Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1122
Transactions
10714 Avg 3054.8/yr · 254.6/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4796 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
11
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 301-330 of 1122 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
DT NYSE · Dynatrace Holdings LLC
1 May 202637.61
43.68
16.14%
Buy
0.07
-
-
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
20 Mar 20266.52
8.76
34.36%
Buy
0.48
-
-
DUOL NASDAQ · Duolingo Inc
12 Jun 2026122.63
124.76
1.74%
Buy
1.00
-
-
DV NYSE · DoubleVerify Holdings Inc
1 May 202611.31
11.67
3.18%
Buy
0.91
-
-
DXCM NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
26 Dec 202567.57
74.96
10.94%
Buy
0.03
-
-
DXLG NASDAQ · Destination XL Group Inc
1 May 20260.62
0.62
-0.16%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DYAI NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
3 Jul 20260.94
1.06
12.71%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DYN NASDAQ · Dyne Therapeutics Inc
25 Jul 20259.95
23.42
135.38%
Buy
0.54
-
-
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
20 Feb 20266.25
6.60
5.52%
Buy
0.89
-
-
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
20 Mar 20262.34
3.26
39.32%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EDTK NASDAQ · Skillful Craftsman Education Tech
15 Dec 20230.94
0.97
3.39%
Buy
0.22
-
-
EDU NYSE · New Oriental Education & Technology
16 May 202547.52
48.55
2.17%
Buy
0.21
-
-
EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc
20 Feb 202672.50
77.29
6.61%
Buy
0.39
-
-
EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc
9 Jan 20264.73
5.03
6.33%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock
27 Jun 20251.86
2.05
10.22%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EIC NYSE · Eagle Point Income Company Inc
1 May 20269.80
10.36
5.71%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EIX NYSE · Edison International
2 May 202551.76
75.20
45.28%
Buy
0.20
-
-
EL NYSE · Estee Lauder Companies Inc
30 May 202565.96
82.66
25.31%
Buy
0.12
-
-
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
3 Jul 20260.56
0.57
0.99%
Buy
0.28
-
-
ELDN NASDAQ · Eledon Pharmaceuticals Inc
20 Feb 20262.19
3.85
75.80%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ELF NYSE · ELF Beauty Inc
26 Jun 202667.43
76.75
13.82%
Buy
0.13
-
-
ELS NYSE · Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc
19 Sep 202559.02
63.47
7.53%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
9 Jan 20260.72
0.96
33.20%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
3 Oct 2025345.12
416.23
20.60%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EMIS NASDAQ · Emisphere Technologies Inc
29 May 202610.13
10.18
0.49%
Buy
0.80
-
-
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
14 Nov 202558.11
67.57
16.28%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ENGS NASDAQ · Energys Group Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20262.55
2.91
14.12%
Buy
1.92
-
-
ENOV NYSE · Enovis Corp
24 Apr 202624.10
25.75
6.85%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ENR NYSE · Energizer Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202620.25
20.47
1.09%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
6 Jun 20257.47
13.70
83.40%
Buy
0.43
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 271-300 of 10714
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
NTRA NASDAQ · Natera Inc
261.91
Reversal Risk Warning
192.93%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 89.41
26 Jun 2026
Entry
NVR NYSE · NVR Inc
6828.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
26 Jun 2026
Exit
NWPX NASDAQ · Northwest Pipe Company
148.01
Reversal Risk Warning
234.18%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 44.29
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ODC NYSE · Oil-Dri Corporation Of America
101.42
Reversal Risk Warning
184.42%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 35.66
26 Jun 2026
Exit
OPLN NYSE · OPENLANE, Inc.
42.90
Reversal Risk Warning
183.36%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 15.14
26 Jun 2026
Entry
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
1.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ORBS NASDAQ · Eightco Holdings Inc.
0.74
20% entry drawdown
-22.09%
Entry 22 May 2026 0.94
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ORKA NASDAQ · Oruka Therapeutics, Inc.
90.60
Reversal Risk Warning
269.95%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 24.49
26 Jun 2026
Entry
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
5.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
26 Jun 2026
Exit
OXM NYSE · Oxford Industries Inc
35.83
20% entry drawdown
-20.18%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 44.89
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PGEN NASDAQ · Precigen Inc
5.86
Reversal Risk Warning
388.33%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 1.20
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PKOH NASDAQ · Park Ohio Holdings Corp
39.06
Reversal Risk Warning
122.18%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 17.58
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PLOW NYSE · Douglas Dynamics Inc
53.89
Reversal Risk Warning
133.11%
Entry 24 May 2024 23.12
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PRG NYSE · PROG Holdings Inc
46.11
Reversal Risk Warning
61.38%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 28.57
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PRSU NYSE · Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality, Inc.
54.76
Reversal Risk Warning
71.39%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 31.95
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PSIG NASDAQ · PS International Group Ltd. Ordinary Shares
11.69
Price scale break
151.94%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 4.64
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PSMT NASDAQ · PriceSmart Inc
196.25
Reversal Risk Warning
162.39%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 74.79
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PSNL NASDAQ · Personalis Inc
13.02
Reversal Risk Warning
238.18%
Entry 19 Jul 2024 3.85
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PTGX NASDAQ · Protagonist Therapeutics Inc
121.88
Reversal Risk Warning
265.02%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 33.39
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
22.90
Reversal Risk Warning
43.84%
Entry 8 May 2026 15.92
26 Jun 2026
Entry
PULM NASDAQ · Pulmatrix Inc
1.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.66
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PVLA NASDAQ · Palvella Therapeutics, Inc
148.21
Reversal Risk Warning
177.44%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 53.42
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RBB NASDAQ · RBB Bancorp
27.05
Reversal Risk Warning
118.43%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 12.38
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RBBN NASDAQ · Ribbon Communications Inc
2.20
20% entry drawdown
-21.71%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 2.81
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RCUS NYSE · Arcus Biosciences Inc
31.00
Reversal Risk Warning
232.26%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 9.33
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RFIL NASDAQ · RF Industries Ltd
21.43
Reversal Risk Warning
340.95%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 4.86
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
18.56
Reversal Risk Warning
518.67%
Entry 9 May 2025 3.00
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RMCF NASDAQ · Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory
1.08
20% entry drawdown
-31.21%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 1.57
26 Jun 2026
Exit
ROIV NASDAQ · Roivant Sciences Ltd
34.07
Reversal Risk Warning
141.97%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 14.08
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RSI NYSE · Rush Street Interactive Inc
31.56
Reversal Risk Warning
301.53%
Entry 3 May 2024 7.86