View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AXR NYSE · AMREP Corporation
20 Jun 202521.50
25.20
17.21%
Buy
0.18
-
-
AXTA NYSE · Axalta Coating Systems Ltd
5 Jun 202632.18
32.51
1.03%
Buy
0.00
-
-
AYTU NASDAQ · Aytu BioScience Inc
16 May 20252.13
2.25
5.63%
Buy
0.38
-
-
AZTA NASDAQ · Azenta Inc
12 Jun 202622.59
25.36
12.26%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BAER NASDAQ · Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
6 Jun 20251.87
1.94
4.02%
Buy
0.30
-
-
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
3 Jul 202610.93
9.60
-12.17%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BBNX NASDAQ · Beta Bionics, Inc. Common Stock
5 Jun 202613.89
17.03
22.61%
Buy
0.22
-
-
BBY NYSE · Best Buy Co. Inc
20 Jun 202563.97
82.80
29.43%
Buy
0.20
-
-
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
11 Jul 20258.37
10.35
23.67%
Buy
0.41
-
-
BCC NYSE · Boise Cascad Llc
19 Dec 202574.33
76.06
2.33%
Buy
0.21
-
-
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
7 Mar 202522.54
21.38
-5.13%
Buy
0.07
-
-
BDN NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
24 Apr 20263.06
3.06
0.00%
Buy
0.14
-
-
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
23 Jan 202611.74
21.42
82.45%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BDTX NASDAQ · Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc
16 May 20251.95
1.91
-2.05%
Buy
0.19
-
-
BDX NYSE · Becton Dickinson and Company
25 Jul 2025142.21
151.94
6.84%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
19 Jun 20261.37
1.17
-14.60%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BF-A NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202629.48
26.60
-9.76%
Buy
0.43
-
-
BF-B NYSE · Brown-Forman Corporation
17 Apr 202628.90
26.17
-9.44%
Buy
0.36
-
-
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
10 Jul 202673.31
73.31
New Entry week
Buy
0.11
-
-
BGS NYSE · B&G Foods Inc
17 Oct 20254.28
3.93
-8.26%
Buy
0.55
-
-
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
23 May 20253.13
5.63
80.12%
Buy
0.12
-
-
BHFAP NASDAQ · Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
7 Nov 202515.72
14.77
-6.04%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BIIB NASDAQ · Biogen Inc
28 Feb 2025140.50
199.15
41.74%
Buy
0.13
-
-
BILL NYSE · Bill Com Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202640.48
41.36
2.17%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BIO-B NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
20 Jun 2025250.08
298.50
19.36%
Buy
0.10
-
-
BLCO NYSE · Bausch + Lomb Corp
4 Jul 202513.88
16.23
16.93%
Buy
0.31
-
-
BLIN NASDAQ · Bridgeline Digital Inc
6 Mar 20260.93
1.24
32.72%
Buy
0.08
-
-
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
8 May 20268.12
8.34
2.71%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BLND NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
29 May 20261.79
1.70
-5.03%
Buy
0.44
-
-
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
15 Mar 202410.60
10.60
0.00%
Buy
0.05
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3151-3180 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Dec 2025
Exit
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
0.95
20% entry drawdown
-22.71%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 1.23
19 Dec 2025
Exit
GRRR NASDAQ · Gorilla Technology Group Inc.
12.28
20% entry drawdown
-20.72%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 15.49
19 Dec 2025
Exit
HCAT NASDAQ · Health Catalyst Inc
2.35
20% entry drawdown
-21.40%
Entry 28 Nov 2025 2.99
19 Dec 2025
Entry
HHS NASDAQ · Harte Hanks Inc
3.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
19 Dec 2025
Exit
ISBA NASDAQ · Isabella Bank Corporation
56.24
Reversal Risk Warning
142.58%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 23.18
19 Dec 2025
Entry
ISPR NASDAQ · Ispire Technology Inc. Common Stock
2.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
19 Dec 2025
Entry
KNF NYSE · Knife River Corporation
73.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.32
19 Dec 2025
Exit
LEXX NASDAQ · Lexaria Bioscience Corp
0.58
20% entry drawdown
-43.44%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 1.03
19 Dec 2025
Entry
LMNR NASDAQ · Limoneira Co
14.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
19 Dec 2025
Entry
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
6.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
19 Dec 2025
Exit
LOOP NASDAQ · Loop Industries Inc
0.95
20% entry drawdown
-20.83%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 1.20
19 Dec 2025
Entry
LPCN NASDAQ · Lipocine Inc
4.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.52
19 Dec 2025
Exit
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
43.19
20% entry drawdown
-20.23%
Entry 30 May 2025 54.14
19 Dec 2025
Exit
MGYR NASDAQ · Magyar Bancorp Inc
17.56
Reversal Risk Warning
82.63%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 9.61
19 Dec 2025
Exit
NNI NYSE · Nelnet Inc
137.89
Reversal Risk Warning
61.89%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 85.17
19 Dec 2025
Exit
NPWR NYSE · NET Power Inc.
2.32
20% entry drawdown
-23.43%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 3.03
19 Dec 2025
Exit
NUVB NYSE · Nuvation Bio Inc
9.44
Reversal Risk Warning
277.60%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 2.50
19 Dec 2025
Exit
NWG NYSE · Natwest Group PLC
16.57
Reversal Risk Warning
239.00%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 4.89
19 Dec 2025
Entry
NX NYSE · Quanex Building Products
15.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PACB NASDAQ · Pacific Biosciences of California
1.84
20% entry drawdown
-23.01%
Entry 5 Dec 2025 2.39
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PHAT NASDAQ · Phathom Pharmaceuticals Inc
17.53
Reversal Risk Warning
96.52%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 8.92
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PLCE NASDAQ · Children’s Place Inc
4.35
20% entry drawdown
-37.68%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 6.98
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.86
20% entry drawdown
-29.70%
Entry 5 Dec 2025 1.22
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
1.28
20% entry drawdown
-33.25%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 1.91
19 Dec 2025
Entry
RDW NYSE · Redwire Corp
8.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
19 Dec 2025
Exit
RHLD NYSE · Resolute Holdings Management, Inc.
217.61
Reversal Risk Warning
25.01%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 174.08
19 Dec 2025
Entry
SARO NYSE · StandardAero, Inc.
28.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
19 Dec 2025
Entry
SCL NYSE · Stepan Company
46.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
19 Dec 2025
Exit
SCNI NASDAQ · Scinai Immunotherapeutics Ltd
0.79
20% entry drawdown
-34.17%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 1.20
19 Dec 2025
Exit
TC NASDAQ · TuanChe ADR
9.91
20% entry drawdown
-31.66%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 14.50