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Weekly closes ยท USD
Market context
Stage
4 ยท Stage 4C ยท Repair watch, as of 11 Sep 2026
Sentiment
50 ยท As of 19 Sep 2026
RS
-5.56
Dynamics
1.08
Fair value gap
-1.5%
Week range
9.14โ9.50
Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
SUZ
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA ADR
Basic MaterialsPaper & Paper Products
Suzano SA produces and sells eucalyptus pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. The company is headquartered in Salvador, Brazil.
Last updated
11 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Paper & Paper Products
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
11,367,304,900
Fair value reference
9.51
Next-week expectancy
Undecided ยท 50.97%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-11, SUZ rose 21.24%, moving from 7.72 to 9.36. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -5.56 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.08 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 50.97% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
11 Sep 2026
Latest Close
9.36
12-Week Change
21.24%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 50.97%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Weekly Chart Terminal
Select a chart tab to switch views.
Weekly Trend
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Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-11
Support is starting to improve
PSI is improving, but the change is not yet established. The next completed weeks will show whether support strengthens or fades.
PSI score
65/100
2 completed weeks
Recent support
0
Limited
Readings pointing the same way
100%
Little clear activity
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
The navy line is price. Green and red bars show support. The coloured trend lines show positive, negative or possible change.
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together63/100
Broad pressure high ยท more together
Ticker and market
Ticker support is tied to a broad market move
PSI is positive, but more covered stocks are moving in the same direction. Wider market conditions now matter more.
PSI
+30.0
Market togetherness
63/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Ticker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Current contextTicker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Ticker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
Both readings are positive
PSI and Market Dynamics point in the same positive direction.
Current reading
+1.08
Four-week change
+1.09
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-11
Price is pressing the upper adaptive boundary
Price is in the upper part of its current envelope. A rising centre and supportive evidence would strengthen the move; re-entry would flag cooling pressure.
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Market Dynamics supports the upper-envelope position
Underlying support is positive while price is on the upper side of APE. Persistence in both readings would strengthen the completed-week trend evidence.
Current reading
+1.08
Four-week change
+1.09
Current path
Strengthening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathSupportive87% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineMixedNot fully aligned
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsSupportive+1.08 ยท +1.09 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthMixed-5.6 ยท +15.3 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
ParticipationMixed0.86ร recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Pressing the upper envelope
The latest close sits at 87% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 2 completed weeks.
Envelope width
Envelope width is typical
Current width ranks at the 64th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Broad confirmation
70% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (8.99), upper boundary (9.60) and lower boundary (7.80).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Auction Intelligence
Sharemaestro market acceptance
Auction Intelligence
Where the market has accepted value, how that value is moving, and which price pathways remain structurally open.
Current auction stateAccepted value migrating lower
Price remains within the broader value area while the recent acceptance centre moves lower.
Price location
Within accepted value
Accepted value
Lower
Persistence
4 weeks
Auction runway
More room above
Accepted value8.54โ10.11
Principal three-year auction range
Acceptance centre9.28
0.9% latest-price distance
Value migration-11.6%
Recent centre versus prior year
Value breadth18.4%
Width of the accepted-value range
The auction map
Price path and acceptance geometry
Price shows the journey; the profile shows where that journey developed durable market memory.
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The next established shelf is materially farther above than below.
Above9.57Established market memory sits 2.3% above the latest close.
Below9.28Established market memory sits 0.9% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above10.11
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet9.28
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below8.54
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
9.28
-0.9%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
9.57
2.3%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
8.79
-6.1%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
11.64
24.4%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Within accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Lower
30-week trendThe latest close is 4.8% above the trend line.Price above
Fair-value positionMarket price is 1.5% below the current fair-value reference.Below
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Upside breakout
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Fundamental fracture
Accepted value migrating lower
Price remains within the broader value area while the recent acceptance centre moves lower.
More room above
The next established shelf is materially farther above than below.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 9.28 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
3 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationFresh upside break with positive but contained
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure. Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Full context ยท Mixed confirmation
Current structureFresh upside break
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure.
Trend relationshipAbove trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 9.35 ยท Resistance 9.26
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+2.07%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterPositive but contained
Price advanced, although the close did not fully control the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedUpper part of the range
The close finished at 62% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityMixed confirmation
Recent price structure and the longer trend relationship are not fully aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is mixed confirmation.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history63% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-23.4%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+106.0%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical0.7ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
Latest week
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
11 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
20 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
24 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
28 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
45.4%
Low to high
Accepted price
8.80
Latest versus accepted: 6.38%
Fitted direction
Falling
-0.17% per week
Range pressure
71/100
Upper pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.09ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support8.80
From price
-6.0%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
5
Support9.10
From price
-2.8%
Evidence
93/100
Touches
6
Support9.31
From price
-0.6%
Evidence
76/100
Touches
2
Resistance9.46
From price
1.1%
Evidence
39/100
Touches
1
Resistance9.72
From price
3.8%
Evidence
63/100
Touches
2
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 45.4% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -0.17% per week.
