View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
13 Feb 2026114.68
139.60
21.73%
4
83.37
1.55%
9.48
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
21 Mar 202517.05
19.14
12.29%
7
4.83
0.98%
0.97
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
3 Jul 202611.87
10.46
-11.88%
8
48.45
1.56%
4.35
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
24 Apr 20263.99
3.96
-0.75%
6
98.77
19.53%
92.90
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
17 Jul 20264.30
4.30
New Entry week
5
93.79
8.69%
0.15
TRSG NASDAQ · Tungray Technologies Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20261.63
1.55
-5.07%
5
29.47
3.05%
2.84
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
17 Apr 20262.71
2.80
3.32%
4
42.35
1.69%
2.67
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
4 Jul 20252.34
2.71
15.81%
4
89.27
2.34%
9.39
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
12 Dec 20251.75
2.06
17.71%
4
94.59
3.91%
28.71
TYGO NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
4 Jul 20251.28
1.70
32.81%
4
65.50
4.16%
3.04
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
26 Jun 20264.80
6.32
31.67%
7
62.80
2.94%
9.03
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
26 Jun 20263.59
3.64
1.39%
5
82.65
5.63%
3.17
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
12 Jun 2026406.23
426.09
4.89%
4
95.40
2.57%
15.61
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
17 Jul 202622.16
22.16
New Entry week
4
57.32
2.83%
2.64
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
23 Jan 2026104.67
117.72
12.47%
5
87.14
1.44%
0.87
UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
6 Mar 202664.50
69.80
8.21%
4
97.07
2.31%
5.55
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
1 May 202672.06
99.98
38.74%
4
72.44
0.24%
0.69
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
7.66
9.43%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71
WAFU NASDAQ · Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
17 Oct 20251.88
1.57
-16.49%
4
77.42
0.81%
1.04
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
20 Mar 202618.04
15.10
-16.30%
4
97.98
7.58%
104.56
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
5 Jun 20267.54
7.68
1.86%
8
89.01
10.08%
20.93
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
5 Jun 202626.21
27.23
3.87%
5
85.43
2.98%
0.21
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3 Jul 20264.51
3.80
-15.74%
4
82.90
5.14%
9.36
XFOR NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20264.10
3.82
-6.83%
4
42.28
2.04%
12.07
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
12.02
2.47%
8
34.34
0.51%
6.37
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
28 Nov 202546.48
43.25
-6.95%
4
54.51
5.76%
11.23
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
29 May 20267.95
7.30
-8.18%
4
96.62
2.84%
7.56
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
17 Oct 202512.44
16.48
32.48%
6
59.92
2.10%
1.09
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
17 Apr 202647.55
53.98
13.52%
4
91.45
2.32%
20.55
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
19 Sep 20259.50
13.90
46.32%
4
41.96
0.31%
3.15

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4231-4260 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
9 Jun 2023
Exit
CMTL NASDAQ · Comtech Telecommunications Corp
9.38
20% entry drawdown
-24.27%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 12.39
9 Jun 2023
Entry
CVNA NYSE · Carvana Co
3.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.78 · ROC 3.04% · RS 6.38
9 Jun 2023
Entry
HUMA NASDAQ · Humacyte Inc
4.29
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 67.24 · ROC 2.50% · RS 8.00
9 Jun 2023
Entry
MDV NYSE · Modiv Inc
10.29
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 95.00 · ROC 5.48% · RS 2.35
9 Jun 2023
Entry
PATH NYSE · Uipath Inc
17.17
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.61 · ROC 4.37% · RS 2.79
9 Jun 2023
Entry
PHAT NASDAQ · Phathom Pharmaceuticals Inc
12.99
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.32 · ROC 2.99% · RS 11.12
9 Jun 2023
Entry
RERE NYSE · ATRenew Inc DRC
2.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 35.02 · ROC 5.95% · RS 4.88
9 Jun 2023
Entry
ROCK NASDAQ · Gibraltar Industries Inc
58.62
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 72.61 · ROC 1.88% · RS 2.44
9 Jun 2023
Entry
SNOW NYSE · Snowflake Inc.
170.65
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.64 · ROC 1.00% · RS 1.50
9 Jun 2023
Entry
XBIT NASDAQ · XBiotech Inc
5.45
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.55 · ROC 6.56% · RS 12.49
9 Jun 2023
Exit
XOMA NASDAQ · XOMA Royalty Corporation
17.21
20% entry drawdown
-20.95%
Entry 24 Mar 2023 21.77
2 Jun 2023
Entry
APP NASDAQ · Applovin Corp
24.81
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 89.05 · ROC 6.62% · RS 1.91
2 Jun 2023
Entry
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
6.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.99 · ROC 7.46% · RS 26.66
2 Jun 2023
Entry
ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc
22.20
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 29.77 · ROC 0.84% · RS 9.35
2 Jun 2023
Entry
CGNT NASDAQ · Cognyte Software Ltd
5.16
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 81.33 · ROC 7.23% · RS 7.86
2 Jun 2023
Entry
DOCN NYSE · DigitalOcean Holdings Inc
41.44
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 20.52 · ROC 0.72% · RS 7.64
2 Jun 2023
Entry
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
3.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.97 · ROC 3.64% · RS 19.44
2 Jun 2023
Entry
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
10.57
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.07 · ROC 5.38% · RS 4.24
2 Jun 2023
Entry
NBTX NASDAQ · Nanobiotix
5.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 55.89 · ROC 3.79% · RS 6.87
2 Jun 2023
Entry
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
6.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.78 · ROC 5.31% · RS 31.02
2 Jun 2023
Entry
NSPR NASDAQ · InspireMD Inc
1.78
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 31.18 · ROC 6.05% · RS 5.63
2 Jun 2023
Exit
PD NYSE · Pagerduty Inc
23.00
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 28.75
2 Jun 2023
Entry
PKOH NASDAQ · Park Ohio Holdings Corp
16.07
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 78.87 · ROC 5.28% · RS 2.03
2 Jun 2023
Entry
SMRT NYSE · SmartRent Inc
3.53
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.62 · ROC 4.54% · RS 3.25
2 Jun 2023
Entry
WKSP NASDAQ · Worksport Ltd
26.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.87 · ROC 5.95% · RS 25.19
26 May 2023
Exit
AEO NYSE · American Eagle Outfitters Inc
9.83
20% entry drawdown
-27.81%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 13.62
26 May 2023
Entry
AIRS NASDAQ · Airsculpt Technologies Inc
7.53
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.94 · ROC 0.89% · RS 6.35
26 May 2023
Exit
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
92.13
20% entry drawdown
-20.39%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 115.73
26 May 2023
Exit
CGAU NYSE · Centerra Gold Inc
4.69
20% entry drawdown
-20.85%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 5.92
26 May 2023
Exit
CULP NASDAQ · Culp, Inc. Common Stock
4.41
20% entry drawdown
-20.40%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 5.54