Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1021-1050 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
31 Jul 202659.80
59.80
New Entry week
Buy
0.70
-
-
WLK NYSE · Westlake Chemical Corporation
26 Dec 202572.93
70.50
-3.33%
Buy
0.03
-
-
WNC NYSE · Wabash National Corporation
19 Jun 202611.29
12.56
11.23%
Buy
0.10
-
-
WOOF NASDAQ · Pet Acquisition LLC
17 May 20242.49
2.79
12.05%
Buy
0.29
-
-
WPP NYSE · WPP PLC ADR
15 May 202616.98
20.21
19.00%
Buy
0.14
-
-
WPRT NASDAQ · Westport Fuel Systems Inc
9 Jan 20261.97
1.77
-10.41%
Buy
0.03
-
-
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
26 Dec 202519.62
24.28
23.73%
Buy
0.14
-
-
WST NYSE · West Pharmaceutical Services Inc
11 Jul 2025226.43
340.96
50.58%
Buy
0.38
-
-
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
24 Jul 202610.13
10.14
0.10%
Buy
1.79
-
-
WTG NASDAQ · Wintergreen Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.26
10.47
2.05%
Buy
1.64
-
-
WU NYSE · Western Union Co
5 Sep 20257.92
6.36
-19.68%
Buy
0.28
-
-
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
10 Jul 20262.93
2.54
-13.31%
Buy
1.08
-
-
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
24 Jul 20262.78
2.89
3.96%
Buy
0.21
-
-
WY NYSE · Weyerhaeuser Company
26 Dec 202523.34
25.03
7.26%
Buy
0.04
-
-
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
8 May 20263.11
3.64
17.21%
Buy
2.68
-
-
XBIO NASDAQ · Xenetic Biosciences Inc
6 Mar 20262.29
2.54
10.70%
Buy
0.08
-
-
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
11.90
1.45%
Buy
0.41
-
-
XNCR NASDAQ · Xencor Inc
19 Sep 202510.29
20.21
96.40%
Buy
1.16
-
-
XOS NASDAQ · Xos Inc
29 May 20262.28
2.10
-8.11%
Buy
0.38
-
-
XP NASDAQ · Xp Inc
14 Feb 202514.40
17.06
18.47%
Buy
0.18
-
-
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
23 May 202534.49
44.37
28.65%
Buy
0.10
-
-
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
28 Nov 20255.79
7.71
33.16%
Buy
0.33
-
-
XPOF NYSE · Xponential Fitness Inc
6 Mar 20265.83
6.52
11.84%
Buy
0.20
-
-
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
20 Jun 20259.17
15.95
73.94%
Buy
0.09
-
-
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
17 Jul 202614.05
13.37
-4.84%
Buy
0.72
-
-
XRN NYSE · Chiron Real Estate Inc.
18 Jul 202533.47
35.50
6.08%
Buy
0.29
-
-
XRX NASDAQ · Xerox Corp
1 May 20262.68
2.95
10.13%
Buy
0.30
-
-
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
10 Jul 20262.91
2.82
-3.09%
Buy
0.77
-
-
YDKG NASDAQ · Yueda Digital Holding
29 May 20260.83
1.05
26.51%
Buy
1.46
-
-
YELP NYSE · Yelp Inc
22 May 202622.39
26.43
18.04%
Buy
0.55
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 8611-8640 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
1 Mar 2024
Exit
PK NYSE · Park Hotels & Resorts Inc
14.02
Reversal Risk Warning
34.45%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 10.43
1 Mar 2024
Entry
PRAX NASDAQ · Praxis Precision Medicines Inc
49.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.19
1 Mar 2024
Entry
PTGX NASDAQ · Protagonist Therapeutics Inc
32.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.49
1 Mar 2024
Exit
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
6.59
Reversal Risk Warning
212.32%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.11
1 Mar 2024
Entry
ROOT NASDAQ · Root Inc
39.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
1 Mar 2024
Entry
SFM NASDAQ · Sprouts Farmers Market LLC
63.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.79
1 Mar 2024
Exit
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
25.78
Reversal Risk Warning
268.81%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 6.99
1 Mar 2024
Entry
SOUN NASDAQ · SoundHound AI Inc
6.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.93
1 Mar 2024
Entry
SPHR NYSE · Sphere Entertainment Co.
44.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.47
1 Mar 2024
Exit
SSD NYSE · Simpson Manufacturing Company Inc
206.15
Reversal Risk Warning
44.71%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 142.46
1 Mar 2024
Entry
TAOX NASDAQ · TAO Synergies Inc.
5.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.71
1 Mar 2024
Entry
VERI NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
2.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.18
1 Mar 2024
Exit
VKTX NASDAQ · Viking Therapeutics Inc
85.22
Reversal Risk Warning
361.15%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 18.48
1 Mar 2024
Exit
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
42.82
Reversal Risk Warning
29.35%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 33.11
1 Mar 2024
Entry
VSEC NASDAQ · VSE Corporation
74.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.51
1 Mar 2024
Entry
VTOL NYSE · Bristow Group Inc
27.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
1 Mar 2024
Entry
VTVT NASDAQ · vTv Therapeutics Inc
16.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
1 Mar 2024
Entry
WT NYSE · WisdomTree Inc.
7.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.01
1 Mar 2024
Exit
XMTR NASDAQ · Xometry Inc
18.00
20% entry drawdown
-29.77%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 25.63
23 Feb 2024
Entry
ACGL NASDAQ · Arch Capital Group Ltd.
83.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
23 Feb 2024
Exit
ACIC NASDAQ · American Coastal Insurance Corp
12.28
Reversal Risk Warning
73.69%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 7.07
23 Feb 2024
Exit
ALHC NASDAQ · Alignment Healthcare LLC
6.28
20% entry drawdown
-21.50%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 8.00
23 Feb 2024
Entry
ANAB NASDAQ · AnaptysBio Inc
17.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.19
23 Feb 2024
Entry
ANIP NASDAQ · ANI Pharmaceuticals Inc
59.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
23 Feb 2024
Entry
BBVA NYSE · Banco Bilbao Viscaya Argentaria SA ADR
8.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.79
23 Feb 2024
Exit
BELFB NASDAQ · Bel Fuse B Inc
49.91
20% entry drawdown
-32.01%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 73.41
23 Feb 2024
Entry
BWXT NYSE · BWX Technologies Inc
88.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.36
23 Feb 2024
Entry
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
23 Feb 2024
Entry
DNOW NYSE · Now Inc
13.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
23 Feb 2024
Entry
DOGZ NASDAQ · Dogness International Corp Class A
7.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.79