Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
BPAC NASDAQ · Bullpen Parlay Acquisition Co
12 Jun 202610.12
10.16
0.40%
Buy
0.59
-
-
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
31 Jul 2026153.95
153.95
New Entry week
Buy
0.49
-
-
BRAG NASDAQ · Bragg Gaming Group Inc
27 Mar 20261.84
1.64
-10.87%
Buy
0.02
-
-
BRCC NYSE · BRC Inc.
24 Apr 20261.16
1.03
-11.21%
Buy
0.62
-
-
BRKR NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation
7 Nov 202539.83
62.84
57.77%
Buy
0.75
-
-
BRO NYSE · Brown & Brown Inc
26 Jun 202664.22
70.40
9.62%
Buy
0.24
-
-
BRSL NYSE · Brightstar Lottery PLC
18 Apr 202512.34
10.04
-18.61%
Buy
0.03
-
-
BSY NASDAQ · Bentley Systems Inc
8 May 202632.69
35.44
8.40%
Buy
0.01
-
-
BTMD NASDAQ · biote Corp
3 Jul 20262.17
2.25
3.69%
Buy
0.94
-
-
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
24 Jul 20264.14
4.12
-0.48%
Buy
0.19
-
-
BWIN NASDAQ · The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
3 Apr 202622.35
27.74
24.12%
Buy
0.40
-
-
BZ NASDAQ · Kanzhun Ltd ADR
5 Jun 202614.03
16.28
16.04%
Buy
0.15
-
-
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
31 Jul 20261.19
1.19
New Entry week
Buy
0.22
-
-
BZUN NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
1 Mar 20242.36
2.87
21.61%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
24 Jul 202614.60
14.51
-0.62%
Buy
0.51
-
-
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
24 Apr 202613.48
12.84
-4.72%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CAPN NASDAQ · Cayson Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
17 Oct 202510.46
11.10
6.12%
Buy
0.74
-
-
CATO NYSE · Cato Corporation
13 Jun 20253.01
3.42
13.62%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
26 Dec 202560.15
65.23
8.45%
Buy
0.07
-
-
CBLL NASDAQ · CeriBell, Inc
7 Nov 202511.98
17.69
47.66%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
22 May 202632.39
56.39
74.10%
Buy
0.75
-
-
CBT NYSE · Cabot Corporation
9 Jan 202672.01
88.02
22.23%
Buy
0.01
-
-
CBZ NYSE · CBIZ Inc
29 May 202633.20
55.08
65.90%
Buy
0.50
-
-
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Jun 202511.47
16.61
44.86%
Buy
0.27
-
-
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
8 May 202613.18
13.25
0.53%
Buy
1.13
-
-
CCXI NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp XI
26 Jun 202613.86
13.86
0.00%
Buy
0.47
-
-
CDW NASDAQ · CDW Corp
22 May 2026110.82
147.81
33.38%
Buy
0.13
-
-
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
13 Mar 20261.61
1.40
-13.04%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CELH NASDAQ · Celsius Holdings Inc
21 Mar 202532.93
29.21
-11.30%
Buy
1.29
-
-
CERT NASDAQ · Certara Inc
19 Jun 20265.54
8.10
46.21%
Buy
0.37
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 9661-9690 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
1 Dec 2023
Entry
OSPN NASDAQ · OneSpan Inc
9.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
1 Dec 2023
Entry
OZK NASDAQ · Bank Ozk
40.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
1 Dec 2023
Entry
PBA NYSE · Pembina Pipeline Corp
29.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.63
1 Dec 2023
Entry
PDM NYSE · Piedmont Office Realty Trust Inc
6.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
1 Dec 2023
Entry
PLSE NASDAQ · Pulse Biosciences Inc
9.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.36
1 Dec 2023
Entry
QTWO NYSE · Q2 Holdings
37.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RBC NYSE · RBC Bearings Incorporated
264.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RBCAA NASDAQ · Republic Bancorp Inc
44.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RCL NYSE · Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd
107.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RDVT NASDAQ · Red Violet Inc
20.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RGLD NASDAQ · Royal Gold Inc
119.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.82
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RIO NYSE · Rio Tinto ADR
60.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.40
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RMD NYSE · ResMed Inc
155.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RMM NYSE · RiverNorth Managed Duration Municipal Income Fund Inc
12.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
1 Dec 2023
Exit
RNGR NYSE · Ranger Energy Services Inc
9.65
20% entry drawdown
-21.44%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 12.28
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RNST NYSE · Renasant Corporation
26.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ROL NYSE · Rollins Inc
39.63
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
1 Dec 2023
Entry
ROST NASDAQ · Ross Stores Inc
128.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.78
1 Dec 2023
Entry
RRBI NASDAQ · Red River Bancshares Inc
51.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.18
1 Dec 2023
Entry
SB NYSE · Safe Bulkers Inc
3.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.43
1 Dec 2023
Entry
SHIP NASDAQ · Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp
6.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
1 Dec 2023
Entry
SLM NASDAQ · SLM Corp
14.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
1 Dec 2023
Entry
SNA NYSE · Snap-On Inc
262.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
1 Dec 2023
Entry
SNN NYSE · Smith & Nephew SNATS Inc
24.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
1 Dec 2023
Entry
SSNC NASDAQ · SS&C Technologies Holdings Inc
55.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
1 Dec 2023
Entry
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
2.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.47
1 Dec 2023
Entry
SYK NYSE · Stryker Corporation
290.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
1 Dec 2023
Entry
TBCH NASDAQ · Turtle Beach Corporation
11.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
1 Dec 2023
Entry
TCI NYSE · Transcontinental Realty Investors
33.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
1 Dec 2023
Entry
TEO NYSE · Telecom Argentina SA ADR
8.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56