Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 361-390 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
53.00
3.21%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
5.69
-12.60%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
22.32
-5.18%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
11.36
16.94%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.57
1.52%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
140.89
-1.51%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
19.17
138.43%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
55.30
-13.09%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
17.33
-13.09%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
11.00
4.97%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.85
8.81%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GANX NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.68
14.68%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
27.50
-1.45%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
24 Jul 20260.51
0.43
-15.84%
Buy
0.69
-
-
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
1.86
16.98%
Buy
1.17
-
-
GDDY NYSE · Godaddy Inc
26 Jun 202684.55
82.74
-2.14%
Buy
0.67
-
-
GDOT NYSE · Green Dot Corporation
9 May 202510.94
13.11
19.84%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
1 May 20262.55
3.07
20.39%
Buy
0.65
-
-
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20261.16
0.93
-19.82%
Buy
0.39
-
-
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8 May 20265.60
5.14
-8.21%
Buy
0.00
-
-
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
31 Jul 202668.02
68.02
New Entry week
Buy
0.24
-
-
GELS NASDAQ · Gelteq Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20260.62
0.52
-16.11%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GEMI NASDAQ · Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1 May 20264.72
3.90
-17.37%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
22 May 20265.35
6.93
29.53%
Buy
0.04
-
-
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
22 Aug 20254.85
6.34
30.72%
Buy
0.48
-
-
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
3 Jul 20260.82
0.87
4.99%
Buy
0.91
-
-
GHI NYSE · Greystone Housing Impact Investors LP
3 Jul 20265.96
5.76
-3.36%
Buy
0.27
-
-
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
10 Jul 202667.06
73.15
9.08%
Buy
0.07
-
-
GIC NYSE · Global Industrial Co
2 May 202524.76
35.74
44.36%
Buy
0.64
-
-
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
3 Jul 202636.95
35.75
-3.24%
Buy
0.29
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8941-8970 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Jan 2024
Entry
SWVL NASDAQ · Swvl Holdings Corp
4.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.41
12 Jan 2024
Entry
TARS NASDAQ · Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc
22.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
12 Jan 2024
Entry
TBLD NASDAQ · Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust Common Stock
13.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.16
12 Jan 2024
Entry
THC NYSE · Tenet Healthcare Corporation
81.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
12 Jan 2024
Entry
TK NYSE · Teekay Corporation
4.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
12 Jan 2024
Exit
WDFC NASDAQ · WD-40 Company
261.94
Reversal Risk Warning
22.05%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 214.61
12 Jan 2024
Entry
XCUR NASDAQ · Exicure Inc
4.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
12 Jan 2024
Entry
XERS NASDAQ · Xeris Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.20
5 Jan 2024
Entry
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
6.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.95
5 Jan 2024
Entry
AGIO NASDAQ · Agios Pharm
23.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
5 Jan 2024
Entry
AN NYSE · AutoNation Inc
140.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
5 Jan 2024
Entry
AOSL NASDAQ · Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
26.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
5 Jan 2024
Exit
ARQQ NASDAQ · Arqit Quantum Inc.
10.05
20% entry drawdown
-21.64%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 12.83
5 Jan 2024
Entry
ASUR NASDAQ · Asure Software Inc
8.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
5 Jan 2024
Exit
AUR NASDAQ · Aurora Innovation Inc
3.29
20% entry drawdown
-24.71%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 4.37
5 Jan 2024
Entry
AZN NYSE · AstraZeneca PLC
128.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
5 Jan 2024
Entry
BMR NASDAQ · Beamr Imaging Ltd. Ordinary Share
1.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
5 Jan 2024
Entry
BTCS NASDAQ · BTCS Inc
2.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.31
5 Jan 2024
Exit
BTDR NASDAQ · Bitdeer Technologies Group Class A Ordinary Shares
8.11
20% entry drawdown
-20.65%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 10.22
5 Jan 2024
Entry
CAPR NASDAQ · Capricor Therapeutics Inc
5.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
5 Jan 2024
Exit
CORT NASDAQ · Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated
24.28
20% entry drawdown
-22.15%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 31.19
5 Jan 2024
Entry
CTVA NYSE · Corteva Inc
46.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
5 Jan 2024
Entry
CVLG NYSE · Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
21.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
5 Jan 2024
Exit
CYTK NASDAQ · Cytokinetics Inc
93.73
Reversal Risk Warning
110.16%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 44.60
5 Jan 2024
Entry
DAC NYSE · Danaos Corporation
72.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
5 Jan 2024
Entry
DXR NASDAQ · Daxor Corporation
9.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
5 Jan 2024
Entry
ELVA NASDAQ · Electrovaya Inc.
3.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
5 Jan 2024
Entry
ERO NYSE · Ero Copper Corp
16.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
5 Jan 2024
Entry
ESOA NASDAQ · Energy Services Of America Corp
5.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
5 Jan 2024
Entry
FOA NYSE · Finance of America Companies Inc
9.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31