Range pressureUpper pressure
The current pressure reading is 71/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level9.46
Resistance is 1.1% from the latest close with 39/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.17 ยท Holding steady
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 21 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathWeak ยท Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
127 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
130 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Price and Market Dynamics are confirming each other
Price changed +15.4% and Market Dynamics changed +1.09 over the latest 4 completed weeks. The price move currently has improving support beneath it.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-26Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
33% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 36% chance of confirming distribution within 52 completed weeks and a 45% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Accumulation to distribution ยท Progressing
Activated
2026-08-21
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. SUZ is 33% across its current move from accumulation toward distribution. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 33%
Accumulation to Distribution ยท 3 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 17%
Confirm the current distribution zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 36%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 45%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks5%
26 weeks17%
52 weeks36%
Accumulation zone
8.31 / deep 7.78
Current close
9.36
Distribution zone
11.50 / deep 12.03
Source-zone dwell
2 completed weeks
Market Dynamics 1.08Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change 2.33Change in underlying supportTrend position 5%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 0.95รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyDistribution to Accumulation ยท Confirmed accumulation
2024-04-12โ2026-06-05 ยท 113 completed weeks ยท price move -27.3%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 0 reached distribution and 1 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Distribution to AccumulationConfirmed accumulation
2024-04-12โ2026-06-05 ยท journey 113w ยท source dwell 4w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
-27.3%
Time to confirm
113w
Reached and confirmed accumulation after 113 completed weeks. Price moved -27.3% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Current stateFundamental fracture
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is widening and has persisted through 1 update.
Spread
Widening
Persistence
1 quarter
Confirmation
Awaiting refresh
Repricing pressure
Moderate โ price-led
Market move-9.4%
Three-year change
Earnings move-88.6%
Three-year change
Repricing spread-79.2 pts
widening
Current valuation23.7ร
Price relative to earnings power
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is widening and has persisted through 1 update.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Fundamental fracture
Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
Business confirmation is not yet aligned to the latest earnings update.
EarningsRevenueCash generation
Signal robustness
Does the relationship persist across time horizons?
Shows whether the same earnings or price lead remains visible from shorter starting points.
Market acceptance
How price responded to each earnings update
Across completed four-week windows, 0 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response.
Professional contextPeer rarity, comparable outcomes and state history
Comparable historical outcomes
There are not yet enough comparable point-in-time observations for a responsible outcome summary.
State transitions
Highlights when the dominant relationship between earnings power and market price changed.
Broadly aligned
Fundamental fracture
Earnings ahead
Fundamental fracture
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readWeak pressure is repairing, but remains negative
Price is holding a weak market-perception position. Weak pressure is receding across the recent completed path.
-1.54% ยท Negative ยท Recovering
Market positionNegative
Price is holding a weak market-perception position.
Pressure directionRecovering
Weak pressure is receding across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsNormal
No elevated completed-week pressure warning is active.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Negative pressure is receding, which keeps a repair path open.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
A turn lower in the pressure path or a loss of balance would weaken the current interpretation.
What to watch next
The latest path is recovering with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 37% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 63% of completed observations.
State persistence21 completed weeks
The current negative state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 38 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 63% of the time; the typical move was +4.1%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
3 weeks ago
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
7 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
20 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
21 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
22 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
24 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlBuyer control developing
Price is above the core VWAP, which is falling. 75% of recent weighted activity has been accepted below it.
Pressure holding above 60 while the VWAP stack rises would strengthen the existing buyer-control evidence.
Decision area9.16
Year VWAP at 9.16, 2.2% below the latest close.
Weakening level9.16
A completed close below Year VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Year VWAP9.16
-2.16% from close
52-week VWAP9.11
-2.67% from close
26-week VWAP8.72
-6.86% from close
High-activity anchor8.72
-6.86% from close
Swing low8.71
-6.89% from close
Latest earnings VWAP8.71
-6.89% from close
13-week VWAP8.41
-10.19% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 65%Above price 35%
22%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -18.8 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 81/100
Sector ยท Basic MaterialsStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +17.8 points.
Control is contested ยท 45/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim44% favourable
Events
9
Median 4w
-2.72%
Median 13w
-0.52%
Typical best
+4.59%
Typical worst
-6.97%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss60% favourable
Events
10
Median 4w
-0.08%
Median 13w
-1.44%
Typical best
+6.06%
Typical worst
-5.01%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states24 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
38%
Median 4w
-3.45%
Positive after 13w
29%
Median 13w
-4.53%
Best / worst 13w
+9.3% / -21.3%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is fragile, but repair has begun
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.30 ยท Fragile
Current stateFragile ยท 0.30
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
3 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.30 ยท Fragile
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a cautious historical bias
Across 25 comparable completed observations, 40.0% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was -3.0%.
Comparable observations
25
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
40.0%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
-3.0%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-16.5 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
11 Sep 2026
Latest Close
9.36
12-Week Change
21.24%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 50.97%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-5.56
Market Dynamics
1.08
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-11, SUZ rose 21.24%, moving from 7.72 to 9.36. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -5.56 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 1.08 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 50.97% based on similar historical setup states.
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