Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 841-870 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
RZLV NASDAQ · Rezolve AI Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20262.55
2.43
-4.71%
Buy
0.03
-
-
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
20 Mar 202614.17
19.06
34.51%
Buy
0.18
-
-
SABS NASDAQ · SAB Biotherapeutics Inc
24 Oct 20253.03
3.57
17.82%
Buy
0.14
-
-
SAFE NYSE · Safehold Inc
18 Apr 202514.56
16.18
11.09%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SAIA NASDAQ · Saia Inc
11 Jul 2025303.28
347.63
14.62%
Buy
0.13
-
-
SANA NASDAQ · Sana Biotechnology Inc
6 Jun 20252.84
3.13
10.21%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SARO NYSE · StandardAero, Inc.
19 Jun 202627.75
29.31
5.62%
Buy
0.16
-
-
SBAC NASDAQ · SBA Communications Corp
3 Apr 2026202.81
180.98
-10.76%
Buy
0.20
-
-
SCL NYSE · Stepan Company
19 Dec 202546.82
64.14
36.99%
Buy
0.41
-
-
SCOR NASDAQ · Comscore Inc
11 Apr 20255.63
7.00
24.33%
Buy
0.05
-
-
SDGR NASDAQ · Schrodinger Inc
19 Jun 202615.76
15.14
-3.93%
Buy
0.98
-
-
SEED NASDAQ · Origin Agritech Ltd
22 Aug 20251.10
1.00
-9.35%
Buy
0.59
-
-
SEER NASDAQ · Seer Inc
22 Dec 20231.82
2.22
21.98%
Buy
0.27
-
-
SEG NYSE · Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.
20 Jun 202519.46
26.23
34.79%
Buy
0.21
-
-
SGML NASDAQ · Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
15 Aug 20256.40
9.87
54.22%
Buy
0.92
-
-
SGMT NASDAQ · Sagimet Biosciences Inc. Series A Common Stock
6 Jun 20255.56
7.11
27.88%
Buy
0.25
-
-
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
31 Jul 20260.60
0.60
New Entry week
Buy
0.30
-
-
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
21 Mar 202512.65
11.99
-5.23%
Buy
0.44
-
-
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
15 Aug 20255.19
8.74
68.40%
Buy
0.54
-
-
SIBN NASDAQ · Si-Bone Inc
29 May 202614.10
17.76
25.96%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
4 Jul 202523.18
29.62
27.80%
Buy
0.57
-
-
SJ NASDAQ · Scienjoy Holding Corp
9 Jan 20260.80
1.03
29.16%
Buy
0.81
-
-
SJM NYSE · The J. M. Smucker Company
12 Jun 2026116.49
119.26
2.38%
Buy
0.15
-
-
SKIL NYSE · Skillsoft Corp.
24 Apr 20266.43
7.10
10.42%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
15 May 20264.77
4.63
-2.94%
Buy
0.39
-
-
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
10 Jul 20261.27
1.09
-14.17%
Buy
0.09
-
-
SLGN NYSE · Silgan Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202646.23
39.98
-13.52%
Buy
0.39
-
-
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
17 Apr 20267.53
10.49
39.31%
Buy
0.62
-
-
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
3 Jul 20264.19
4.72
12.65%
Buy
0.43
-
-
SLVM NYSE · Sylvamo Corp
5 Sep 202544.03
37.41
-15.03%
Buy
0.17
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8641-8670 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
23 Feb 2024
Exit
EDU NYSE · New Oriental Education & Technology
88.66
Reversal Risk Warning
63.27%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 54.31
23 Feb 2024
Exit
EGO NYSE · Eldorado Gold Corp
10.55
20% entry drawdown
-21.67%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 13.47
23 Feb 2024
Entry
EPD NYSE · Enterprise Products Partners LP
23.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
23 Feb 2024
Entry
FENG NYSE · Phoenix New Media Limited
1.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.43
23 Feb 2024
Entry
GE NYSE · GE Aerospace
120.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.53
23 Feb 2024
Entry
GLSI NASDAQ · Greenwich Lifesciences Inc
12.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
23 Feb 2024
Exit
GME NYSE · GameStop Corp.
13.51
20% entry drawdown
-21.73%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 17.26
23 Feb 2024
Entry
HIPO NYSE · Hippo Holdings Inc
11.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.51
23 Feb 2024
Entry
IRM NYSE · Iron Mountain Incorporated
69.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
23 Feb 2024
Exit
JOBY NYSE · Joby Aviation
5.42
20% entry drawdown
-21.45%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 6.90
23 Feb 2024
Entry
KEP NYSE · Korea Electric Power Corp ADR
8.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17
23 Feb 2024
Entry
NMM NYSE · Navios Maritime Partners LP Unit
33.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.30
23 Feb 2024
Entry
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
18.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.17
23 Feb 2024
Entry
PLGO NYSE · PLGO
13.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
23 Feb 2024
Entry
PNTG NASDAQ · Pennant Group Inc
17.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.08
23 Feb 2024
Entry
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
11.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.50
23 Feb 2024
Entry
SOGP NASDAQ · Sound Group Inc.
2.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
23 Feb 2024
Entry
STLD NASDAQ · Steel Dynamics Inc
123.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.78
23 Feb 2024
Exit
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.47
Reversal Risk Warning
101.76%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 0.73
23 Feb 2024
Entry
TOUR NASDAQ · Tuniu Corp
6.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
23 Feb 2024
Entry
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
23.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
23 Feb 2024
Exit
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
17.90
Reversal Risk Warning
191.29%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 6.15
23 Feb 2024
Exit
VERI NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
1.80
20% entry drawdown
-28.49%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 2.51
23 Feb 2024
Entry
VITL NASDAQ · Vital Farms Inc
16.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.00
23 Feb 2024
Exit
WBD NASDAQ · Warner Bros Discovery Inc
8.61
20% entry drawdown
-24.93%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 11.47
23 Feb 2024
Entry
WDH NYSE · Waterdrop Inc ADR
1.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.13
23 Feb 2024
Entry
WF NYSE · Woori Financial Group Inc
28.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.48
23 Feb 2024
Entry
WMT NASDAQ · Walmart Inc.
57.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.99
23 Feb 2024
Entry
XCUR NASDAQ · Exicure Inc
3.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.63
16 Feb 2024
Entry
ACEL NYSE · Accel Entertainment Inc
10.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00