entry drawdown
-20.93%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 1.72
23 Jun 2023
Entry
GBTG NYSE · Global Business Travel Group Inc
7.87
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 86.14 · ROC 5.45% · RS 11.31
23 Jun 2023
Entry
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
10.28
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 33.60 · ROC 4.18% · RS 7.25
23 Jun 2023
Exit
INVX NYSE · Innovex International, Inc
22.33
20% entry drawdown
-21.84%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 28.57
23 Jun 2023
Entry
MARA NASDAQ · Marathon Digital Holdings Inc
12.71
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 29.77 · ROC 3.46% · RS 15.63
23 Jun 2023
Exit
MKTX NASDAQ · MarketAxess Holdings Inc
250.69
20% entry drawdown
-21.37%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 318.84
23 Jun 2023
Entry
NXDR NYSE · NXDR
3.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.72 · ROC 3.45% · RS 7.37