Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1051-1080 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
VYX NYSE · NCR Voyix Corporation
29 May 20267.19
8.06
12.10%
Buy
0.25
-
-
WALD NASDAQ · Waldencast Acquisition Corp
22 May 20261.30
1.73
33.08%
Buy
0.04
-
-
WAY NASDAQ · Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock
3 Jul 202623.46
22.43
-4.39%
Buy
0.10
-
-
WBTN NASDAQ · WEBTOON Entertainment Inc. Common stock
16 May 20258.97
11.54
28.65%
Buy
0.00
-
-
WD NYSE · Walker & Dunlop Inc
15 May 202650.42
50.23
-0.38%
Buy
0.21
-
-
WDAY NASDAQ · Workday Inc
22 May 2026128.14
138.95
8.44%
Buy
0.14
-
-
WEAV NYSE · Weave Communications Inc
8 May 20265.94
6.93
16.67%
Buy
0.11
-
-
WEN NASDAQ · The Wendy’s Co
15 May 20267.88
7.55
-4.18%
Buy
0.34
-
-
WENN NASDAQ · Wen Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.20
10.30
0.98%
Buy
0.79
-
-
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
30 Jan 20264.83
7.43
53.83%
Buy
0.47
-
-
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
3 Apr 20260.50
0.64
27.64%
Buy
0.56
-
-
WEX NYSE · Wex Inc
20 Jun 2025140.67
157.50
11.96%
Buy
0.12
-
-
WFF NASDAQ · WF Holding Limited Ordinary Shares
29 May 20262.07
1.97
-4.83%
Buy
1.08
-
-
WFG NYSE · West Fraser Timber Co Ltd
16 Jan 202669.73
67.27
-3.53%
Buy
0.35
-
-
WFRD NASDAQ · Weatherford International plc
22 Aug 202560.30
84.36
39.90%
Buy
1.03
-
-
WGO NYSE · Winnebago Industries Inc
6 Jun 202531.28
29.37
-6.11%
Buy
0.25
-
-
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
7 Nov 202542.51
53.79
26.54%
Buy
0.23
-
-
WHWK NASDAQ · Whitehawk Therapeutics, Inc.
5 Dec 20252.49
3.97
59.44%
Buy
1.25
-
-
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
3 Jul 2026177.99
153.29
-13.88%
Buy
0.22
-
-
WIT NYSE · Wipro Limited ADR
12 Jun 20262.20
1.87
-15.00%
Buy
0.20
-
-
WLK NYSE · Westlake Chemical Corporation
26 Dec 202572.93
75.49
3.51%
Buy
0.03
-
-
WNC NYSE · Wabash National Corporation
19 Jun 202611.29
12.90
14.24%
Buy
0.10
-
-
WOOF NASDAQ · Pet Acquisition LLC
17 May 20242.49
2.56
2.81%
Buy
0.29
-
-
WPP NYSE · WPP PLC ADR
15 May 202616.98
18.49
8.88%
Buy
0.14
-
-
WPRT NASDAQ · Westport Fuel Systems Inc
9 Jan 20261.97
2.08
5.58%
Buy
0.03
-
-
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
10 Jul 20262.46
2.46
New Entry week
Buy
0.26
-
-
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
26 Dec 202519.62
26.24
33.72%
Buy
0.14
-
-
WST NYSE · West Pharmaceutical Services Inc
11 Jul 2025226.43
353.71
56.21%
Buy
0.38
-
-
WTG NASDAQ · Wintergreen Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
20 Mar 202610.26
10.45
1.85%
Buy
1.64
-
-
WU NYSE · Western Union Co
5 Sep 20257.92
7.84
-0.99%
Buy
0.28
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 31-60 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
10 Jul 2026
Entry
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
10 Jul 2026
Entry
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.18
10 Jul 2026
Entry
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
10 Jul 2026
Entry
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
10 Jul 2026
Entry
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
10 Jul 2026
Entry
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.50
10 Jul 2026
Exit
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning
196.33%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 0.49
10 Jul 2026
Entry
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
10 Jul 2026
Entry
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
10 Jul 2026
Entry
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
10 Jul 2026
Exit
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown
-27.25%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 24.73
10 Jul 2026
Entry
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
10 Jul 2026
Entry
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.08
10 Jul 2026
Entry
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.77
3 Jul 2026
Exit
ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc
8.11
Reversal Risk Warning
137.83%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 3.41
3 Jul 2026
Entry
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
95.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
3 Jul 2026
Exit
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86
Reversal Risk Warning
89.60%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 6.26
3 Jul 2026
Entry
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
9.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.91
3 Jul 2026
Exit
ACTU NASDAQ · Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. Common stock
1.52
20% entry drawdown
-26.57%
Entry 19 Jun 2026 2.07
3 Jul 2026
Exit
AIRT NASDAQ · Air T Inc
28.87
Reversal Risk Warning
60.30%
Entry 30 May 2025 18.01
3 Jul 2026
Entry
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
1.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
3 Jul 2026
Exit
ALAR NASDAQ · Alarum Technologies Ltd.
6.35
20% entry drawdown
-34.06%
Entry 12 Jun 2026 9.63
3 Jul 2026
Entry
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
2.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
3 Jul 2026
Exit
ALGT NASDAQ · Allegiant Travel Company
118.67
Reversal Risk Warning
113.01%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 55.71
3 Jul 2026
Entry
ALIT NYSE · Alight Inc
14.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.89
3 Jul 2026
Entry
ANGI NASDAQ · ANGI Homeservices Inc
6.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
3 Jul 2026
Exit
ASTL NASDAQ · Algoma Steel Group Inc
3.77
20% entry drawdown
-20.46%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 4.74
3 Jul 2026
Entry
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
10.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
3 Jul 2026
Exit
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
7.45
20% entry drawdown
-30.18%
Entry 19 Jun 2026 10.67
3 Jul 2026
Entry
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
40.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02