View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 391-420 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
GIS NYSE · General Mills Inc
3 Jul 202636.95
36.03
-2.48%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GIW NASDAQ · Giginternational1 Inc
13 Feb 202610.00
10.09
0.90%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GLBE NASDAQ · Global-E Online Ltd
18 Jul 202533.45
36.21
8.25%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GMAB NASDAQ · Genmab AS
24 Jan 202521.13
28.87
36.63%
Buy
0.12
-
-
GNSS NASDAQ · Genasys Inc
18 Jul 20251.98
1.66
-16.16%
Buy
0.33
-
-
GNTA NASDAQ · Genenta Science SpA ADR
29 May 20261.03
1.59
54.37%
Buy
0.70
-
-
GNTX NASDAQ · Gentex Corporation
4 Jul 202522.67
22.90
1.00%
Buy
0.35
-
-
GO NASDAQ · Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
12 Jun 20269.58
9.01
-5.95%
Buy
0.83
-
-
GPAT NASDAQ · GP-Act III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
18 Apr 202510.34
10.91
5.51%
Buy
1.46
-
-
GPC NYSE · Genuine Parts Co
26 Jun 2026116.02
124.21
7.06%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GPK NYSE · Graphic Packaging Holding Company
22 May 202610.07
11.02
9.44%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GPN NYSE · Global Payments Inc
22 May 202672.99
80.92
10.86%
Buy
0.22
-
-
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
20 Jun 20255.67
16.95
198.94%
Buy
0.81
-
-
GRAB NASDAQ · Grab Holdings Ltd
26 Jun 20263.55
3.31
-6.76%
Buy
0.18
-
-
GREE NASDAQ · Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc
15 May 20261.47
2.45
66.67%
Buy
0.20
-
-
GRFS NASDAQ · Grifols SA ADR
31 May 20247.04
7.58
7.62%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GRNT NYSE · Granite Ridge Resources Inc
20 Feb 20265.00
4.85
-2.92%
Buy
0.30
-
-
GROV NYSE · Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc.
3 Apr 20261.27
1.07
-15.75%
Buy
0.25
-
-
GRPN NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
24 Apr 202614.67
25.81
75.94%
Buy
0.23
-
-
GRVY NASDAQ · Gravity Co Ltd
18 Apr 202558.50
61.50
5.13%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GRWG NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
8 May 20261.42
1.38
-2.82%
Buy
0.31
-
-
GSBD NYSE · Goldman Sachs BDC Inc
20 Jun 20259.76
8.66
-11.23%
Buy
0.17
-
-
GSHD NASDAQ · Goosehead Insurance Inc
26 Jun 202646.87
58.75
25.35%
Buy
0.53
-
-
GSM NASDAQ · Ferroglobe PLC
14 Mar 20253.96
3.36
-15.17%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GSRF NASDAQ · GSR IV Acquisition Corp. Class A ordinary share
15 May 202610.13
10.16
0.30%
Buy
1.76
-
-
GTERA NASDAQ · Globa Terra Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.26
10.35
0.93%
Buy
2.66
-
-
GTIM NASDAQ · Good Times Restaurants Inc
26 Jun 20261.39
1.39
0.00%
Buy
1.53
-
-
GTLB NASDAQ · Gitlab Inc
15 May 202623.66
31.28
32.21%
Buy
0.03
-
-
GTN NYSE · Gray Television Inc
28 Feb 20253.38
3.96
17.17%
Buy
0.29
-
-
GUTS NASDAQ · Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock
12 Jun 20260.85
0.77
-9.06%
Buy
0.45
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 6961-6990 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
8 Nov 2024
Entry
RPID NASDAQ · Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc
1.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.43
8 Nov 2024
Exit
RVNC NASDAQ · Revance Therapeutics, Inc.
3.70
20% entry drawdown
-36.21%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 5.80
8 Nov 2024
Exit
SENS NASDAQ · Senseonics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
6.17
20% entry drawdown
-24.18%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 8.14
8 Nov 2024
Entry
SEZL NASDAQ · Sezzle Inc.
71.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.87
8 Nov 2024
Exit
SFBS NYSE · ServisFirst Bancshares Inc
93.43
Reversal Risk Warning
68.99%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 55.29
8 Nov 2024
Exit
SFNC NASDAQ · Simmons First National Corporation
22.94
Reversal Risk Warning
31.92%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 17.39
8 Nov 2024
Entry
SGHC NYSE · SGHC Limited
4.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.31
8 Nov 2024
Exit
SLVM NYSE · Sylvamo Corp
90.79
Reversal Risk Warning
114.14%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 42.40
8 Nov 2024
Entry
SND NASDAQ · Smart Sand Inc
2.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.86
8 Nov 2024
Entry
SNOW NYSE · Snowflake Inc.
120.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
8 Nov 2024
Entry
SOUN NASDAQ · SoundHound AI Inc
7.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
8 Nov 2024
Entry
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
8.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.94
8 Nov 2024
Entry
SRAD NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG
15.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.66
8 Nov 2024
Exit
SSB NYSE · SouthState Corporation
104.54
Reversal Risk Warning
65.56%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 63.14
8 Nov 2024
Entry
STEX NASDAQ · Streamex Corp
1.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.57
8 Nov 2024
Entry
STRL NASDAQ · Sterling Construction Company Inc
193.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.29
8 Nov 2024
Exit
TISI NYSE · Team Inc
22.52
Reversal Risk Warning
162.78%
Entry 31 May 2024 8.57
8 Nov 2024
Entry
TLS NASDAQ · Telos Corp
4.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
8 Nov 2024
Entry
TM NYSE · Toyota Motor Corporation ADR
166.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
8 Nov 2024
Exit
TXRH NASDAQ · Texas Roadhouse Inc
192.43
Reversal Risk Warning
78.47%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 107.82
8 Nov 2024
Entry
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.73
8 Nov 2024
Exit
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
81.00
Reversal Risk Warning
123.45%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 36.25
8 Nov 2024
Exit
VATE NYSE · Innovate Corp
4.47
20% entry drawdown
-28.82%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 6.28
8 Nov 2024
Exit
VHI NYSE · Valhi Inc
39.87
Reversal Risk Warning
146.09%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 16.20
8 Nov 2024
Exit
VISN NASDAQ · CommScope Holding Company, Inc.
1.53
20% entry drawdown
-30.78%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 2.22
8 Nov 2024
Exit
VNOM NASDAQ · Viper Energy Ut
49.45
Reversal Risk Warning
83.50%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 26.95
8 Nov 2024
Exit
VTS NYSE · Vitesse Energy Inc
23.07
Reversal Risk Warning
21.94%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 18.92
8 Nov 2024
Exit
WSO NYSE · Watsco Inc
507.10
Reversal Risk Warning
42.25%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 356.49
8 Nov 2024
Entry
WULF NASDAQ · Terawulf Inc
8.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.97
8 Nov 2024
Exit
WYNN NASDAQ · Wynn Resorts Limited
82.84
20% entry drawdown
-20.06%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 103.62