Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 661-690 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
NABL NYSE · N-Able Inc
22 May 20263.66
4.68
27.87%
Buy
0.08
-
-
NAVI NASDAQ · Navient Corp
15 May 20267.62
8.39
10.13%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
24 Jul 20261.77
1.60
-9.60%
Buy
0.13
-
-
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
12 Sep 202542.36
85.67
102.24%
Buy
1.47
-
-
NCMI NASDAQ · National CineMedia Inc
22 May 20262.99
4.01
34.11%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
27 Mar 20269.20
18.62
102.39%
Buy
0.34
-
-
NEO NASDAQ · NeoGenomics Inc
29 Aug 20258.78
15.29
74.15%
Buy
0.47
-
-
NEOG NASDAQ · Neogen Corporation
7 Nov 20256.40
12.04
88.13%
Buy
1.27
-
-
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
22 Aug 20252.44
3.98
63.45%
Buy
1.33
-
-
NEXT NASDAQ · Nextdecade Corp
20 Feb 20265.48
6.72
22.63%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NGNE NASDAQ · Neurogene Inc
2 May 202516.97
32.89
93.81%
Buy
0.20
-
-
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
31 Jul 202698.79
98.79
New Entry week
Buy
0.36
-
-
NIO NYSE · Nio Inc Class A ADR
1 Aug 20255.01
4.88
-2.59%
Buy
1.63
-
-
NKE NYSE · Nike Inc
3 Jul 202644.09
41.71
-5.40%
Buy
0.29
-
-
NMAX NYSE · Newsmax, Inc.
17 Apr 20266.95
7.71
10.94%
Buy
1.33
-
-
NMP NASDAQ · NMP Acquisition Corp.
1 May 202610.19
10.30
1.08%
Buy
2.46
-
-
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
30 Jan 20261.49
3.31
122.15%
Buy
0.18
-
-
NNDM NASDAQ · Nano Dimension Ltd
11 Jul 20251.58
1.50
-5.06%
Buy
0.14
-
-
NOA NYSE · North American Construction Group Ltd
24 Oct 202514.96
13.60
-9.07%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOG NYSE · Northern Oil & Gas Inc
12 Dec 202521.82
21.15
-3.07%
Buy
0.07
-
-
NOMA NASDAQ · NOMADAR Corp. Class A Common Stock
22 May 20263.60
3.01
-16.39%
Buy
0.33
-
-
NOMD NYSE · Nomad Foods Ltd
5 Jun 20269.91
11.90
20.08%
Buy
0.05
-
-
NOVT NASDAQ · Novanta Inc
30 May 2025123.82
142.55
15.13%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NOW NYSE · ServiceNow Inc
22 May 2026102.13
111.23
8.91%
Buy
0.41
-
-
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
17 Jul 20269.26
9.00
-2.81%
Buy
0.13
-
-
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
26 Sep 20255.25
9.51
81.11%
Buy
0.56
-
-
NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20262.22
3.15
41.89%
Buy
0.03
-
-
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
22 May 202697.73
128.93
31.92%
Buy
1.28
-
-
NSP NYSE · Insperity Inc
8 May 202632.02
50.61
58.08%
Buy
0.09
-
-
NSSC NASDAQ · NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
16 May 202527.30
37.08
35.82%
Buy
0.11
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8851-8880 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jan 2024
Entry
OCS NASDAQ · Oculis Holding AG Ordinary shares
13.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.79
26 Jan 2024
Entry
PAGP NASDAQ · Plains GP Holdings LP
14.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
26 Jan 2024
Entry
PMVP NASDAQ · Pmv Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
26 Jan 2024
Entry
RDCM NASDAQ · Radcom Ltd
9.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
26 Jan 2024
Entry
RUM NASDAQ · Rumble Inc.
6.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
26 Jan 2024
Exit
SKYE NASDAQ · Skye Bioscience, Inc. Common Stock
2.33
20% entry drawdown
-21.45%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 2.96
26 Jan 2024
Entry
SLDP NASDAQ · Solid Power Inc
1.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
26 Jan 2024
Entry
SPRY NASDAQ · ARS Pharmaceuticals, Inc
6.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.78
26 Jan 2024
Entry
SPXC NYSE · SPX Corp
103.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04
26 Jan 2024
Entry
UFCS NASDAQ · United Fire Group Inc
21.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.48
26 Jan 2024
Exit
USGO NASDAQ · U.S. GoldMining Inc. Common stock
5.81
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 7.54
26 Jan 2024
Entry
VIVO NASDAQ · VivoPower PLC
1.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
26 Jan 2024
Entry
WMK NYSE · Weis Markets Inc
58.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.51
19 Jan 2024
Entry
AMD NASDAQ · Advanced Micro Devices Inc
174.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.35
19 Jan 2024
Entry
APEI NASDAQ · American Public Education Inc
12.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.73
19 Jan 2024
Exit
APLD NASDAQ · Applied Digital Corporation
4.86
20% entry drawdown
-32.41%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 7.19
19 Jan 2024
Entry
AVAL NYSE · Grupo Aval
2.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.33
19 Jan 2024
Exit
BMR NASDAQ · Beamr Imaging Ltd. Ordinary Share
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-24.08%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 1.91
19 Jan 2024
Exit
BTCS NASDAQ · BTCS Inc
1.56
20% entry drawdown
-28.18%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.18
19 Jan 2024
Exit
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown
-27.47%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 1.17
19 Jan 2024
Exit
CAPR NASDAQ · Capricor Therapeutics Inc
4.03
20% entry drawdown
-25.78%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 5.43
19 Jan 2024
Entry
CLPT NASDAQ · Clearpoint Neuro Inc
7.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.43
19 Jan 2024
Entry
DSP NASDAQ · Viant Technology Inc
8.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.93
19 Jan 2024
Entry
ESTA NASDAQ · Establishment Labs Holdings Inc
36.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
19 Jan 2024
Exit
FSM NYSE · Fortuna Silver Mines Inc
3.02
20% entry drawdown
-25.25%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 4.04
19 Jan 2024
Exit
FUTU NASDAQ · Futu Holdings Ltd
45.05
20% entry drawdown
-20.18%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 56.44
19 Jan 2024
Exit
IPI NYSE · Intrepid Potash Inc
19.43
20% entry drawdown
-21.56%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 24.77
19 Jan 2024
Exit
LAES NASDAQ · SEALSQ Corp
1.73
20% entry drawdown
-23.45%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 2.26
19 Jan 2024
Entry
LPCN NASDAQ · Lipocine Inc
3.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17
19 Jan 2024
Entry
MCK NYSE · McKesson Corporation
479.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08