Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
23 May 202511.11
14.26
28.35%
Buy
0.02
-
-
AMSF NASDAQ · AMERISAFE Inc
19 Jun 202631.32
29.04
-7.28%
Buy
0.17
-
-
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
10.75
34.88%
Buy
1.34
-
-
ANF NYSE · Abercrombie & Fitch Company
6 Jun 202582.99
99.54
19.94%
Buy
0.22
-
-
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
26 Jun 20265.97
5.67
-5.03%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
24 Oct 202510.01
19.28
92.61%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
12 Sep 20252.42
5.10
110.54%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20262.85
5.35
87.72%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
17 Jul 202658.50
60.13
2.79%
Buy
0.14
-
-
AOUT NASDAQ · American Outdoor Brands Inc
26 Dec 20258.28
12.36
49.28%
Buy
0.41
-
-
APOG NASDAQ · Apogee Enterprises Inc
5 Jun 202637.01
39.60
7.00%
Buy
0.04
-
-
APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc
15 May 2026151.70
180.19
18.78%
Buy
0.02
-
-
APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp
5 Jun 202624.73
26.96
9.02%
Buy
0.08
-
-
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
6 Jun 202566.64
56.47
-15.26%
Buy
0.17
-
-
APXT NASDAQ · Apex Treasury Corporation
19 Jun 202610.06
10.10
0.40%
Buy
1.18
-
-
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
13 Jun 20251.75
4.10
134.29%
Buy
0.86
-
-
AQB NASDAQ · AquaBounty Technologies Inc
26 Jun 20261.10
0.91
-17.67%
Buy
0.86
-
-
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
31 Oct 20257.05
8.17
15.92%
Buy
0.33
-
-
ARDT NYSE · Ardent Health Partners, Inc.
27 Feb 20269.39
10.67
13.63%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ARDX NASDAQ · Ardelyx Inc
18 Jul 20254.41
4.95
12.24%
Buy
0.03
-
-
ARES NYSE · Ares Management LP
22 May 2026122.41
128.09
4.64%
Buy
0.24
-
-
ARHS NASDAQ · Arhaus Inc
26 Jun 20268.41
7.41
-11.89%
Buy
0.42
-
-
ARKR NASDAQ · Ark Restaurants Corp
2 Jan 20266.61
5.65
-14.52%
Buy
0.11
-
-
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
30 May 202514.27
15.22
6.66%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ARQ NASDAQ · Arq Inc
22 May 20262.46
1.97
-19.92%
Buy
0.01
-
-
ARTV NASDAQ · Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
29 Aug 20253.15
10.10
220.63%
Buy
1.17
-
-
ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc
29 May 20267.70
8.32
8.05%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
22 Aug 202510.96
17.39
58.64%
Buy
1.96
-
-
ASH NYSE · Ashland Global Holdings Inc
4 Jul 202552.18
72.61
39.15%
Buy
0.63
-
-
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
9 Jan 202618.20
20.06
10.24%
Buy
0.14
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 9541-9570 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
1 Dec 2023
Entry
A NYSE · Agilent Technologies Inc
126.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.49
1 Dec 2023
Entry
AAPL NASDAQ · Apple Inc
189.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
99.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ACM NYSE · Aecom Technology Corporation
87.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ADC NYSE · Agree Realty Corporation
53.90
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ADCT NYSE · ADC Therapeutics SA
1.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.73
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ADUS NASDAQ · Addus HomeCare Corporation
89.58
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
1 Dec 2023
Entry
AFRM NASDAQ · Affirm Holdings Inc
37.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.17
1 Dec 2023
Entry
AGI NYSE · Alamos Gold Inc
14.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
1 Dec 2023
Entry
AIOS NASDAQ · AIOS Tech Inc.
69.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.58
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ALOY NASDAQ · REalloys Inc.
3.78
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ALT NASDAQ · Altimmune Inc
3.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.29
1 Dec 2023
Entry
APAM NYSE · Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc
30.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
1 Dec 2023
Entry
AQST NASDAQ · Aquestive Therapeutics Inc
2.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.52
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ARQQ NASDAQ · Arqit Quantum Inc.
12.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ATO NYSE · Atmos Energy Corporation
107.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
1 Dec 2023
Entry
AVIR NASDAQ · Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc
3.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
1 Dec 2023
Entry
AWK NYSE · American Water Works
125.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BALL NYSE · Ball Corporation
54.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BCAT NYSE · BlackRock Capital Allocation Trust
9.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BCH NYSE · Banco De Chile
18.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BEP NYSE · Brookfield Renewable Partners LP
22.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BFS NYSE · Saul Centers Inc
32.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
18.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BHRB NASDAQ · Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock
45.43
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BKH NYSE · Black Hills Corporation
47.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BKSY NYSE · Blacksky Technology Inc
10.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
1 Dec 2023
Exit
BNKK NASDAQ · Bonk, Inc.
169.75
Reversal Risk Warning
734.48%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 20.34
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BNL NYSE · Broadstone Net Lease Inc
13.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
1 Dec 2023
Entry
BNT NYSE · Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd.
23.68
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16