View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 241-270 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
STAA NASDAQ · STAAR Surgical Company
12 Jun 202628.37
27.76
-2.15%
4
74.63
2.28%
1.70
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
10 Jul 202618.29
18.29
New Entry week
8
81.90
18.63%
12.34
STHO NASDAQ · Star Holdings
6 Mar 20268.36
9.06
8.37%
4
46.86
1.71%
1.13
STRA NASDAQ · Strategic Education Inc
3 Apr 202683.05
84.18
1.37%
4
14.96
0.39%
0.94
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
10 Oct 20251.84
6.64
260.87%
4
96.18
11.77%
39.24
STZ NYSE · Constellation Brands Inc Class A
10 Apr 2026165.02
134.06
-18.76%
7
33.93
0.23%
0.63
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
10 Jul 20268.22
8.22
New Entry week
7
32.21
3.23%
1.72
TBI NYSE · TrueBlue Inc
19 Jun 20266.70
8.16
21.79%
4
99.02
5.15%
12.25
TDC NYSE · Teradata Corp
28 Nov 202528.64
33.74
17.81%
4
78.54
4.06%
5.35
TDW NYSE · Tidewater Inc
5 Sep 202557.73
73.37
27.09%
4
66.42
1.09%
2.53
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
10 Oct 20257.46
17.55
135.25%
4
48.64
1.85%
10.66
TFIN NYSE · Triumph Financial, Inc.
6 Feb 202668.34
78.44
14.78%
5
41.90
1.77%
4.66
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
26 Jun 2026129.86
135.73
4.52%
8
47.29
2.25%
0.49
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
13 Feb 2026114.68
135.14
17.84%
4
83.37
1.55%
9.48
TITN NASDAQ · Titan Machinery Inc
21 Mar 202517.05
18.27
7.19%
7
4.83
0.98%
0.97
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
3 Jul 202611.87
11.14
-6.15%
8
51.39
1.56%
4.35
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
24 Apr 20263.99
4.12
3.26%
6
98.77
19.53%
92.90
TRSG NASDAQ · Tungray Technologies Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20261.63
1.46
-10.44%
5
26.64
3.05%
2.84
TUSK NASDAQ · Mammoth Energy Services Inc
17 Apr 20262.71
2.80
3.32%
4
42.35
1.69%
2.67
TV NYSE · Grupo Televisa SAB ADR
4 Jul 20252.34
2.77
18.38%
4
89.27
2.34%
9.39
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
12 Dec 20251.75
2.00
14.29%
4
94.59
3.91%
28.71
TYGO NASDAQ · Tigo Energy Inc.
4 Jul 20251.28
2.06
60.94%
4
65.50
4.16%
3.04
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
26 Jun 20264.80
5.73
19.38%
7
63.21
2.94%
9.03
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
26 Jun 20263.59
4.06
13.09%
5
82.65
5.63%
3.17
UNH NYSE · UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
12 Jun 2026406.23
424.62
4.53%
4
95.40
2.57%
15.61
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
23 Jan 2026104.67
112.47
7.45%
5
87.14
1.44%
0.87
UTMD NASDAQ · Utah Medical Products Inc
6 Mar 202664.50
67.96
5.36%
4
97.07
2.31%
5.55
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
1 May 202672.06
98.31
36.42%
4
72.44
0.24%
0.69
VLN NYSE · Valens
12 Jun 20262.21
2.08
-5.88%
6
78.89
8.11%
2.03
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
8.34
19.14%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1441-1470 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 Aug 2025
Exit
SONY NYSE · Sony Group Corp
28.66
Reversal Risk Warning
70.30%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 16.83
15 Aug 2025
Exit
SPWH NASDAQ · Sportsmans
2.70
20% entry drawdown
-21.28%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 3.43
15 Aug 2025
Entry
SSL NYSE · Sasol Ltd
5.74
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 29.41 · ROC 0.77% · RS 1.76
15 Aug 2025
Exit
SURG NASDAQ · Surgepays Inc
2.07
20% entry drawdown
-27.37%
Entry 16 May 2025 2.85
15 Aug 2025
Exit
TCRT NASDAQ · Alaunos Therapeutics Inc
2.25
20% entry drawdown
-26.83%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 3.08
15 Aug 2025
Exit
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
24.90
Reversal Risk Warning
189.86%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 8.59
8 Aug 2025
Entry
ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc
4.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 99.24 · ROC 7.41% · RS 30.38
8 Aug 2025
Entry
ADM NYSE · Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
56.06
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 55.46 · ROC 1.61% · RS 2.44
8 Aug 2025
Exit
AGEN NASDAQ · Agenus Inc
4.80
20% entry drawdown
-20.92%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 6.07
8 Aug 2025
Exit
ARRY NASDAQ · Array Technologies Inc
5.50
20% entry drawdown
-26.37%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 7.47
8 Aug 2025
Entry
BLDP NASDAQ · Ballard Power Systems Inc
1.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.96 · ROC 1.47% · RS 2.73
8 Aug 2025
Entry
BWEN NASDAQ · Broadwind Energy Inc
2.38
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.31 · ROC 4.67% · RS 10.88
8 Aug 2025
Entry
CELU NASDAQ · Celularity Inc
3.24
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.47 · ROC 5.84% · RS 27.22
8 Aug 2025
Entry
CTOR NASDAQ · Citius Oncology, Inc.
1.81
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 12.05 · ROC 7.09% · RS 15.25
8 Aug 2025
Entry
DAIO NASDAQ · Data I/O Corporation
3.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.81 · ROC 2.14% · RS 5.08
8 Aug 2025
Exit
DASH NASDAQ · DoorDash, Inc. Class A Common Stock
259.19
Reversal Risk Warning
176.29%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 93.81
8 Aug 2025
Exit
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
2.21
20% entry drawdown
-23.26%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 2.88
8 Aug 2025
Entry
EL NYSE · Estee Lauder Companies Inc
89.37
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.84 · ROC 3.25% · RS 9.76
8 Aug 2025
Entry
ETSY NYSE · Etsy, Inc.
60.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 51.06 · ROC 1.68% · RS 5.58
8 Aug 2025
Entry
EVEX NYSE · Eve Holding Inc
5.86
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 63.70 · ROC 3.67% · RS 24.46
8 Aug 2025
Entry
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.98
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 48.01 · ROC 4.52% · RS 0.41
8 Aug 2025
Exit
HRTX NASDAQ · Heron Therapeuti
1.32
20% entry drawdown
-37.14%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 2.10
8 Aug 2025
Entry
IMMX NASDAQ · Immix Biopharma Inc
2.39
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 39.17 · ROC 3.07% · RS 4.86
8 Aug 2025
Entry
INKT NASDAQ · Mink Therapeutics Inc
12.06
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 37.90 · ROC 12.95% · RS 12.95
8 Aug 2025
Entry
LOOP NASDAQ · Loop Industries Inc
1.63
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 51.06 · ROC 2.12% · RS 6.96
8 Aug 2025
Entry
MRM NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc
2.76
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 55.73 · ROC 7.60% · RS 34.54
8 Aug 2025
Exit
NRDY NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.28
20% entry drawdown
-24.26%
Entry 16 May 2025 1.69
8 Aug 2025
Exit
NVCT NASDAQ · Nuvectis Pharma Inc
6.00
20% entry drawdown
-27.27%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 8.25
8 Aug 2025
Entry
ONT NYSE · Onterris
26.13
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 44.28 · ROC 3.00% · RS 12.53
8 Aug 2025
Entry
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
16.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 45.81 · ROC 2.56% · RS 9.04