Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 91-120 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
15 Nov 20246.06
6.20
2.31%
Buy
0.84
-
-
ASPS NASDAQ · Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA
27 Mar 20266.80
5.57
-18.09%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ASTH NASDAQ · Astrana Health Inc
20 Mar 202624.23
35.56
46.76%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ASUR NASDAQ · Asure Software Inc
5 Jan 20248.38
8.03
-4.18%
Buy
0.14
-
-
ATHM NYSE · Autohome Inc
19 Jun 202617.46
23.22
33.02%
Buy
0.21
-
-
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
9 May 202566.27
72.96
10.09%
Buy
0.10
-
-
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
18 Jul 202516.90
23.81
40.92%
Buy
0.28
-
-
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
13 Feb 20263.92
5.16
31.63%
Buy
0.89
-
-
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
10 Jul 2026125.08
133.96
7.10%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
15 May 20269.58
8.38
-12.53%
Buy
0.58
-
-
ATRC NASDAQ · AtriCure Inc
12 Jul 202423.19
37.76
62.83%
Buy
0.45
-
-
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
30 May 202528.97
27.24
-5.97%
Buy
0.21
-
-
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
27 Feb 20265.89
7.01
19.02%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AUTL NASDAQ · Autolus Therapeutics Ltd
1 May 20261.47
1.49
1.36%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AVB NYSE · AvalonBay Communities Inc
1 May 2026181.74
185.61
2.13%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
20 Jun 202532.40
36.32
12.10%
Buy
0.09
-
-
AVNW NASDAQ · Aviat Networks Inc
3 Jan 202518.40
20.48
11.30%
Buy
0.07
-
-
AVTR NYSE · Avantor Inc
12 Jun 20269.39
13.78
46.75%
Buy
0.99
-
-
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
3 Oct 202513.40
18.25
36.19%
Buy
1.48
-
-
AVXL NASDAQ · Anavex Life Sciences Corp
3 Jul 20262.76
2.75
-0.36%
Buy
0.11
-
-
AVY NYSE · Avery Dennison Corp
8 Aug 2025167.03
169.73
1.61%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AXIN NASDAQ · Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 Class A Ordinary Shares
6 Mar 202610.15
10.29
1.33%
Buy
0.42
-
-
AXR NYSE · AMREP Corporation
20 Jun 202521.50
23.24
8.09%
Buy
0.18
-
-
AXTA NYSE · Axalta Coating Systems Ltd
5 Jun 202632.18
35.81
11.28%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AYTU NASDAQ · Aytu BioScience Inc
16 May 20252.13
2.23
4.69%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AZTA NASDAQ · Azenta Inc
12 Jun 202622.59
28.13
24.52%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
6 Jun 20251.87
1.94
4.02%
Buy
0.30
-
-
BBNX NASDAQ · Beta Bionics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Jun 202613.89
12.83
-7.63%
Buy
0.22
-
-
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
10 Jul 20268.32
8.09
-2.76%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BBY NYSE · Best Buy Co. Inc
20 Jun 202563.97
86.26
34.84%
Buy
0.20
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 9421-9450 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
8 Dec 2023
Entry
ERIC NASDAQ · Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR
5.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.19
8 Dec 2023
Entry
EVRG NASDAQ · Evergy, Inc.
46.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
8 Dec 2023
Entry
FAF NYSE · First American Corporation
56.71
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
8 Dec 2023
Entry
FCPT NYSE · Four Corners Property Trust Inc
21.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
8 Dec 2023
Entry
FFBC NASDAQ · First Financial Bancorp
20.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
8 Dec 2023
Entry
FROG NASDAQ · Jfrog Ltd
29.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
8 Dec 2023
Entry
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
76.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.00
8 Dec 2023
Entry
FUND NASDAQ · Sprott Focus Trust
6.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
8 Dec 2023
Entry
GBTG NYSE · Global Business Travel Group Inc
6.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
8 Dec 2023
Entry
GGAL NASDAQ · Grupo Financiero Galicia SA ADR
15.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
8 Dec 2023
Entry
GHC NYSE · Graham Holdings Co
638.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.56
8 Dec 2023
Exit
GLBS NASDAQ · Globus Maritime Ltd
2.81
Reversal Risk Warning
88.59%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 1.49
8 Dec 2023
Entry
GLPI NASDAQ · Gaming & Leisure Properties
39.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
8 Dec 2023
Entry
GOLF NYSE · Acushnet Holdings Corp
55.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
8 Dec 2023
Entry
GRBK NYSE · Green Brick Partners Inc
50.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
8 Dec 2023
Entry
GSIT NASDAQ · GSI Technology Inc
2.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
8 Dec 2023
Entry
HALO NASDAQ · Halozyme Therapeutics Inc
39.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
8 Dec 2023
Entry
HD NYSE · The Home Depot Inc
306.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
8 Dec 2023
Entry
HEI NYSE · Heico Corporation
178.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
8 Dec 2023
Entry
HR NYSE · Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated
13.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
8 Dec 2023
Entry
IDXX NASDAQ · IDEXX Laboratories Inc
531.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
8 Dec 2023
Entry
IIIN NYSE · Insteel Industries Inc
31.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
8 Dec 2023
Entry
ILPT NASDAQ · Industrial Logistics Properties Trust
3.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
8 Dec 2023
Exit
IMDX NASDAQ · Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc.
2.95
20% entry drawdown
-27.87%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 4.09
8 Dec 2023
Entry
IOT NYSE · Samsara Inc
33.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
8 Dec 2023
Entry
IRS NYSE · IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones
6.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
8 Dec 2023
Entry
ISRG NASDAQ · Intuitive Surgical Inc
310.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
8 Dec 2023
Entry
ITW NYSE · Illinois Tool Works Inc
235.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
8 Dec 2023
Entry
IVZ NYSE · Invesco Plc
13.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
8 Dec 2023
Entry
JANX NASDAQ · Janux Therapeutics Inc
9.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14