View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.45
Total Return
369.45%
CAGR
54.67% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.23%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1071
Transactions
10827 Avg 3053.7/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4878 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
20
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.60 MD 0.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.69 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.48 MD 1.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.88 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
30
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
NXGL NASDAQ · Nexgel Inc
0.44 20% entry drawdown · -22.25%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SEGG NASDAQ · Lottery.com Inc.
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -24.97%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
SUIG NASDAQ · SUI Group Holdings Limited
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -20.16%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 451-480 of 1071 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
30 May 202519.49
24.91
27.80%
Buy
0.18
-
-
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
6 Jun 202519.64
28.05
42.82%
Buy
0.25
-
-
HY NYSE · Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Inc
16 Jan 202633.16
33.10
-0.19%
Buy
0.07
-
-
HYPR NASDAQ · Hyperfine Inc
18 Jul 20250.92
0.95
3.67%
Buy
0.56
-
-
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
8 May 202613.92
19.79
42.17%
Buy
0.55
-
-
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
17 Jul 202678.86
79.52
0.84%
Buy
0.80
-
-
ICLR NASDAQ · ICON PLC
22 May 2026116.78
165.76
41.94%
Buy
0.20
-
-
IDYA NASDAQ · Ideaya Biosciences Inc
23 May 202518.82
35.40
88.10%
Buy
0.82
-
-
IEP NASDAQ · Icahn Enterprises LP
24 Apr 20267.64
7.69
0.66%
Buy
1.23
-
-
IFF NYSE · International Flavors & Fragrances Inc
14 Nov 202564.75
75.94
17.28%
Buy
0.34
-
-
IFRX NASDAQ · InflaRx N.V.
17 Apr 20261.59
1.74
9.43%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
6 Dec 20243.29
8.23
150.15%
Buy
0.26
-
-
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
4 Jul 202550.92
61.48
20.73%
Buy
0.82
-
-
ILAG NASDAQ · Intelligent Living Application Group Inc
19 Jun 20263.08
3.45
12.06%
Buy
0.63
-
-
IMCR NASDAQ · Immunocore Holdings Ltd
10 Jan 202530.40
35.00
15.13%
Buy
0.69
-
-
IMMR NASDAQ · Immersion Corporation
12 Dec 20256.75
6.52
-3.46%
Buy
0.13
-
-
IMRN NASDAQ · Immuron Ltd ADR
3 Apr 20260.80
1.11
38.58%
Buy
0.14
-
-
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
6 Jun 20252.13
4.32
102.82%
Buy
0.42
-
-
IMTX NASDAQ · Immatics NV
2 May 20255.23
9.08
73.61%
Buy
0.31
-
-
IMUX NASDAQ · Immunic Inc
13 Feb 20269.13
13.39
46.66%
Buy
0.33
-
-
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
31 Oct 202524.68
39.41
59.68%
Buy
1.39
-
-
IMXI NASDAQ · International Money Express Inc
15 Aug 202514.42
13.03
-9.64%
Buy
0.32
-
-
INBK NASDAQ · First Internet Bancorp
2 Jan 202620.37
26.45
29.85%
Buy
0.23
-
-
INCR NASDAQ · InterCure Ltd.
3 Jul 20261.09
0.97
-11.38%
Buy
1.06
-
-
INR NYSE · Infinity Natural Resources, Inc.
21 Nov 202512.62
13.20
4.60%
Buy
0.05
-
-
INSE NASDAQ · Inspired Entertainment Inc
29 May 20267.70
6.64
-13.77%
Buy
0.03
-
-
INVH NYSE · Invitation Homes Inc
24 Apr 202626.86
29.78
10.87%
Buy
0.40
-
-
IONR NASDAQ · ioneer Ltd American Depositary Shares
15 Aug 20253.34
3.21
-3.89%
Buy
0.56
-
-
IOSP NASDAQ · Innospec Inc
22 May 202679.58
84.76
6.51%
Buy
0.11
-
-
IOTR NASDAQ · iOThree Limited Ordinary Shares
27 Mar 20262.23
3.18
42.60%
Buy
0.09
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8731-8760 of 10827
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
2 Feb 2024
Entry
GSIT NASDAQ · GSI Technology Inc
2.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
2 Feb 2024
Entry
HAS NASDAQ · Hasbro Inc
45.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
2 Feb 2024
Exit
HRTG NYSE · Heritage Insurance Hldgs Inc
5.87
20% entry drawdown
-20.57%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 7.39
2 Feb 2024
Entry
INBS NASDAQ · Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc.
59.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.15
2 Feb 2024
Entry
IONR NASDAQ · ioneer Ltd American Depositary Shares
3.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
2 Feb 2024
Exit
IPM NASDAQ · Intelligent Protection Management Corp
4.98
Reversal Risk Warning
164.63%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 1.88
2 Feb 2024
Entry
JYNT NASDAQ · The Joint Corp
9.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
2 Feb 2024
Entry
LMAT NASDAQ · LeMaitre Vascular Inc
57.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.64
2 Feb 2024
Exit
MDAI NASDAQ · Spectral AI Inc.
1.96
20% entry drawdown
-27.68%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 2.71
2 Feb 2024
Exit
MGRC NASDAQ · McGrath RentCorp
124.42
Reversal Risk Warning
36.29%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 91.29
2 Feb 2024
Exit
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
11.92
20% entry drawdown
-36.60%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 18.80
2 Feb 2024
Entry
MTEK NASDAQ · Maris Tech Ltd
1.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.71
2 Feb 2024
Entry
NYAX NASDAQ · Nayax Ltd
26.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
2 Feb 2024
Entry
OVBC NASDAQ · Ohio Valley Banc Corp
22.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
2 Feb 2024
Exit
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
4.49
20% entry drawdown
-22.85%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 5.82
2 Feb 2024
Exit
PACK NYSE · Ranpak Holdings Corp
4.12
20% entry drawdown
-26.95%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 5.64
2 Feb 2024
Exit
RAVE NASDAQ · Rave Restaurant Group Inc
1.98
20% entry drawdown
-20.80%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 2.50
2 Feb 2024
Entry
SHG NYSE · Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd
31.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.99
2 Feb 2024
Entry
SKYW NASDAQ · SkyWest Inc
58.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
2 Feb 2024
Entry
STBX NASDAQ · Starbox Group Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
2 Feb 2024
Exit
THR NYSE · Thermon Group Holdings Inc
24.61
20% entry drawdown
-21.80%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 31.47
2 Feb 2024
Entry
TYRA NASDAQ · Tyra Biosciences Inc
16.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
2 Feb 2024
Entry
USGO NASDAQ · U.S. GoldMining Inc. Common stock
6.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
2 Feb 2024
Exit
VIOT NASDAQ · Viomi Technology ADR
0.75
20% entry drawdown
-20.39%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 0.94
2 Feb 2024
Exit
WVE NASDAQ · Wave Life Sciences Ltd
3.94
20% entry drawdown
-21.20%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 5.00
2 Feb 2024
Exit
ZEPP NYSE · Zepp Health Corp
4.76
20% entry drawdown
-26.99%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 6.52
26 Jan 2024
Exit
ADPT NASDAQ · Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp
3.95
20% entry drawdown
-20.20%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 4.95
26 Jan 2024
Entry
AIRTP NASDAQ · Air T Inc PR
14.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
26 Jan 2024
Exit
AMPX NYSE · Amprius Technologies Inc.
4.12
20% entry drawdown
-22.12%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 5.29
26 Jan 2024
Entry
AMSC NASDAQ · American Superconductor Corporation
13.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.90