View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.45
Total Return
369.45%
CAGR
54.67% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.23%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1071
Transactions
10827 Avg 3053.7/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4878 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
20
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.60 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.48 MD 1.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
30
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
NXGL NASDAQ · Nexgel Inc
0.44 20% entry drawdown · -22.25%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SEGG NASDAQ · Lottery.com Inc.
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -24.97%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
SUIG NASDAQ · SUI Group Holdings Limited
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -20.16%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 301-330 of 1071 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
EDU NYSE · New Oriental Education & Technology
16 May 202547.52
49.24
3.62%
Buy
0.21
-
-
EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc
20 Feb 202672.50
79.31
9.39%
Buy
0.39
-
-
EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc
9 Jan 20264.73
5.04
6.54%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock
27 Jun 20251.86
1.74
-6.45%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EIC NYSE · Eagle Point Income Company Inc
1 May 20269.80
9.97
1.73%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EL NYSE · Estee Lauder Companies Inc
30 May 202565.96
80.29
21.72%
Buy
0.12
-
-
ELDN NASDAQ · Eledon Pharmaceuticals Inc
20 Feb 20262.19
3.58
63.47%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ELF NYSE · ELF Beauty Inc
26 Jun 202667.43
77.36
14.73%
Buy
0.13
-
-
ELS NYSE · Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc
19 Sep 202559.02
66.05
11.90%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
9 Jan 20260.72
0.93
28.63%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
3 Oct 2025345.12
377.68
9.43%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EMIS NASDAQ · Emisphere Technologies Inc
29 May 202610.13
10.18
0.49%
Buy
0.80
-
-
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
14 Nov 202558.11
68.20
17.37%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ENGS NASDAQ · Energys Group Limited Ordinary Shares
10 Jul 20262.91
2.67
-8.25%
Buy
2.59
-
-
ENOV NYSE · Enovis Corp
24 Apr 202624.10
27.03
12.16%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ENR NYSE · Energizer Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202620.25
20.96
3.51%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
6 Jun 20257.47
12.78
71.08%
Buy
0.43
-
-
EOLS NASDAQ · Evolus Inc
24 Apr 20265.30
5.98
12.83%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
16 Jan 202618.41
27.63
50.08%
Buy
0.23
-
-
EPSN NASDAQ · Epsilon Energy Ltd
30 Jan 20264.88
5.83
19.54%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ERIE NASDAQ · Erie Indemnity Company
3 Jul 2026257.78
223.55
-13.28%
Buy
0.77
-
-
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
3 Jul 20265.64
5.32
-5.67%
Buy
0.68
-
-
ESRT NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc
22 May 20265.54
5.66
2.10%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ESTC NYSE · Elastic NV
22 May 202654.81
58.68
7.06%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ETD NYSE · Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
19 Jun 202621.17
22.82
7.79%
Buy
0.25
-
-
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
12 Jun 20264.80
4.22
-12.08%
Buy
1.29
-
-
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
3 Jul 202629.63
29.73
0.34%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
19 Jun 20261.56
1.72
10.26%
Buy
1.21
-
-
EXLS NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc
22 May 202629.51
27.67
-6.24%
Buy
0.35
-
-
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
17 Jul 202662.88
61.44
-2.29%
Buy
0.09
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8881-8910 of 10827
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jan 2024
Exit
PRPO NASDAQ · Precipio Inc
5.35
20% entry drawdown
-21.78%
Entry 6 Oct 2023 6.84
12 Jan 2024
Entry
SCM NYSE · Stellus Capital Investment
9.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
12 Jan 2024
Entry
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
10.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
12 Jan 2024
Entry
SILC NASDAQ · Silicom
18.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
12 Jan 2024
Entry
SNWV NASDAQ · SANUWAVE Health, Inc. Common Stock
8.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
12 Jan 2024
Entry
STE NYSE · STERIS plc
217.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
12 Jan 2024
Entry
SWVL NASDAQ · Swvl Holdings Corp
4.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.41
12 Jan 2024
Entry
TARS NASDAQ · Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc
22.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
12 Jan 2024
Entry
TBLD NASDAQ · Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust Common Stock
13.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.16
12 Jan 2024
Entry
THC NYSE · Tenet Healthcare Corporation
81.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
12 Jan 2024
Entry
TK NYSE · Teekay Corporation
4.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
12 Jan 2024
Exit
WDFC NASDAQ · WD-40 Company
261.94
Reversal Risk Warning
22.05%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 214.61
12 Jan 2024
Entry
XCUR NASDAQ · Exicure Inc
4.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
12 Jan 2024
Entry
XERS NASDAQ · Xeris Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.20
5 Jan 2024
Entry
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
6.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
5 Jan 2024
Entry
AGIO NASDAQ · Agios Pharm
23.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
5 Jan 2024
Entry
AN NYSE · AutoNation Inc
140.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
5 Jan 2024
Entry
AOSL NASDAQ · Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
26.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
5 Jan 2024
Exit
ARQQ NASDAQ · Arqit Quantum Inc.
10.05
20% entry drawdown
-21.64%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 12.83
5 Jan 2024
Entry
ASUR NASDAQ · Asure Software Inc
8.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
5 Jan 2024
Exit
AUR NASDAQ · Aurora Innovation Inc
3.29
20% entry drawdown
-24.71%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 4.37
5 Jan 2024
Entry
AZN NYSE · AstraZeneca PLC
128.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
5 Jan 2024
Entry
BMR NASDAQ · Beamr Imaging Ltd. Ordinary Share
1.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
5 Jan 2024
Entry
BTCS NASDAQ · BTCS Inc
2.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.31
5 Jan 2024
Exit
BTDR NASDAQ · Bitdeer Technologies Group Class A Ordinary Shares
8.11
20% entry drawdown
-20.65%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 10.22
5 Jan 2024
Entry
CAPR NASDAQ · Capricor Therapeutics Inc
5.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
5 Jan 2024
Exit
CORT NASDAQ · Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated
24.28
20% entry drawdown
-22.15%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 31.19
5 Jan 2024
Entry
CTVA NYSE · Corteva Inc
46.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
5 Jan 2024
Entry
CVLG NYSE · Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
21.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
5 Jan 2024
Exit
CYTK NASDAQ · Cytokinetics Inc
93.73
Reversal Risk Warning
110.16%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 44.60