Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1021-1050 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
31 Jul 202659.80
59.80
New Entry week
Buy
0.70
-
-
WLK NYSE · Westlake Chemical Corporation
26 Dec 202572.93
70.50
-3.33%
Buy
0.03
-
-
WNC NYSE · Wabash National Corporation
19 Jun 202611.29
12.56
11.23%
Buy
0.10
-
-
WOOF NASDAQ · Pet Acquisition LLC
17 May 20242.49
2.79
12.05%
Buy
0.29
-
-
WPP NYSE · WPP PLC ADR
15 May 202616.98
20.21
19.00%
Buy
0.14
-
-
WPRT NASDAQ · Westport Fuel Systems Inc
9 Jan 20261.97
1.77
-10.41%
Buy
0.03
-
-
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
26 Dec 202519.62
24.28
23.73%
Buy
0.14
-
-
WST NYSE · West Pharmaceutical Services Inc
11 Jul 2025226.43
340.96
50.58%
Buy
0.38
-
-
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
24 Jul 202610.13
10.14
0.10%
Buy
1.79
-
-
WTG NASDAQ · Wintergreen Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.26
10.47
2.05%
Buy
1.64
-
-
WU NYSE · Western Union Co
5 Sep 20257.92
6.36
-19.68%
Buy
0.28
-
-
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
10 Jul 20262.93
2.54
-13.31%
Buy
1.08
-
-
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
24 Jul 20262.78
2.89
3.96%
Buy
0.21
-
-
WY NYSE · Weyerhaeuser Company
26 Dec 202523.34
25.03
7.26%
Buy
0.04
-
-
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
8 May 20263.11
3.64
17.21%
Buy
2.68
-
-
XBIO NASDAQ · Xenetic Biosciences Inc
6 Mar 20262.29
2.54
10.70%
Buy
0.08
-
-
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
11.90
1.45%
Buy
0.41
-
-
XNCR NASDAQ · Xencor Inc
19 Sep 202510.29
20.21
96.40%
Buy
1.16
-
-
XOS NASDAQ · Xos Inc
29 May 20262.28
2.10
-8.11%
Buy
0.38
-
-
XP NASDAQ · Xp Inc
14 Feb 202514.40
17.06
18.47%
Buy
0.18
-
-
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
23 May 202534.49
44.37
28.65%
Buy
0.10
-
-
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
28 Nov 20255.79
7.71
33.16%
Buy
0.33
-
-
XPOF NYSE · Xponential Fitness Inc
6 Mar 20265.83
6.52
11.84%
Buy
0.20
-
-
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
20 Jun 20259.17
15.95
73.94%
Buy
0.09
-
-
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
17 Jul 202614.05
13.37
-4.84%
Buy
0.72
-
-
XRN NYSE · Chiron Real Estate Inc.
18 Jul 202533.47
35.50
6.08%
Buy
0.29
-
-
XRX NASDAQ · Xerox Corp
1 May 20262.68
2.95
10.13%
Buy
0.30
-
-
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
10 Jul 20262.91
2.82
-3.09%
Buy
0.77
-
-
YDKG NASDAQ · Yueda Digital Holding
29 May 20260.83
1.05
26.51%
Buy
1.46
-
-
YELP NYSE · Yelp Inc
22 May 202622.39
26.43
18.04%
Buy
0.55
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8491-8520 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 Mar 2024
Entry
CXAI NASDAQ · CXApp Inc.
2.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.74
15 Mar 2024
Exit
ELVN NASDAQ · Enliven Therapeutics Inc.
11.97
20% entry drawdown
-25.09%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 15.98
15 Mar 2024
Entry
EUDA NASDAQ · EUDA Health Holdings Limited
29.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
15 Mar 2024
Entry
EXC NASDAQ · Exelon Corporation
33.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
15 Mar 2024
Entry
FUTU NASDAQ · Futu Holdings Ltd
52.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
15 Mar 2024
Exit
FWDI NASDAQ · Forward Industries, Inc.
4.60
20% entry drawdown
-41.77%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 7.90
15 Mar 2024
Entry
GEF-B NYSE · Greif Inc
58.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
15 Mar 2024
Exit
GRPN NASDAQ · Groupon Inc
12.59
20% entry drawdown
-21.51%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 16.04
15 Mar 2024
Exit
INBS NASDAQ · Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc.
43.90
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 55.20
15 Mar 2024
Entry
JCI NYSE · Johnson Controls International PLC
60.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.42
15 Mar 2024
Exit
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
1.23
20% entry drawdown
-26.32%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 1.67
15 Mar 2024
Entry
LU NYSE · Lufax Holding Ltd
1.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.90
15 Mar 2024
Entry
MDAI NASDAQ · Spectral AI Inc.
2.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
15 Mar 2024
Exit
NODK NASDAQ · NI Holdings Inc
16.14
Reversal Risk Warning
24.06%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 13.01
15 Mar 2024
Entry
OXBR NASDAQ · Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd
1.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
15 Mar 2024
Exit
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
10.78
20% entry drawdown
-40.11%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 18.00
15 Mar 2024
Entry
QXL NASDAQ · Quantum X Labs Inc.
3.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
15 Mar 2024
Entry
SCCO NYSE · Southern Copper Corporation
92.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
15 Mar 2024
Exit
SLDB NASDAQ · Solid Biosciences LLC
13.08
Reversal Risk Warning
370.50%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 2.78
15 Mar 2024
Entry
SMR NYSE · Nuscale Power Corp
7.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.36
15 Mar 2024
Entry
SU NYSE · Suncor Energy Inc
33.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.07
15 Mar 2024
Exit
SUZ NYSE · Suzano Papel e Celulose SA ADR
11.54
Reversal Risk Warning
34.66%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 8.57
15 Mar 2024
Exit
TAC NYSE · TransAlta Corp
6.08
20% entry drawdown
-20.91%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 7.68
15 Mar 2024
Entry
TRGP NYSE · Targa Resources Inc
100.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.45
15 Mar 2024
Entry
USLM NASDAQ · United States Lime & Minerals Inc
57.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.42
15 Mar 2024
Exit
VALU NASDAQ · Value Line Inc
35.87
20% entry drawdown
-21.20%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 45.52
15 Mar 2024
Entry
VST NYSE · Vistra Corp.
60.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.07
15 Mar 2024
Entry
VTS NYSE · Vitesse Energy Inc
18.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
15 Mar 2024
Entry
WVE NASDAQ · Wave Life Sciences Ltd
6.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.50
15 Mar 2024
Exit
ZG NASDAQ · Zillow Group Inc
46.22
20% entry drawdown
-20.41%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 58.07